Lugano vs Thun: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 July

Lugano

W L D D W

3rd place in League

1-2

27/07/2025 10:00

Thun

D W W L L

1st place in League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lugano vs Thun on 27 July 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lugano vs Thun preview before placing your bet.

Lugano will face Thun in Swiss Super League on July 27, 2025 at 10:00.
Lugano are currently 3rd with 57 points after 33 matches.
Thun sit 1st with 74 points from 33 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.55.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-07-27

Lugano vs Thun - Prediction & Odds

Lugano

Thun

2025-07-27 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/07/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	74	33	24	2	7	75	37	38
02 St. Gallen	60	33	17	9	7	64	40	24
03 Lugano	57	33	16	9	8	50	38	12
04 Basel	53	33	15	8	10	51	45	6
05 FC Sion	52	33	13	13	7	51	35	16
06 Young Boys	48	33	13	9	11	65	60	5
07 Luzern	40	33	10	10	13	64	61	3
08 Servette	40	33	9	13	11	57	57	0
09 Lausanne Sports	39	33	10	9	14	47	57	-10
10 FC Zurich	34	33	10	4	19	45	63	-18
11 Grasshopper	27	33	6	9	18	40	65	-25
12 Winterthur	19	33	4	7	22	35	86	-51

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	75	5	0	1	4	5	15	-10
02 St. Gallen	70	5	3	1	1	8	7	1
03 Lugano	67	5	3	1	1	9	4	5
04 FC Sion	63	5	3	2	0	12	5	7
05 Basel	56	5	1	0	4	4	13	-9
06 Young Boys	55	5	2	1	2	15	9	6

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Servette	53	5	4	1	0	14	6	8
02 Luzern	53	5	4	1	0	12	5	7
03 Lausanne Sports	42	5	1	0	4	6	10	-4
04 FC Zurich	38	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5
05 Grasshopper	33	5	2	0	3	8	9	-1
06 Winterthur	23	5	1	1	3	9	14	-5

Head To Head

11/07/2025 08:00

Lugano

2 - 3

Thun

INT CF

10/02/2022 13:30

Thun

3 - 4

Lugano

SUI Cup

15/07/2020 14:30

Lugano

1 - 1

Thun

SUI SL

09/02/2020 11:00

Thun

3 - 2

Lugano

SUI SL

24/11/2019 11:00

Thun

0 - 3

Lugano

SUI SL

28/07/2019 10:00

Lugano

0 - 0

Thun

SUI SL

Lugano

17%

Draw

33%

Thun

50%

Lugano Last 6 matches

24/07/2025 14:30

Lugano 0 - 0 CFR Cluj

UEFA EL

19/07/2025 14:30

Lugano 2 - 0 Pro Vercelli

INT CF

18/07/2025 05:00

Lugano 4 - 2 FC Paradiso

INT CF

11/07/2025 08:00

Lugano 2 - 3 Thun

INT CF

05/07/2025 05:15

Lugano 2 - 1 FC Rapperswil-Jona

INT CF

24/05/2025 12:00

Lugano 1 - 1 Young Boys

SUI SL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Thun

19/07/2025 10:30

Thun 4 - 1 Aarau

INT CF

11/07/2025 08:00

Lugano 2 - 3 Thun

INT CF

04/07/2025 10:30

FC Sion 1 - 1 Thun

INT CF

21/06/2025 09:00

Thun 3 - 4 Kriens

INT CF

23/05/2025 14:15

Thun 1 - 0 Etoile Carouge

SUI CL

16/05/2025 14:15

Bellinzona 3 - 1 Thun

SUI CL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Played games

Lugano

Thun

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.51

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored

Avg. per game

2.05

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.36

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 43 matches

YesNo

36 (84%)7 (16%)

In last 43 matches

NoYes

33 (85%)6 (15%)

Lugano

Recent matches

Thun

Under /Over

(70%)30 13(30%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)32 7(18%)

Under /Over

(33%)14 29(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)19 20(51%)

Under /Over

(49%)21 22(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(54%)21 18(46%)

/Yes

(58%)25 18(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)27 12(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lugano

Thun

Shots

Lugano

Total shots

13.62 avg / game

Blocked

154 total

Avg. 3.95

Thun

Total shots

17.08 avg / game

Blocked

172 total

Avg. 4.78

Lugano Pass Thun

Total passes

19929

Avg. 486 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

11723

Avg. 317 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lugano

Played games

Thun

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.15

3.88

167

Corners

223

5.72

16.77

721

Throw-ins

800

20.51

1.93

Offsides

2.03

3.53

152

GK saves

121

3.10

Lugano

DISCIPLINARY

Thun

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.33

100

2.26

0.12

0.10

11.58

498

Fouls

578

14.82

9.33

401

Tackles

419

10.74

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Lugano vs Thun Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lugano vs Thun on 27 July 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lugano vs Thun Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lugano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Thun's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Lugano and Thun sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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