Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Lech Poznan

W W W D W

1st place in Poland Ekstraklasa

2-2

28/09/2025 12:45

Jagiellonia Bialystok

W L W W D

3rd place in Poland Ekstraklasa

Poland Ekstraklasa

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 12:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok preview before placing your bet.

Lech Poznan are currently 1st with 60 points after 34 matches.
Jagiellonia Bialystok sit 3rd with 56 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Lech Poznan to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Lech Poznan, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Jagiellonia Bialystok have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:45

2025-09-28

Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Prediction & Odds

Lech Poznan

Jagiellonia Bialystok

2025-09-28 12:45

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Lech Poznan	60	34	16	12	6	62	45	17
02 Gornik Zabrze	56	34	16	8	10	50	38	12
03 Jagiellonia Bialystok	56	34	15	11	8	56	41	15
04 Rakow Czestochowa	55	34	16	7	11	51	40	11
05 GKS Katowice	50	34	14	8	12	51	45	6
06 Legia Warszawa	49	34	12	13	9	42	37	5
07 Zaglebie Lubin	48	34	13	9	12	45	38	7
08 Wisla Plock	46	34	12	10	12	34	38	-4
09 Pogon Szczecin	45	34	13	6	15	47	49	-2
10 Radomiak Radom	44	34	11	11	12	52	53	-1
11 Korona Kielce	43	34	11	10	13	40	40	0
12 Motor Lublin	43	34	10	13	11	46	53	-7
13 Cracovia Krakow	42	34	9	15	10	39	42	-3
14 Widzew lodz	42	34	12	6	16	41	41	0
15 Piast Gliwice	41	34	11	8	15	42	46	-4
16 Lechia Gdansk	38	34	12	7	15	62	65	-3
17 Arka Gdynia	36	34	9	9	16	34	61	-27
18 LKS Nieciecza	34	34	9	7	18	43	65	-22

Head To Head

16/03/2025 19:15

Jagiellonia Bialystok

2 - 1

Lech Poznan

POL PR

14/09/2024 18:15

Lech Poznan

5 - 0

Jagiellonia Bialystok

POL PR

17/02/2024 16:30

Jagiellonia Bialystok

1 - 2

Lech Poznan

POL PR

24/10/2023 15:59

Lech Poznan

3 - 3

Jagiellonia Bialystok

POL PR

27/05/2023 15:30

Lech Poznan

2 - 0

Jagiellonia Bialystok

POL PR

12/11/2022 16:30

Jagiellonia Bialystok

1 - 2

Lech Poznan

POL PR

Lech Poznan

67%

Draw

17%

Jagiellonia Bialystok

17%

Lech Poznan Last 6 matches

24/09/2025 16:45

Rakow Czestochowa 2 - 2 Lech Poznan POL PR

20/09/2025 15:30

LKS Nieciecza 0 - 2 Lech Poznan POL PR

12/09/2025 18:30

Lech Poznan 1 - 2 Zaglebie Lubin POL PR

31/08/2025 15:30

Lech Poznan 2 - 1 Widzew lodz POL PR

28/08/2025 18:00

Racing Genk 1 - 2 Lech Poznan UEFA EL

21/08/2025 18:30

Lech Poznan 1 - 5 Racing Genk UEFA EL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Jagiellonia Bialystok

24/09/2025 19:00

Legia Warszawa 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Bialystok POL PR

19/09/2025 18:30

Wisla Plock 0 - 1 Jagiellonia Bialystok POL PR

13/09/2025 18:15

Piast Gliwice 1 - 1 Jagiellonia Bialystok POL PR

31/08/2025 15:30

Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 - 0 Lechia Gdansk POL PR

28/08/2025 18:45

KS Dinamo Tirana 1 - 1 Jagiellonia Bialystok UEFA ECL

21/08/2025 18:15

Jagiellonia Bialystok 3 - 0 KS Dinamo Tirana UEFA ECL

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Poland Ekstraklasa

Played games

Lech Poznan

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored

Avg. per game

1.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

30 (88%)4 (12%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

28 (82%)6 (18%)

Lech Poznan

Recent matches

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Under /Over

(76%)26 8(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)28 6(18%)

Under /Over

(41%)14 20(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)17 17(50%)

Under /Over

(53%)18 16(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)15 19(56%)

/Yes

(68%)23 11(32%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)22 12(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Lech Poznan

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Shots

Lech Poznan

Total shots

17.82 avg / game

Blocked

176 total

Avg. 5.68

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Total shots

15.09 avg / game

Blocked

126 total

Avg. 4.20

Lech Poznan Pass Jagiellonia Bialystok

Total passes

16114

Avg. 488 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

15896

Avg. 482 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Lech Poznan

2831

Avg. 83.26 / game

Jagiellonia Bialystok

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Jagiellonia Bialystok

2092

Avg. 61.53 / game

OTHERS

Lech Poznan

Played games

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.29

5.97

203

Corners

181

5.32

17.35

590

Throw-ins

573

16.85

1.29

Offsides

2.06

2.62

GK saves

107

3.15

Lech Poznan

DISCIPLINARY

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.68

2.12

0.09

0.00

11.21

381

Fouls

404

11.88

7.65

260

Tackles

300

8.82

NEXT MATCHES

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POL

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UEF

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How We Build the Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Poland Ekstraklasa fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Lech Poznan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Jagiellonia Bialystok's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Poland Ekstraklasa Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Poland Ekstraklasa standings and the Poland Ekstraklasa form table to understand exactly where Lech Poznan and Jagiellonia Bialystok sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Poland Ekstraklasa predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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