Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 September

Liverpool

W W W W D

3rd place in Group A

3-2

17/09/2025 15:00

Atletico Madrid

W D D L W

14th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid on 17 September 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Liverpool will face Atletico Madrid in UEFA Champions League on September 17, 2025 at 15:00.
Liverpool are currently 3rd with 18 points after 8 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 14th with 13 points from 8 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.51.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-09-17

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Liverpool

Atletico Madrid

2025-09-17 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/09/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

03/11/2021 16:00

Liverpool

2 - 0

Atletico Madrid

UEFA CL

19/10/2021 15:00

Atletico Madrid

2 - 3

Liverpool

UEFA CL

11/03/2020 16:00

Liverpool

1 - 0

Atletico Madrid

UEFA CL

18/02/2020 16:00

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Liverpool

UEFA CL

02/08/2017 14:30

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Liverpool

Audi Cup

29/04/2010 15:05

Liverpool

1 - 0

Atletico Madrid

UEFA EL

Liverpool

67%

Draw

17%

Atletico Madrid

17%

Liverpool Last 6 matches

14/09/2025 09:00

Burnley 0 - 1 Liverpool

ENG PR

31/08/2025 11:30

Liverpool 1 - 0 Arsenal

ENG PR

25/08/2025 15:00

Newcastle United 2 - 3 Liverpool

ENG PR

15/08/2025 15:00

Liverpool 4 - 2 AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

10/08/2025 10:00

Crystal Palace 2 - 2 Liverpool

ENG FACS

04/08/2025 15:00

Liverpool 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao

INT CF

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

13/09/2025 15:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Villarreal

SPA D1

30/08/2025 11:00

Alaves 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

23/08/2025 13:30

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Elche

SPA D1

17/08/2025 15:30

RCD Espanyol 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

09/08/2025 11:00

Newcastle United 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid

INT CF

06/08/2025 15:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Played games

Liverpool

Atletico Madrid

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.77

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.36

Scored

112

Avg. per game

1.87

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 56 matches

YesNo

46 (82%)10 (18%)

In last 56 matches

NoYes

52 (87%)8 (13%)

Liverpool

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Liverpool

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Liverpool

Total shots

16.11 avg / game

Blocked

287 total

Avg. 5.22

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

13.47 avg / game

Blocked

173 total

Avg. 2.88

Liverpool Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

28471

Avg. 518 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

29520

Avg. 492 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Liverpool

Played games

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.30

6.04

338

Corners

359

5.98

18.20

1019

Throw-ins

1030

17.17

1.96

110

Offsides

117

1.95

2.52

141

GK saves

181

3.02

Liverpool

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.45

113

1.88

0.05

0.08

10.25

574

Fouls

676

11.27

7.38

413

Tackles

623

10.38

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid on 17 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Liverpool's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Liverpool and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More UEFA Champions League Predictions

Find every upcoming UEFA Champions League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less