Leeds United vs Watford: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 September

Leeds United

L D L W L

3rd place in England Championship

3-0

23/09/2023 10:00

Watford

D D L D W

15th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Leeds United vs Watford on 23 September 2023 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Leeds United vs Watford preview before placing your bet.

Leeds United are currently 3rd with 90 points after 46 matches.
Watford sit 15th with 56 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Leeds United to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors Watford, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Leeds United have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2023-09-23

Leeds United vs Watford - Prediction & Odds

Leeds United

Watford

2023-09-23 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 23/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leicester City	97	46	31	4	11	89	41	48
02 Ipswich Town	96	46	28	12	6	92	57	35
03 Leeds United	90	46	27	9	10	81	43	38
04 Southampton	87	46	26	9	11	87	63	24
05 West Bromwich(WBA)	75	46	21	12	13	70	47	23
06 Norwich City	73	46	21	10	15	79	64	15
07 Hull City	70	46	19	13	14	68	60	8
08 Middlesbrough	69	46	20	9	17	71	62	9
09 Coventry City	64	46	17	13	16	70	59	11
10 Preston North End	63	46	18	9	19	56	67	-11
11 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	53	51	2
12 Cardiff City	62	46	19	5	22	53	70	-17
13 Millwall	59	46	16	11	19	45	55	-10
14 Swansea City	57	46	15	12	19	59	65	-6
15 Watford	56	46	13	17	16	61	61	0
16 Sunderland A.F.C	56	46	16	8	22	52	54	-2
17 Stoke City	56	46	15	11	20	49	60	-11
18 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	15	11	20	47	58	-11
19 Blackburn Rovers	53	46	14	11	21	60	74	-14
20 Sheffield Wednesday	53	46	15	8	23	44	68	-24
21 Plymouth Argyle	51	46	13	12	21	59	70	-11
22 Birmingham City	50	46	13	11	22	50	65	-15
23 Huddersfield Town	45	46	9	18	19	48	77	-29
24 Rotherham United	27	46	5	12	29	37	89	-52

Head To Head

09/04/2022 10:00

Watford

0 - 3

Leeds United

ENG PR

02/10/2021 10:00

Leeds United

1 - 0

Watford

ENG PR

20/02/2016 11:00

Watford

1 - 0

Leeds United

ENG FAC

28/02/2015 11:00

Leeds United

2 - 3

Watford

ENG LCH

23/08/2014 10:00

Watford

4 - 1

Leeds United

ENG LCH

08/04/2014 14:45

Watford

3 - 0

Leeds United

ENG LCH

Leeds United

33%

Draw

Watford

67%

Leeds United Last 6 matches

02/09/2023 10:00

Leeds United 0 - 0 Sheffield Wednesday ENG LCH

29/08/2023 15:00

Salford City 1 - 1 Leeds United ENG LC

26/08/2023 10:00

Ipswich Town 3 - 4 Leeds United ENG LCH

18/08/2023 15:00

Leeds United 1 - 1 West Bromwich(WBA) ENG LCH

12/08/2023 10:00

Birmingham City 1 - 0 Leeds United ENG LCH

09/08/2023 14:45

Leeds United 2 - 1 Shrewsbury Town ENG LC

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Watford

02/09/2023 10:00

Coventry City 3 - 3 Watford ENG LCH

27/08/2023 07:00

Watford 0 - 1 Blackburn Rovers ENG LCH

19/08/2023 10:00

Stoke City 1 - 0 Watford ENG LCH

12/08/2023 10:00

Watford 0 - 0 Plymouth Argyle ENG LCH

08/08/2023 14:45

Stevenage Borough 1 - 1 Watford ENG LC

05/08/2023 10:00

Watford 4 - 0 Queens Park Rangers (QPR) ENG LCH

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Goals

Scored

461

Avg. per game

1.54

Conceded

414

Avg. per game

1.38

Scored

355

Avg. per game

1.18

Conceded

402

Avg. per game

1.34

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

223 (74%)77 (26%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

209 (70%)91 (30%)

Leeds United

Recent matches

Watford

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Leeds United

Watford

Shots

Leeds United

Total shots

13.98 avg / game

Blocked

1068 total

Avg. 4.27

Watford

Total shots

11.91 avg / game

Blocked

818 total

Avg. 3.41

Leeds United Pass Watford

Total passes

126027

Avg. 470 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

111211

Avg. 417 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Leeds United

300

Played games

Watford

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.28

5.51

1652

Corners

1497

4.99

18.61

5583

Throw-ins

5827

19.42

1.70

509

Offsides

428

1.43

2.46

738

GK saves

777

2.59

Leeds United

DISCIPLINARY

Watford

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.69

507

565

1.88

0.03

0.07

10.04

3013

Fouls

3254

10.85

15.11

4533

Tackles

4019

13.40

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Leeds United vs Watford Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Leeds United vs Watford on 23 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Leeds United vs Watford Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Leeds United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Watford's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Leeds United and Watford sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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