Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 March

Leones Negros

W W D W L

3rd place in Mexico Primera Divison A

0 - 1

23/03/2023 21:05

Atletico Morelia

W D D D D

6th place in Mexico Primera Divison A

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia on 23 March 2023 (kick-off: 21:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia preview before placing your bet.

Leones Negros are currently 3rd with 31 points after 17 matches.
Atletico Morelia sit 6th with 26 points from 17 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Leones Negros, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings. Atletico Morelia have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Celaya FC	38	17	12	2	3	28	13	15
02 CF Atlante	34	17	9	7	1	34	14	20
03 Leones Negros	31	17	9	4	4	26	13	13
04 Cimarrones de Sonora	30	17	8	6	3	29	16	13
05 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	27	17	8	3	6	23	20	3
06 Monarcas Morelia	26	17	7	5	5	23	17	6
07 Venados FC	25	17	7	4	6	21	20	1
08 Mineros de Zacatecas	23	17	6	5	6	27	29	-2
09 Club Chivas Tapatio	22	17	6	4	7	22	27	-5
10 Tepatitlan de Morelos	21	17	5	6	6	22	23	-1
11 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	20	17	4	8	5	21	16	5
12 CD Alacranes de Durango	20	17	4	8	5	23	28	-5
13 Correcaminos UAT	19	17	5	4	8	19	22	-3
14 Tlaxcala FC	19	17	5	4	8	14	26	-12
15 Raya2 Expansion	18	17	4	6	7	16	22	-6
16 Atletico La Paz	17	17	4	5	8	22	32	-10
17 Cancun FC	14	17	3	5	9	8	22	-14
18 Pumas Tabasco	10	17	2	4	11	14	32	-18

Head To Head

13/10/2022 20:00

Monarcas Morelia

0 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX D2

27/03/2022 14:00

Monarcas Morelia

0 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX D2

30/09/2021 20:50

Leones Negros

2 - 1

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

26/03/2021 00:00

Monarcas Morelia

2 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX D2

28/10/2020 23:05

Leones Negros

0 - 0

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

Leones Negros

60%

Draw

20%

Atletico Morelia

20%

Leones Negros Last 6 matches

15/03/2023 19:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - 2 Leones Negros MEX D2

12/03/2023 19:00

Leones Negros 1 - 3 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX D2

28/02/2023 19:05

Mineros de Zacatecas 2 - 1 Leones Negros MEX D2

23/02/2023 23:05

Leones Negros 3 - 2 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

19/02/2023 14:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 1 Leones Negros MEX D2

13/02/2023 21:00

Leones Negros 3 - 3 Pumas Tabasco MEX D2

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Atletico Morelia

15/03/2023 21:05

Monarcas Morelia 1 - 0 Raya2 Expansion MEX D2

07/03/2023 23:05

Monarcas Morelia 1 - 2 Mineros de Zacatecas MEX D2

01/03/2023 21:05

Cancun FC 1 - 0 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

26/02/2023 19:00

Monarcas Morelia 0 - 1 CF Atlante MEX D2

14/02/2023 19:05

Correcaminos UAT 1 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

09/02/2023 21:05

Monarcas Morelia 2 - 0 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX D2

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Leones Negros

Atletico Morelia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 41 matches

YesNo

25 (61%)16 (39%)

In last 41 matches

NoYes

25 (58%)18 (42%)

Leones Negros

Recent matches

Atletico Morelia

Under /Over

(71%)29 12(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(65%)28 15(35%)

Under /Over

(22%)9 32(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(23%)10 33(77%)

Under /Over

(41%)17 24(59%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(30%)13 30(70%)

/Yes

(37%)15 26(63%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)19 24(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Leones Negros

Atletico Morelia

Shots

Leones Negros

Total shots

9.83 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Atletico Morelia

Total shots

9.05 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros Pass Atletico Morelia

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Leones Negros

Played games

Atletico Morelia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

Clean sheets

0.35

4.49

184

Corners

238

5.53

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Leones Negros

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Morelia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.32

111

2.58

0.17

0.19

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

Atletico Morelia

MEX

How We Build the Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia on 23 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Leones Negros's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Morelia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Leones Negros and Atletico Morelia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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