Leeds United vs Burnley: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 May

Betiball's prediction for Leeds United vs Burnley on 01 May 2026 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Leeds United vs Burnley preview before placing your bet.

Leeds United vs Burnley: Starting Lineups Time : 01/05/2026 12:00

Leeds United
3 - 1
Finished
Burnley
90+3' event Daniel James / Jayden Bogle
90+3' event Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Dominic Calvert-Lewin
75' event Ethan Ampadu
72' event Brenden Aaronson / Anton Stach
72' event Sean Longstaff / Ao Tanaka
65' event Lukas Nmecha / Noah Okafor
56' event Dominic Calvert-Lewin
52' event Noah Okafor
48' event Dominic Calvert-Lewin
40' event Joe Rodon
27' event Pascal Struijk
8' event Anton Stach
event 88' Hannibal Mejbri
event 76' Armando Broja / Zian Flemming
event 76' Zeki Amdouni / Bashir Humphreys
event 71' Loum Tchaouna
event 68' Lucas Pires Silva Goal Disallowed - offside
event 65' Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis / James Ward Prowse
event 65' Lucas Pires Silva / Quilindschy Hartman
event 54' Hannibal Mejbri / Josh Laurent
event 37' Loum Tchaouna
event 35' Bashir Humphreys
90+3' event Daniel James / Jayden Bogle
event 88' Hannibal Mejbri
90+3' event Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Dominic Calvert-Lewin
event 76' Armando Broja / Zian Flemming
75' event Ethan Ampadu
event 76' Zeki Amdouni / Bashir Humphreys
72' event Brenden Aaronson / Anton Stach
event 71' Loum Tchaouna
72' event Sean Longstaff / Ao Tanaka
event 68' Lucas Pires Silva Goal Disallowed - offside
65' event Lukas Nmecha / Noah Okafor
event 65' Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis / James Ward Prowse
56' event Dominic Calvert-Lewin
event 65' Lucas Pires Silva / Quilindschy Hartman
52' event Noah Okafor
event 54' Hannibal Mejbri / Josh Laurent
48' event Dominic Calvert-Lewin
event 37' Loum Tchaouna
40' event Joe Rodon
event 35' Bashir Humphreys
27' event Pascal Struijk
8' event Anton Stach
Leeds United Leeds United
Substitutions
#14 Lukas Nmecha
#29 Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
#11 Brenden Aaronson
#8 Sean Longstaff
#7 Daniel James
#23 Sebastiaan Bornauw
#1 Lucas Estella Perri
#10 Joel Piroe
#25 Sam Byram
Leeds United Leeds United Burnley Burnley
18Shots9
8Shots on Goal3
12Fouls11
5Corner Kick0
11Free kick12
0Offside1
4Yellow card3
50Aerial38
2Save5
7Successful Tackles14
12Interceptions8
24Long pass20
2Assist1
6Successful center5
5Substitution5
5Shots off goal2
23Head Success21
5Blocked4
7Tackle6
3Dribbles6
14Throw-in22
448Passes503
115Attacks80
48Dangerous attacks36
2Corner Kicks(HT)0
2BigChances0
11ShotsInsideBox5
7ShotsOutsideBox4
46DuelsWon53
1.68ExpectedGoals0.53
1xGOpenPlay0.53
1.68xGNonPenalty0.53
2.43xGOT0.26
26Touches In Opposition Box17
20AccurateCrosses8
23GroundDuelsWon32
23AerialDuelsWon21
14Clearances32
Burnley Burnley
Substitutions
#27 Armando Broja
#23 Lucas Pires Silva
#16 Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis
#25 Zeki Amdouni
#28 Hannibal Mejbri
#8 Chimuanya Ugochukwu
#13 Max Wei
#10 Marcus Edwards
#4 Joe Worrall
Commentary
90+3' Leeds United — substitution: Daniel James / Jayden Bogle
90+3' Leeds United — substitution: Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Dominic Calvert-Lewin
88' Hannibal Mejbri - Burnley receive a yellow card
76' Burnley — substitution: Armando Broja / Zian Flemming
76' Burnley — substitution: Zeki Amdouni / Bashir Humphreys
75' Ethan Ampadu - Leeds United receive a yellow card
72' Leeds United — substitution: Brenden Aaronson / Anton Stach
72' Leeds United — substitution: Sean Longstaff / Ao Tanaka
71' Goal! Loum Tchaouna - Burnley
68' VAR review - Burnley
65' Leeds United — substitution: Lukas Nmecha / Noah Okafor
65' Burnley — substitution: Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis / James Ward Prowse
65' Burnley — substitution: Lucas Pires Silva / Quilindschy Hartman
56' Goal! Dominic Calvert-Lewin - Leeds United
54' Burnley — substitution: Hannibal Mejbri / Josh Laurent
52' Goal! Noah Okafor - Leeds United
48' Dominic Calvert-Lewin - Leeds United receive a yellow card
40' Joe Rodon - Leeds United receive a yellow card
37' Loum Tchaouna - Burnley receive a yellow card
35' Bashir Humphreys - Burnley receive a yellow card
27' Pascal Struijk - Leeds United receive a yellow card
8' Goal! Anton Stach - Leeds United

How We Build the Leeds United vs Burnley Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Leeds United vs Burnley on 01 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Leeds United vs Burnley Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Leeds United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burnley's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Leeds United and Burnley sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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