Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Betiball's prediction for Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa on 17 May 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa preview before placing your bet.

Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa: Starting Lineups Time : 17/05/2026 14:00

Leones del Norte
3 - 1
Finished
Mushuc Runa
90+2' event Darío Pazmiño
85' event Frixon Vargas / Jonathan Arroyo
84' event Jorge Cabeza / Juan Luis Anangono Leon
74' event Oscar Pepinos / Charles Velez
63' event David Caicedo / Cristhian Solano
63' event Darío Pazmiño / Emiliano Griffa
45+12' event Ariel Aguas
45+9' event Juan Luis Anangono Leon
45+6' event Segundo Arlen Portocarrero Rodriguez Penalty confirmed
31' event Emiliano Griffa
6' event Nicolas Monserrat
event 88' Cristopher Angulo
event 74' Elian Caicedo / Elvis Kevin Velasco Chere
event 74' Osman Pico / Kevin Marcelo Peralta Ayovi
event 62' Tomson Geraldy Minda Borja / Freddy Mina
event 62' Ronie Edmundo Carrillo Morales / Facundo Castelli
event 40' Freddy Mina
event 39' Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez / Brian Negro
event 12' Kevin Marcelo Peralta Ayovi
90+2' event Darío Pazmiño
event 88' Cristopher Angulo
85' event Frixon Vargas / Jonathan Arroyo
event 74' Elian Caicedo / Elvis Kevin Velasco Chere
84' event Jorge Cabeza / Juan Luis Anangono Leon
event 74' Osman Pico / Kevin Marcelo Peralta Ayovi
74' event Oscar Pepinos / Charles Velez
event 62' Tomson Geraldy Minda Borja / Freddy Mina
63' event David Caicedo / Cristhian Solano
event 62' Ronie Edmundo Carrillo Morales / Facundo Castelli
63' event Darío Pazmiño / Emiliano Griffa
event 40' Freddy Mina
45+12' event Ariel Aguas
event 39' Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez / Brian Negro
45+9' event Juan Luis Anangono Leon
event 12' Kevin Marcelo Peralta Ayovi
45+6' event Segundo Arlen Portocarrero Rodriguez Penalty confirmed
31' event Emiliano Griffa
6' event Nicolas Monserrat
Leones del Norte Leones del Norte
Substitutions
#24 Jose Angulo
#13 Jorge Cabeza
#50 Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio
#27 David Caicedo
#11 Martin Caramuto
#33 Andres Chacon
#16 Maiky Jordan De La Cruz Borja
#10 Agustin Mansilla
#44 Kevin Josue Mina Quinonez
#70 Darío Pazmiño
#19 Oscar Pepinos
#3 Frixon Vargas
Leones del Norte Leones del Norte Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa
17Shots12
6Shots on Goal5
15Fouls13
4Corner Kick2
12Free kick15
1Offside1
2Yellow card1
0Red card1
4Save3
8Successful Tackles16
11Interceptions8
17Long pass33
5Successful center3
9Shots off goal2
2Blocked5
8Tackle16
6Dribbles7
21Throw-in22
274Passes369
77Attacks84
30Dangerous attacks40
4Corner Kicks(HT)1
4BigChances1
2BigChancesMissed0
10ShotsInsideBox7
7ShotsOutsideBox5
33DuelsWon50
2.29ExpectedGoals0.75
2.66xGOT0.4
19Touches In Opposition Box16
11AccurateCrosses18
26GroundDuelsWon41
7AerialDuelsWon9
16Clearances11
Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa
Substitutions
#14 Elian Caicedo
#19 Jamilton Andres Carcelen Moreira
#9 Ronie Edmundo Carrillo Morales
#15 Adrian Josue Cela Recalde
#23 Lucas Maximiliano Lemos Mayuncaldi
#37 Jose Luis Quinones
#7 Tomson Geraldy Minda Borja
#32 Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez
#42 Adonnis Pabón
#17 Osman Pico
#8 Arnaldo Zambrano
Commentary
90+2' Goal! Darío Pazmiño - Leones del Norte
88' Cristopher Angulo - Mushuc Runa receive a red card
85' Leones del Norte — substitution: Frixon Vargas / Jonathan Arroyo
84' Leones del Norte — substitution: Jorge Cabeza / Juan Luis Anangono Leon
74' Leones del Norte — substitution: Oscar Pepinos / Charles Velez
74' Mushuc Runa — substitution: Elian Caicedo / Elvis Kevin Velasco Chere
74' Mushuc Runa — substitution: Osman Pico / Kevin Marcelo Peralta Ayovi
63' Leones del Norte — substitution: David Caicedo / Cristhian Solano
63' Leones del Norte — substitution: Darío Pazmiño / Emiliano Griffa
62' Mushuc Runa — substitution: Tomson Geraldy Minda Borja / Freddy Mina
62' Mushuc Runa — substitution: Ronie Edmundo Carrillo Morales / Facundo Castelli
45+12' Ariel Aguas - Leones del Norte receive a yellow card
45+9' Penalty scored! Juan Luis Anangono Leon - Leones del Norte
45+6' VAR review - Leones del Norte
40' Goal! Freddy Mina - Mushuc Runa
39' Mushuc Runa — substitution: Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez / Brian Negro
31' Goal! Emiliano Griffa - Leones del Norte
12' Kevin Marcelo Peralta Ayovi - Mushuc Runa receive a yellow card
6' Nicolas Monserrat - Leones del Norte receive a yellow card

How We Build the Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Leones del Norte's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mushuc Runa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Leones del Norte and Mushuc Runa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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