Lille vs Marseille: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Lille

W W W D L

5th place in France Ligue 1

1-1

04/05/2025 14:45

Marseille

L W W D W

2nd place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lille vs Marseille on 04 May 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lille vs Marseille preview before placing your bet.

Lille will face Marseille in France Ligue 1 on May 4, 2025 at 14:45.
Lille are currently 5th with 60 points after 34 matches.
Marseille sit 2nd with 65 points from 34 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.25.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2025-05-04

Lille vs Marseille - Prediction & Odds

Lille

Marseille

2025-05-04 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	84	34	26	6	2	92	35	57
02 Marseille	65	34	20	5	9	74	47	27
03 Monaco	61	34	18	7	9	63	41	22
04 Nice	60	34	17	9	8	66	41	25
05 Lille	60	34	17	9	8	52	36	16
06 Lyon	57	34	17	6	11	65	46	19
07 Strasbourg	57	34	16	9	9	56	44	12
08 Lens	52	34	15	7	12	42	39	3
09 Stade Brestois	50	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7
10 Toulouse	42	34	11	9	14	44	43	1
11 AJ Auxerre	42	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3
12 Rennes	41	34	13	2	19	51	50	1
13 Nantes	36	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13
14 Angers	36	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21
15 Le Havre	34	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31
16 Reims	33	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14
17 Saint Etienne	30	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38
18 Montpellier	16	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56

Head To Head

14/01/2025 16:10

Marseille

1 - 1

Lille

FRAC

14/12/2024 12:00

Marseille

1 - 1

Lille

FRA D1

05/04/2024 15:00

Lille

3 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

04/11/2023 16:00

Marseille

0 - 0

Lille

FRA D1

20/05/2023 15:00

Lille

2 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

10/09/2022 15:00

Marseille

2 - 1

Lille

FRA D1

Marseille

50%

Draw

50%

Lille

Lille Last 6 matches

27/04/2025 09:00

Angers 0 - 2 Lille

FRA D1

20/04/2025 09:00

Lille 3 - 1 AJ Auxerre

FRA D1

12/04/2025 13:00

Toulouse 1 - 2 Lille

FRA D1

05/04/2025 15:05

Lyon 2 - 1 Lille

FRA D1

30/03/2025 14:45

Lille 1 - 0 Lens

FRA D1

15/03/2025 12:00

Nantes 1 - 0 Lille

FRA D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Marseille

27/04/2025 14:45

Marseille 4 - 1 Stade Brestois

FRA D1

19/04/2025 15:05

Marseille 5 - 1 Montpellier

FRA D1

12/04/2025 11:00

Monaco 3 - 0 Marseille

FRA D1

06/04/2025 14:45

Marseille 3 - 2 Toulouse

FRA D1

29/03/2025 12:00

Reims 3 - 1 Marseille

FRA D1

16/03/2025 15:45

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 3 - 1 Marseille

FRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Lille

Marseille

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.79

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

Avg. per game

1.41

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

21 (62%)13 (38%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

27 (79%)7 (21%)

Lille

Recent matches

Marseille

Under /Over

(79%)27 7(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(94%)32 2(6%)

Under /Over

(32%)11 23(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)12 22(65%)

Under /Over

(44%)15 19(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(65%)22 12(35%)

/Yes

(59%)20 14(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(68%)23 11(32%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lille

Marseille

Shots

Lille

Total shots

12.91 avg / game

Blocked

93 total

Avg. 3.72

Marseille

Total shots

14.62 avg / game

Blocked

90 total

Avg. 3.75

Lille Pass Marseille

Total passes

18002

Avg. 529 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

21572

Avg. 634 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

64%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lille

Played games

Marseille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.15

4.94

168

Corners

178

5.24

17.32

589

Throw-ins

571

16.79

1.26

Offsides

1.56

2.74

GK saves

2.68

Lille

DISCIPLINARY

Marseille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.18

1.85

0.03

0.18

11.82

402

Fouls

390

11.47

17.85

607

Tackles

551

16.21

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Lille vs Marseille Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lille vs Marseille on 04 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lille vs Marseille Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Marseille's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Lille and Marseille sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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