Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Leones Negros

W W L L W

1st place in Autumn

2-0

11/05/2025 14:00

Atletico Morelia

W L W D W

7th place in Autumn

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia on 11 May 2025 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia preview before placing your bet.

Leones Negros will face Atletico Morelia in Mexico Primera Divison A on May 11, 2025 at 14:00.
Leones Negros are currently 1st with 29 points after 14 matches.
Atletico Morelia sit 7th with 20 points from 14 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.78.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2025-05-11

Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia - Prediction & Odds

Leones Negros

Atletico Morelia

2025-05-11 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leones Negros	29	14	9	2	3	31	18	13
02 CF Atlante	28	14	8	4	2	26	11	15
03 Mineros de Zacatecas	26	14	7	5	2	19	11	8
04 Celaya FC	25	14	7	4	3	23	15	8
05 Tampico Madero	24	14	7	3	4	16	12	4
06 Venados FC	22	14	6	4	4	22	20	2
07 Monarcas Morelia	20	14	6	2	6	18	21	-3
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	19	14	5	4	5	23	18	5
09 Cancun FC	19	14	5	4	5	18	17	1
10 Club Chivas Tapatio	19	14	6	1	7	18	18	0
11 Correcaminos UAT	18	14	5	3	6	19	24	-5
12 Tlaxcala FC	13	14	2	7	5	21	29	-8
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	12	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8
14 Atletico La Paz	10	14	2	4	8	20	35	-15
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	5	14	1	2	11	13	30	-17

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	29	14	8	5	1	31	11	20
02 Club Chivas Tapatio	29	14	8	5	1	32	14	18
03 Leones Negros	28	14	8	4	2	23	15	8
04 Celaya FC	23	14	6	5	3	24	12	12
05 Venados FC	22	14	5	7	2	26	12	14
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	20	14	5	5	4	17	11	6
07 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	15	6
08 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	18	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1
09 Cancun FC	18	14	5	3	6	19	21	-2
10 Tampico Madero	18	14	4	6	4	13	17	-4
11 Monarcas Morelia	16	14	4	4	6	14	22	-8
12 Tlaxcala FC	14	14	4	2	8	14	21	-7
13 Atletico La Paz	12	14	3	3	8	13	34	-21
14 Correcaminos UAT	9	14	2	3	9	19	36	-17
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	9	14	2	3	9	11	35	-24

Head To Head

03/05/2025 21:30

Monarcas Morelia

2 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX D2

20/03/2025 23:00

Leones Negros

2 - 1

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

05/10/2024 19:00

Monarcas Morelia

0 - 2

Leones Negros

MEX D2

04/04/2024 21:05

Monarcas Morelia

0 - 2

Leones Negros

MEX D2

18/11/2023 21:05

Leones Negros

2 - 0

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

15/11/2023 21:05

Monarcas Morelia

2 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX D2

Monarcas Morelia

67%

Draw

Leones Negros

33%

Leones Negros Last 6 matches

03/05/2025 21:30

Monarcas Morelia 2 - 0 Leones Negros

MEX D2

27/04/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 2 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

24/04/2025 22:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 2 - 1 Leones Negros

MEX D2

18/04/2025 21:00

Leones Negros 3 - 1 Venados FC

MEX D2

12/04/2025 21:05

Celaya FC 2 - 3 Leones Negros

MEX D2

06/04/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 1 - 2 Tampico Madero

MEX D2

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Atletico Morelia

03/05/2025 21:30

Monarcas Morelia 2 - 0 Leones Negros

MEX D2

26/04/2025 20:00

CF Atlante 2 - 3 Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

23/04/2025 21:10

Monarcas Morelia 0 - 0 CF Atlante

MEX D2

19/04/2025 21:00

Tlaxcala FC 1 - 1 Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

12/04/2025 21:00

Monarcas Morelia 2 - 1 Cancun FC

MEX D2

05/04/2025 21:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 1 Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Leones Negros

Atletico Morelia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 40 matches

YesNo

29 (73%)11 (28%)

In last 40 matches

NoYes

19 (59%)13 (41%)

Leones Negros

Recent matches

Atletico Morelia

Under /Over

(80%)32 8(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)25 7(22%)

Under /Over

(43%)17 23(57%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

Under /Over

(48%)19 21(52%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)15 17(53%)

/Yes

(65%)26 14(35%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)19 13(41%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Leones Negros

Atletico Morelia

Shots

Leones Negros

Total shots

9.78 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Atletico Morelia

Total shots

8.41 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros Pass Atletico Morelia

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Leones Negros

Played games

Atletico Morelia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.22

5.23

209

Corners

133

4.16

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Leones Negros

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Morelia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.25

2.03

0.18

0.06

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

Atletico Morelia

MEX

How We Build the Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Leones Negros vs Atletico Morelia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Leones Negros's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Morelia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Leones Negros and Atletico Morelia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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