Leeds United vs Southampton: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Leeds United

L D L W L

3rd place in England Championship

1-2

04/05/2024 11:30

Southampton

W W L L L

4th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Leeds United vs Southampton on 04 May 2024 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Leeds United vs Southampton preview before placing your bet.

Leeds United are currently 3rd with 90 points after 46 matches.
Southampton sit 4th with 87 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Leeds United to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Leeds United and Southampton have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2024-05-04

Leeds United vs Southampton - Prediction & Odds

Leeds United

Southampton

2024-05-04 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leicester City	97	46	31	4	11	89	41	48
02 Ipswich Town	96	46	28	12	6	92	57	35
03 Leeds United	90	46	27	9	10	81	43	38
04 Southampton	87	46	26	9	11	87	63	24
05 West Bromwich(WBA)	75	46	21	12	13	70	47	23
06 Norwich City	73	46	21	10	15	79	64	15
07 Hull City	70	46	19	13	14	68	60	8
08 Middlesbrough	69	46	20	9	17	71	62	9
09 Coventry City	64	46	17	13	16	70	59	11
10 Preston North End	63	46	18	9	19	56	67	-11
11 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	53	51	2
12 Cardiff City	62	46	19	5	22	53	70	-17
13 Millwall	59	46	16	11	19	45	55	-10
14 Swansea City	57	46	15	12	19	59	65	-6
15 Watford	56	46	13	17	16	61	61	0
16 Sunderland A.F.C	56	46	16	8	22	52	54	-2
17 Stoke City	56	46	15	11	20	49	60	-11
18 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	15	11	20	47	58	-11
19 Blackburn Rovers	53	46	14	11	21	60	74	-14
20 Sheffield Wednesday	53	46	15	8	23	44	68	-24
21 Plymouth Argyle	51	46	13	12	21	59	70	-11
22 Birmingham City	50	46	13	11	22	50	65	-15
23 Huddersfield Town	45	46	9	18	19	48	77	-29
24 Rotherham United	27	46	5	12	29	37	89	-52

Head To Head

30/09/2023 11:30

Southampton

3 - 1

Leeds United

ENG LCH

25/02/2023 15:00

Leeds United

1 - 0

Southampton

ENG PR

13/08/2022 14:00

Southampton

2 - 2

Leeds United

ENG PR

02/04/2022 14:00

Leeds United

1 - 1

Southampton

ENG PR

16/10/2021 14:00

Southampton

1 - 0

Leeds United

ENG PR

18/05/2021 17:00

Southampton

0 - 2

Leeds United

ENG PR

Leeds United

33%

Draw

33%

Southampton

33%

Leeds United Last 6 matches

26/04/2024 19:00

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) 4 - 0 Leeds United ENG LCH

22/04/2024 19:00

Middlesbrough 3 - 4 Leeds United ENG LCH

13/04/2024 11:30

Leeds United 0 - 1 Blackburn Rovers ENG LCH

09/04/2024 19:00

Leeds United 0 - 0 Sunderland A.F.C ENG LCH

06/04/2024 14:00

Coventry City 2 - 1 Leeds United ENG LCH

01/04/2024 19:00

Leeds United 3 - 1 Hull City ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Southampton

27/04/2024 14:00

Southampton 0 - 1 Stoke City ENG LCH

23/04/2024 19:00

Leicester City 5 - 0 Southampton ENG LCH

20/04/2024 14:00

Cardiff City 2 - 1 Southampton ENG LCH

16/04/2024 19:00

Southampton 3 - 0 Preston North End ENG LCH

13/04/2024 14:00

Southampton 3 - 2 Watford ENG LCH

09/04/2024 18:45

Southampton 2 - 1 Coventry City ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Goals

Scored

460

Avg. per game

1.54

Conceded

414

Avg. per game

1.38

Scored

421

Avg. per game

1.40

Conceded

474

Avg. per game

1.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 299 matches

YesNo

222 (74%)77 (26%)

In last 299 matches

NoYes

229 (76%)71 (24%)

Leeds United

Recent matches

Southampton

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Leeds United

Southampton

Shots

Leeds United

Total shots

14.01 avg / game

Blocked

1068 total

Avg. 4.27

Southampton

Total shots

12.47 avg / game

Blocked

941 total

Avg. 3.72

Leeds United Pass Southampton

Total passes

126027

Avg. 470 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

127640

Avg. 480 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Leeds United

299

Played games

Southampton

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.21

5.52

1650

Corners

1627

5.42

18.67

5583

Throw-ins

4859

16.20

1.70

509

Offsides

462

1.54

2.47

738

GK saves

784

2.61

Leeds United

DISCIPLINARY

Southampton

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.69

506

553

1.84

0.03

0.05

10.07

3012

Fouls

2986

9.95

15.16

4533

Tackles

4023

13.41

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Leeds United vs Southampton Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Leeds United vs Southampton on 04 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Leeds United vs Southampton Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Leeds United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Southampton's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Leeds United and Southampton sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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