Lugano vs Thun: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 July

Lugano

W L D D W

3rd place in League

1-2

27/07/2025 10:00

Thun

D W W L L

1st place in League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lugano vs Thun on 27 July 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lugano vs Thun preview before placing your bet.

Lugano are currently 3rd with 57 points after 33 matches.
Thun sit 1st with 74 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Lugano to win with probability 56%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Lugano and Thun have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-07-27

Lugano vs Thun - Prediction & Odds

Lugano

Thun

2025-07-27 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/07/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	74	33	24	2	7	75	37	38
02 St. Gallen	60	33	17	9	7	64	40	24
03 Lugano	57	33	16	9	8	50	38	12
04 Basel	53	33	15	8	10	51	45	6
05 FC Sion	52	33	13	13	7	51	35	16
06 Young Boys	48	33	13	9	11	65	60	5
07 Luzern	40	33	10	10	13	64	61	3
08 Servette	40	33	9	13	11	57	57	0
09 Lausanne Sports	39	33	10	9	14	47	57	-10
10 FC Zurich	34	33	10	4	19	45	63	-18
11 Grasshopper	27	33	6	9	18	40	65	-25
12 Winterthur	19	33	4	7	22	35	86	-51

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	75	5	0	1	4	5	15	-10
02 St. Gallen	70	5	3	1	1	8	7	1
03 Lugano	67	5	3	1	1	9	4	5
04 FC Sion	63	5	3	2	0	12	5	7
05 Basel	56	5	1	0	4	4	13	-9
06 Young Boys	55	5	2	1	2	15	9	6

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Servette	53	5	4	1	0	14	6	8
02 Luzern	53	5	4	1	0	12	5	7
03 Lausanne Sports	42	5	1	0	4	6	10	-4
04 FC Zurich	38	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5
05 Grasshopper	33	5	2	0	3	8	9	-1
06 Winterthur	23	5	1	1	3	9	14	-5

Head To Head

11/07/2025 08:00

Lugano

2 - 3

Thun

INT CF

10/02/2022 13:30

Thun

3 - 4

Lugano

SUI Cup

15/07/2020 14:30

Lugano

1 - 1

Thun

SUI SL

09/02/2020 11:00

Thun

3 - 2

Lugano

SUI SL

24/11/2019 11:00

Thun

0 - 3

Lugano

SUI SL

28/07/2019 10:00

Lugano

0 - 0

Thun

SUI SL

Lugano

33%

Draw

33%

Thun

33%

Lugano Last 6 matches

24/07/2025 14:30

Lugano 0 - 0 CFR Cluj UEFA EL

19/07/2025 14:30

Lugano 2 - 0 Pro Vercelli INT CF

18/07/2025 05:00

Lugano 4 - 2 FC Paradiso INT CF

11/07/2025 08:00

Lugano 2 - 3 Thun INT CF

05/07/2025 05:15

Lugano 2 - 1 FC Rapperswil-Jona INT CF

24/05/2025 12:00

Lugano 1 - 1 Young Boys SUI SL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Thun

19/07/2025 10:30

Thun 4 - 1 Aarau INT CF

11/07/2025 08:00

Lugano 2 - 3 Thun INT CF

04/07/2025 10:30

FC Sion 1 - 1 Thun INT CF

21/06/2025 09:00

Thun 3 - 4 Kriens INT CF

23/05/2025 14:15

Thun 1 - 0 Etoile Carouge SUI CL

16/05/2025 14:15

Bellinzona 3 - 1 Thun SUI CL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

184

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

237

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

165

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

152 (51%)148 (49%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

159 (55%)129 (45%)

Lugano

Recent matches

Thun

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lugano

Thun

Shots

Lugano

Total shots

12.55 avg / game

Blocked

488 total

Avg. 3.39

Thun

Total shots

12.77 avg / game

Blocked

213 total

Avg. 4.73

Lugano Pass Thun

Total passes

98757

Avg. 470 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

23346

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lugano

300

Played games

Thun

288

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.25

4.14

1241

Corners

1412

4.90

6.96

2088

Throw-ins

1594

5.53

1.57

470

Offsides

528

1.83

2.57

771

GK saves

624

2.17

Lugano

DISCIPLINARY

Thun

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.12

635

557

1.93

0.10

0.06

9.32

2795

Fouls

3093

10.74

9.25

2774

Tackles

803

2.79

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Lugano vs Thun Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lugano vs Thun on 27 July 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lugano vs Thun Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lugano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Thun's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Lugano and Thun sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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