La Luz Reserves vs Progreso Reserves Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 04

La Luz Reserves

L L W L W

No standing data

0-1

04/05/2026 11:00

Progreso Reserves

L L W D W

No standing data

Uruguay Reserve League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for La Luz Reserves vs Progreso Reserves on May 04, 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full La Luz Reserves vs Progreso Reserves preview before placing for you.

Our algorithm prediction: Progreso Reserves to win with probability 39%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-05-04

La Luz Reserves vs Progreso Reserves - Prediction & Odds

La Luz Reserves

Progreso Reserves

2026-05-04 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of La Luz Reserves and Progreso Reserves in the Uruguay Reserve League football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

La Luz Reserves Last 6 matches

04/08/2026 01:00

La Luz Reserves 0 - 5 Nacional de Montevideo Reserves Uruguay Reserve League

28/07/2026 21:00

Boston River Reserve 4 - 0 La Luz Reserves Uruguay Reserve League

08/07/2026 01:00

Albion fc Reserves 0 - 1 La Luz Reserves Uruguay Reserve League

01/07/2026 00:00

Central Espanol Reserves 2 - 1 La Luz Reserves Uruguay Reserve League

24/06/2026 01:00

La Luz Reserves 1 - 0 Cerro Largo Reserves Uruguay Reserve League

17/06/2026 01:00

Penarol Reserve 2 - 1 La Luz Reserves Uruguay Reserve League

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Progreso Reserves

04/08/2026 01:00

Penarol Reserve 1 - 0 Progreso Reserves Uruguay Reserve League

28/07/2026 01:00

Deportivo Maldonado Reserve 4 - 0 Progreso Reserves Uruguay Reserve League

21/07/2026 01:00

Progreso Reserves 2 - 0 CA River Plate Reserves Uruguay Reserve League

07/07/2026 01:00

Progreso Reserves 1 - 1 Oriental La Paz Reserve Uruguay Reserve League

29/06/2026 21:00

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves 0 - 1 Progreso Reserves Uruguay Reserve League

23/06/2026 01:00

Progreso Reserves 0 - 2 Nacional de Montevideo Reserves Uruguay Reserve League

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Reserve League

Played games

La Luz Reserves

Progreso Reserves

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.16

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.68

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.15

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 19 matches

YesNo

13 (68%)6 (32%)

In last 19 matches

NoYes

12 (60%)8 (40%)

La Luz Reserves

Recent matches

Progreso Reserves

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)12 8(40%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)6 14(70%)

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(15%)3 17(85%)

/Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(20%)4 16(80%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

La Luz Reserves

Progreso Reserves

Shots

La Luz Reserves

Total shots

12.11 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Progreso Reserves

Total shots

10.50 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

La Luz Reserves Pass Progreso Reserves

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

44%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

La Luz Reserves

Played games

Progreso Reserves

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.45

4.32

Corners

4.70

0.21

Throw-ins

3.10

0.00

Offsides

0.45

0.00

GK saves

0.00

La Luz Reserves

DISCIPLINARY

Progreso Reserves

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.74

1.85

0.11

0.30

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the La Luz Reserves vs Progreso Reserves Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for La Luz Reserves vs Progreso Reserves on 04 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Reserve League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

La Luz Reserves vs Progreso Reserves Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess La Luz Reserves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Progreso Reserves's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Reserve League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Reserve League standings and the Uruguay Reserve League form table to understand exactly where La Luz Reserves and Progreso Reserves sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Reserve League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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