Libya vs Ethiopia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 January

Libya

D D D W D

3rd place in Group A

3 - 1

21/01/2023 15:00

Ethiopia

D W W W L

4th place in Group A

African Nations Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Libya vs Ethiopia on 21 January 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Libya vs Ethiopia preview before placing your bet.

Libya are currently 3rd with 3 points after 3 matches.
Ethiopia sit 4th with 1 points from 3 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 21/01/2023

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Algeria	9	3	3	0	0	3	0	3
02 Mozambique	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
03 Libya	3	3	1	0	2	5	5	0
04 Ethiopia	1	3	0	1	2	1	4	-3

Libya Last 6 matches

31/03/2026 22:00

Libya 2 - 2 Liberia International Friendly

28/03/2026 01:00

Libya 0 - 0 Niger International Friendly

25/11/2025 23:00

Palestine 0 - 0 Libya Arab Nations Cup

15/11/2025 21:00

Libya 1 - 0 Mauritania International Friendly

13/10/2025 23:00

Mauritius 0 - 0 Libya FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

08/10/2025 20:00

Libya 3 - 3 Cape Verde FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

Win

17%

Draw

83%

Lost

Last 6 matches Ethiopia

09/06/2026 22:00

Ethiopia 1 - 1 Malawi International Friendly

06/06/2026 22:00

Ethiopia 1 - 0 Malawi International Friendly

31/03/2026 20:00

Ethiopia 1 - 0 Sao Tome and Principe Africa Cup of Nations

27/03/2026 23:00

Sao Tome and Principe 0 - 3 Ethiopia Africa Cup of Nations

13/10/2025 02:00

Burkina Faso 3 - 1 Ethiopia FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

08/10/2025 20:00

Ethiopia 1 - 0 Guinea Bissau FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Champi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Libya

Ethiopia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.56

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored

Avg. per game

0.55

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 62 matches

YesNo

27 (44%)35 (56%)

In last 62 matches

NoYes

25 (36%)44 (64%)

Libya

Recent matches

Ethiopia

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Libya

Ethiopia

Shots

Libya

Total shots

7.38 avg / game

Blocked

9 total

Avg. 1.50

Ethiopia

Total shots

8.22 avg / game

Blocked

29 total

Avg. 2.90

Libya Pass Ethiopia

Total passes

3402

Avg. 309 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

7259

Avg. 484 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Libya

Played games

Ethiopia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.36

2.68

166

Corners

147

2.13

2.81

174

Throw-ins

217

3.14

0.40

Offsides

0.77

1.00

GK saves

1.23

Libya

DISCIPLINARY

Ethiopia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.48

0.83

0.03

0.01

3.94

244

Fouls

285

4.13

2.03

126

Tackles

200

2.90

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Libya vs Ethiopia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Libya vs Ethiopia on 21 January 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Libya vs Ethiopia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Libya's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Ethiopia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Championship standings and the African Nations Championship form table to understand exactly where Libya and Ethiopia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More African Nations Championship Predictions

Find every upcoming African Nations Championship fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less