Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

L W W W D

5th place in League

1-1

21/02/2026 06:00

Spartak Varna

L L L L W

12th place in League

Bulgaria Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 06:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna preview before placing your bet.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv are currently 5th with 46 points after 30 matches.
Spartak Varna sit 12th with 27 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win with probability 58%.
Head-to-head history favors Lokomotiv Plovdiv, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Spartak Varna have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

06:00

2026-02-21

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna - Prediction & Odds

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Spartak Varna

2026-02-21 06:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Levski Sofia	70	30	22	4	4	64	22	42
02 Ludogorets Razgrad	60	30	17	9	4	57	20	37
03 CSKA 1948 Sofia	59	30	18	5	7	50	31	19
04 CSKA Sofia	56	30	16	8	6	43	23	20
05 Lokomotiv Plovdiv	46	30	11	13	6	30	33	-3
06 Cherno More Varna	44	30	11	11	8	33	26	7
07 FC Arda Kardzhali	44	30	12	8	10	33	27	6
08 Botev Plovdiv	40	30	11	7	12	40	37	3
09 Slavia Sofia	39	30	10	9	11	36	33	3
10 Botev Vratsa	38	30	9	11	10	24	26	-2
11 Lokomotiv Sofia	37	30	9	10	11	40	39	1
12 Spartak Varna	27	30	5	12	13	25	50	-25
13 FC Dobrudzha	26	30	7	5	18	23	43	-20
14 Septemvri Sofia	26	30	7	5	18	25	58	-33
15 Beroe Stara Zagora	23	30	4	11	15	19	44	-25
16 PFK Montana	17	30	3	8	19	15	45	-30

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Levski Sofia	81	6	3	2	1	7	3	4
02 CSKA 1948 Sofia	67	6	2	2	2	4	4	0
03 Ludogorets Razgrad	67	6	2	1	3	4	5	-1
04 CSKA Sofia	63	6	2	1	3	4	7	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Botev Vratsa	53	7	4	3	0	12	6	6
02 Lokomotiv Sofia	47	7	2	4	1	11	9	2
03 Slavia Sofia	46	7	2	1	4	6	11	-5
04 Spartak Varna	37	7	3	1	3	10	7	3
05 Septemvri Sofia	36	7	2	4	1	7	6	1
06 Beroe Stara Zagora	34	7	3	2	2	9	8	1
07 FC Dobrudzha	31	7	1	2	4	5	9	-4
08 PFK Montana	23	7	1	3	3	6	10	-4

Qualifications	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Lokomotiv Plovdiv	55	6	3	0	3	6	8	-2
02 FC Arda Kardzhali	54	6	3	1	2	9	7	2
03 Cherno More Varna	54	6	3	1	2	7	8	-1
04 Botev Plovdiv	46	6	2	0	4	9	8	1

Head To Head

30/08/2025 09:00

Spartak Varna

1 - 2

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

BUL FL

07/04/2025 07:30

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1 - 2

Spartak Varna

BUL FL

23/10/2024 07:30

Spartak Varna

1 - 0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

BUL FL

28/04/2023 10:00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

3 - 1

Spartak Varna

BUL FL

10/10/2022 06:00

Spartak Varna

0 - 2

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

BUL FL

03/04/2009 06:00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

2 - 1

Spartak Varna

BUL FL

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

67%

Draw

Spartak Varna

33%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Last 6 matches

15/02/2026 03:00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 1 Cherno More Varna BUL FL

12/02/2026 09:00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 Botev Plovdiv BUL Cup

08/02/2026 05:15

Slavia Sofia 0 - 2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL FL

31/01/2026 07:00

Kolos Kovalyovka 0 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv INT CF

27/01/2026 05:30

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 FC Asia Talas INT CF

22/01/2026 03:00

FK Napredak Krusevac 0 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Spartak Varna

13/02/2026 08:45

Spartak Varna 2 - 2 Lokomotiv Sofia BUL FL

07/02/2026 03:30

Cherno More Varna 0 - 0 Spartak Varna BUL FL

31/01/2026 03:30

Spartak Varna 2 - 1 Minyor Pernik INT CF

28/01/2026 05:00

Botev Plovdiv 1 - 0 Spartak Varna INT CF

24/01/2026 05:00

FC Dunav Ruse 1 - 3 Spartak Varna INT CF

15/01/2026 05:00

Fratria 0 - 1 Spartak Varna INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Bulgaria Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Spartak Varna

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.51

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored

Avg. per game

0.57

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.86

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 37 matches

YesNo

16 (43%)21 (57%)

In last 37 matches

NoYes

19 (51%)18 (49%)

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Recent matches

Spartak Varna

Under /Over

(68%)25 12(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)28 9(24%)

Under /Over

(19%)7 30(81%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)11 26(70%)

Under /Over

(35%)13 24(65%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)16 21(57%)

/Yes

(41%)15 22(59%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(54%)20 17(46%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Spartak Varna

Shots

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Total shots

9.44 avg / game

Blocked

9 total

Avg. 2.25

Spartak Varna

Total shots

7.44 avg / game

Blocked

6 total

Avg. 3.00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Pass Spartak Varna

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Played games

Spartak Varna

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.27

3.41

126

Corners

133

3.59

17.41

644

Throw-ins

585

15.81

1.54

Offsides

0.78

0.59

GK saves

1.16

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

DISCIPLINARY

Spartak Varna

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.84

105

2.32

0.11

0.22

13.03

482

Fouls

396

10.70

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Bulgaria Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lokomotiv Plovdiv's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Spartak Varna's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Bulgaria Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Bulgaria Premier League standings and the Bulgaria Premier League form table to understand exactly where Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Spartak Varna sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Bulgaria Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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