La Luz vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 November

La Luz
WLLLL
16th place in Autumn
0 - 1
FT
30/11/2023 23:30
Nacional Montevideo
LDWWW
4th place in Autumn
Uruguay Primera Division
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for La Luz vs Nacional Montevideo on 30 November 2023 (kick-off: 23:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full La Luz vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

  • La Luz are currently 16th with 13 points after 15 matches.
  • Nacional Montevideo sit 4th with 24 points from 15 matches.
  • Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. La Luz have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 30/11/2023
Autumn PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
35 15 11 2 2 23 8 15
02 CA Penarol CA Penarol
25 15 6 7 2 19 13 6
03 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
25 15 7 4 4 16 13 3
04 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
24 15 6 6 3 20 17 3
05 Danubio FC Danubio FC
22 15 6 4 5 15 14 1
06 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
21 15 6 3 6 19 13 6
07 Torque Torque
21 15 6 3 6 21 20 1
08 Boston River Boston River
20 15 6 2 7 17 16 1
09 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
19 15 4 7 4 13 15 -2
10 CA River Plate CA River Plate
19 15 5 4 6 9 14 -5
11 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
18 15 5 3 7 14 19 -5
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
17 15 4 5 6 14 17 -3
13 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
16 15 3 7 5 11 15 -4
14 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
15 15 3 6 6 12 15 -3
15 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
15 15 4 3 8 13 21 -8
16 La Luz La Luz
13 15 3 4 8 13 19 -6
Torneo Intermedio Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
14 7 4 2 1 11 5 6
02 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
12 7 3 3 1 10 6 4
03 Danubio FC Danubio FC
11 7 3 2 2 6 4 2
04 CA Penarol CA Penarol
10 7 3 1 3 9 9 0
05 Boston River Boston River
9 7 3 0 4 8 7 1
06 CA River Plate CA River Plate
9 7 2 3 2 5 7 -2
07 Torque Torque
8 7 2 2 3 8 8 0
08 La Luz La Luz
4 7 1 1 5 6 17 -11
Torneo Intermedio Group B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
16 7 5 1 1 15 8 7
02 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
12 7 3 3 1 6 4 2
03 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
11 7 3 2 2 12 8 4
04 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
10 7 3 1 3 12 12 0
05 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
9 7 2 3 2 7 5 2
06 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
8 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1
07 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
5 7 1 2 4 7 13 -6
08 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
4 7 0 4 3 9 17 -8
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 CA Penarol CA Penarol
34 15 10 4 1 25 11 14
02 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
29 15 8 5 2 28 11 17
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
25 15 6 7 2 27 14 13
04 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
25 15 6 7 2 13 10 3
05 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
23 15 6 5 4 24 19 5
06 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
23 15 6 5 4 16 12 4
07 CA River Plate CA River Plate
20 15 5 5 5 17 19 -2
08 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
20 15 5 5 5 18 23 -5
09 La Luz La Luz
19 15 5 4 6 23 27 -4
10 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
16 15 3 7 5 13 16 -3
11 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
16 15 4 4 7 15 25 -10
12 Danubio FC Danubio FC
15 15 3 6 6 20 19 1
13 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
15 15 3 6 6 13 17 -4
14 Torque Torque
14 15 3 5 7 15 24 -9
15 Boston River Boston River
12 15 2 6 7 15 23 -8
16 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
12 15 3 3 9 11 23 -12
Head To Head
29/04/2023 22:00
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
3 - 0
La Luz La Luz
URU D1
La Luz
0
0%
Draw
0
0%
Nacional Montevideo
1
100%
La Luz La Luz Last 6 matches
26/11/2023 19:30
CA River Plate 1 - 0 La Luz URU D1
19/11/2023 22:00
Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 0 La Luz URU D1
16/11/2023 19:30
Boston River 1 - 2 La Luz URU D1
11/11/2023 22:30
La Luz 1 - 2 Cerro Montevideo URU D1
05/11/2023 17:30
Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 1 La Luz URU D1
29/10/2023 19:00
Rampla Juniors FC 2 - 2 La Luz U Cup
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
26/11/2023 22:30
Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Wanderers FC URU D1
20/11/2023 19:30
Centro Atletico Fenix 1 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1
16/11/2023 00:30
Nacional Montevideo 1 - 3 Danubio FC URU D1
11/11/2023 19:30
Nacional Montevideo 2 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1
04/11/2023 23:00
CA River Plate 0 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1
29/10/2023 22:15
Potencia 0 - 4 Nacional Montevideo U Cup
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
La Luz
La Luz
37
 Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
37
Goals
Scored
17
Avg. per game
0.46
Conceded
29
Avg. per game
0.78
Scored
32
Avg. per game
0.86
Conceded
12
Avg. per game
0.32
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 37 matches
YesNo
13 (35%)24 (65%)
In last 37 matches
NoYes
22 (59%)15 (41%)
La Luz

La Luz

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(78%)29 8(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)27 10(27%)

Under /Over

(43%)16 21(57%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)14 23(62%)

Under /Over

(46%)17 20(54%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)16 21(57%)

/Yes

(57%)21 16(43%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)18 19(51%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
La Luz La Luz
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
Shots
La Luz
La Luz
Total shots
6.57 avg / game
Blocked
1 total
Avg. 1.00
Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
Total shots
7.30 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
La Luz La Luz Pass Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
46%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
55%
TOTAL ATTACKS
La Luz
La Luz
3020
Avg. 81.62 / game
 Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
3174
Avg. 85.78 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
La Luz
La Luz
2131
Avg. 57.59 / game
 Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
1938
Avg. 52.38 / game
OTHERS
La Luz
La Luz
37
Played games
Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
37
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.11
4
Clean sheets
15
0.41
3.70
137
Corners
127
3.43
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
1.30
48
GK saves
34
0.92
La Luz
La Luz
DISCIPLINARY
Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.54
94
Yellow card
88
2.38
0.19
7
Red card
8
0.22
0.62
23
Fouls
10
0.27
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
La Luz La Luz
VS
Rentistas Rentistas
URU
NEXT MATCHES
08/02
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
VS
Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
URU

How We Build the La Luz vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for La Luz vs Nacional Montevideo on 30 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

La Luz vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess La Luz's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where La Luz and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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