Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 September

Liverpool

W W W W D

3rd place in Group A

3-2

17/09/2025 15:00

Atletico Madrid

W D D L W

14th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid on 17 September 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Liverpool are currently 3rd with 18 points after 8 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 14th with 13 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Liverpool to win with probability 60%.
Head-to-head history favors Liverpool, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Atletico Madrid have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-09-17

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Liverpool

Atletico Madrid

2025-09-17 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/09/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

03/11/2021 16:00

Liverpool

2 - 0

Atletico Madrid

UEFA CL

19/10/2021 15:00

Atletico Madrid

2 - 3

Liverpool

UEFA CL

11/03/2020 16:00

Liverpool

1 - 0

Atletico Madrid

UEFA CL

18/02/2020 16:00

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Liverpool

UEFA CL

02/08/2017 14:30

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Liverpool

Audi Cup

29/04/2010 15:05

Liverpool

1 - 0

Atletico Madrid

UEFA EL

Liverpool

67%

Draw

17%

Atletico Madrid

17%

Liverpool Last 6 matches

14/09/2025 09:00

Burnley 0 - 1 Liverpool ENG PR

31/08/2025 11:30

Liverpool 1 - 0 Arsenal ENG PR

25/08/2025 15:00

Newcastle United 2 - 3 Liverpool ENG PR

15/08/2025 15:00

Liverpool 4 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

10/08/2025 10:00

Crystal Palace 2 - 2 Liverpool ENG FACS

04/08/2025 15:00

Liverpool 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao INT CF

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

13/09/2025 15:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Villarreal SPA D1

30/08/2025 11:00

Alaves 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

23/08/2025 13:30

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Elche SPA D1

17/08/2025 15:30

RCD Espanyol 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

09/08/2025 11:00

Newcastle United 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid INT CF

06/08/2025 15:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

367

Avg. per game

1.22

Conceded

176

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

210 (70%)90 (30%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

193 (64%)107 (36%)

Liverpool

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Liverpool

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Liverpool

Total shots

16.75 avg / game

Blocked

1270 total

Avg. 4.88

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

740 total

Avg. 2.91

Liverpool Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

158652

Avg. 565 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

134010

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Liverpool

300

Played games

Atletico Madrid

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

107

Clean sheets

0.33

6.33

1899

Corners

1529

5.10

18.43

5529

Throw-ins

4975

16.58

1.93

580

Offsides

650

2.17

2.57

770

GK saves

762

2.54

Liverpool

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.43

428

643

2.14

0.05

0.13

10.48

3143

Fouls

3334

11.11

13.17

3952

Tackles

4090

13.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid on 17 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Liverpool's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Liverpool and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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