Lille vs Marseille: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Lille

W W W D L

5th place in France Ligue 1

1-1

04/05/2025 14:45

Marseille

L W W D W

2nd place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lille vs Marseille on 04 May 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lille vs Marseille preview before placing your bet.

Lille are currently 5th with 60 points after 34 matches.
Marseille sit 2nd with 65 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Lille to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Lille, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Marseille have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2025-05-04

Lille vs Marseille - Prediction & Odds

Lille

Marseille

2025-05-04 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	84	34	26	6	2	92	35	57
02 Marseille	65	34	20	5	9	74	47	27
03 Monaco	61	34	18	7	9	63	41	22
04 Nice	60	34	17	9	8	66	41	25
05 Lille	60	34	17	9	8	52	36	16
06 Lyon	57	34	17	6	11	65	46	19
07 Strasbourg	57	34	16	9	9	56	44	12
08 Lens	52	34	15	7	12	42	39	3
09 Stade Brestois	50	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7
10 Toulouse	42	34	11	9	14	44	43	1
11 AJ Auxerre	42	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3
12 Rennes	41	34	13	2	19	51	50	1
13 Nantes	36	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13
14 Angers	36	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21
15 Le Havre	34	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31
16 Reims	33	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14
17 Saint Etienne	30	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38
18 Montpellier	16	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56

Head To Head

14/01/2025 16:10

Marseille

1 - 1

Lille

FRAC

14/12/2024 12:00

Marseille

1 - 1

Lille

FRA D1

05/04/2024 15:00

Lille

3 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

04/11/2023 16:00

Marseille

0 - 0

Lille

FRA D1

20/05/2023 15:00

Lille

2 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

10/09/2022 15:00

Marseille

2 - 1

Lille

FRA D1

Lille

33%

Draw

50%

Marseille

17%

Lille Last 6 matches

27/04/2025 09:00

Angers 0 - 2 Lille FRA D1

20/04/2025 09:00

Lille 3 - 1 AJ Auxerre FRA D1

12/04/2025 13:00

Toulouse 1 - 2 Lille FRA D1

05/04/2025 15:05

Lyon 2 - 1 Lille FRA D1

30/03/2025 14:45

Lille 1 - 0 Lens FRA D1

15/03/2025 12:00

Nantes 1 - 0 Lille FRA D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Marseille

27/04/2025 14:45

Marseille 4 - 1 Stade Brestois FRA D1

19/04/2025 15:05

Marseille 5 - 1 Montpellier FRA D1

12/04/2025 11:00

Monaco 3 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

06/04/2025 14:45

Marseille 3 - 2 Toulouse FRA D1

29/03/2025 12:00

Reims 3 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

16/03/2025 15:45

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 3 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

255

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored

294

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

212

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

162 (54%)138 (46%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

183 (61%)117 (39%)

Lille

Recent matches

Marseille

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lille

Marseille

Shots

Lille

Total shots

12.80 avg / game

Blocked

814 total

Avg. 3.48

Marseille

Total shots

13.20 avg / game

Blocked

796 total

Avg. 3.52

Lille Pass Marseille

Total passes

132261

Avg. 513 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

138946

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Lille

300

Played games

Marseille

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

107

Clean sheets

0.26

4.88

1463

Corners

1612

5.37

15.72

4717

Throw-ins

4458

14.86

1.52

455

Offsides

471

1.57

2.31

692

GK saves

689

2.30

Lille

DISCIPLINARY

Marseille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.02

606

552

1.84

0.08

0.12

10.52

3156

Fouls

3137

10.46

13.07

3920

Tackles

3867

12.89

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA

How We Build the Lille vs Marseille Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lille vs Marseille on 04 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lille vs Marseille Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lille's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Marseille's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Lille and Marseille sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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