Libertad FC vs Vinotinto de Ecuador: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Libertad FC

D W D L D

6th place in League

1-0

28/09/2025 17:00

Vinotinto de Ecuador

L L L L W

14th place in League

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Libertad FC vs Vinotinto de Ecuador on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 17:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Libertad FC vs Vinotinto de Ecuador preview before placing your bet.

Libertad FC are currently 6th with 46 points after 30 matches.
Vinotinto de Ecuador sit 14th with 27 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Libertad FC to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Vinotinto de Ecuador, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Libertad FC have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:00

2025-09-28

Libertad FC vs Vinotinto de Ecuador - Prediction & Odds

Libertad FC

Vinotinto de Ecuador

2025-09-28 17:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	64	30	18	10	2	55	23	32
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	54	30	16	6	8	46	33	13
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	51	30	14	9	7	48	31	17
04 Universidad Catolica	49	30	13	10	7	58	39	19
05 Orense SC	47	30	13	8	9	34	32	2
06 Libertad FC	46	30	12	10	8	42	36	6
07 Deportivo Cuenca	46	30	13	7	10	35	29	6
08 Club Sport Emelec	42	30	11	9	10	30	34	-4
09 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	41	30	11	8	11	38	41	-3
10 Macara	38	30	9	11	10	32	30	2
11 CD El Nacional	34	30	9	7	14	32	46	-14
12 Delfin SC	31	30	6	13	11	26	42	-16
13 Tecnico Universitario	28	30	7	7	16	26	46	-20
14 Vinotinto de Ecuador	27	30	7	6	17	34	43	-9
15 Mushuc Runa	27	30	7	6	17	38	50	-12
16 Manta FC	26	30	5	11	14	34	53	-19

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	82	10	5	3	2	12	7	5
02 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	69	10	5	3	2	20	10	10
03 Barcelona SC(ECU)	67	10	3	4	3	10	14	-4
04 Universidad Catolica	58	10	1	6	3	9	11	-2
05 Orense SC	58	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 Libertad FC	56	10	2	4	4	12	15	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manta FC	39	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Mushuc Runa	36	6	2	3	1	4	5	-1
03 Tecnico Universitario	33	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3
04 Vinotinto de Ecuador	32	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2

Qualifying Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Macara	62	10	8	0	2	21	5	16
02 Deportivo Cuenca	59	10	4	1	5	16	12	4
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	58	10	5	2	3	21	13	8
04 Club Sport Emelec	55	10	4	1	5	12	15	-3
05 CD El Nacional	45	9	3	2	4	12	21	-9
06 Delfin SC	36	9	1	2	6	4	20	-16

Head To Head

02/06/2025 20:00

Vinotinto de Ecuador

1 - 0

Libertad FC

ECU D1

Libertad FC

Draw

Vinotinto de Ecuador

100%

Libertad FC Last 6 matches

12/09/2025 20:00

Libertad FC 0 - 1 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito ECU D1

01/09/2025 20:00

Delfin SC 0 - 0 Libertad FC ECU D1

22/08/2025 20:00

Libertad FC 3 - 2 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas ECU D1

16/08/2025 17:30

Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 Libertad FC ECU D1

09/08/2025 15:00

Mushuc Runa 1 - 2 Libertad FC ECU D1

03/08/2025 19:00

Libertad FC 1 - 2 Club Sport Emelec ECU D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Vinotinto de Ecuador

20/09/2025 17:30

Vinotinto de Ecuador 4 - 1 Manta FC ECU D1

13/09/2025 15:00

Independiente del Valle 3 - 1 Vinotinto de Ecuador ECU D1

29/08/2025 20:00

Vinotinto de Ecuador 0 - 1 CD El Nacional ECU D1

23/08/2025 20:00

Vinotinto de Ecuador 0 - 1 Barcelona SC(ECU) ECU D1

18/08/2025 20:00

Deportivo Cuenca 2 - 0 Vinotinto de Ecuador ECU D1

14/08/2025 16:30

Gualaceo SC 2 - 1 Vinotinto de Ecuador ECU CUP

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Libertad FC

Vinotinto de Ecuador

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.83

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

Avg. per game

0.56

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 40 matches

YesNo

25 (63%)15 (38%)

In last 40 matches

NoYes

15 (42%)21 (58%)

Libertad FC

Recent matches

Vinotinto de Ecuador

Under /Over

(75%)30 10(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)24 12(33%)

Under /Over

(30%)12 28(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)12 24(67%)

Under /Over

(43%)17 23(57%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)13 23(64%)

/Yes

(68%)27 13(32%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)19 17(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Libertad FC

Vinotinto de Ecuador

Shots

Libertad FC

Total shots

11.70 avg / game

Blocked

45 total

Avg. 2.65

Vinotinto de Ecuador

Total shots

10.83 avg / game

Blocked

27 total

Avg. 2.25

Libertad FC Pass Vinotinto de Ecuador

Total passes

12054

Avg. 309 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

11346

Avg. 334 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Libertad FC

Played games

Vinotinto de Ecuador

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.17

4.78

191

Corners

162

4.50

8.08

323

Throw-ins

314

8.72

1.33

Offsides

1.42

3.68

147

GK saves

103

2.86

Libertad FC

DISCIPLINARY

Vinotinto de Ecuador

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.95

1.75

0.20

0.11

11.20

448

Fouls

335

9.31

11.35

454

Tackles

382

10.61

NEXT MATCHES

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas

NEXT MATCHES

Deportivo Santo Domingo

Vinotinto de Ecuador

ECU

How We Build the Libertad FC vs Vinotinto de Ecuador Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Libertad FC vs Vinotinto de Ecuador on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Libertad FC vs Vinotinto de Ecuador Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Libertad FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vinotinto de Ecuador's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Libertad FC and Vinotinto de Ecuador sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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