KTP Kotka vs IFK Mariehamn: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

KTP Kotka

W L L L L

12th place in League

1-1

04/10/2025 10:00

IFK Mariehamn

L D L W L

9th place in League

Finland Veikkausliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for KTP Kotka vs IFK Mariehamn on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full KTP Kotka vs IFK Mariehamn preview before placing your bet.

KTP Kotka are currently 12th with 14 points after 22 matches.
IFK Mariehamn sit 9th with 21 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: KTP Kotka to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors IFK Mariehamn, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. KTP Kotka have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-10-04

KTP Kotka vs IFK Mariehamn - Prediction & Odds

KTP Kotka

IFK Mariehamn

2025-10-04 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Turku	46	22	13	7	2	46	20	26
02 Ilves Tampere	45	22	14	3	5	47	27	20
03 HJK Helsinki	44	22	14	2	6	59	29	30
04 KuPs	44	22	13	5	4	39	23	16
05 SJK Seinajoen	41	22	12	5	5	45	31	14
06 Gnistan Helsinki	28	22	7	7	8	34	39	-5
07 Vaasa VPS	25	22	6	7	9	32	34	-2
08 Jaro	25	22	7	4	11	25	36	-11
09 IFK Mariehamn	21	22	5	6	11	25	48	-23
10 AC Oulu	18	22	5	3	14	30	48	-18
11 FC Haka	16	22	4	4	14	27	43	-16
12 KTP Kotka	14	22	3	5	14	24	55	-31

Champion Additional	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 KuPs	67	10	7	2	1	23	11	12
02 Inter Turku	61	10	4	3	3	14	13	1
03 Ilves Tampere	60	10	4	3	3	21	18	3
04 SJK Seinajoen	59	10	5	3	2	25	20	5
05 HJK Helsinki	49	10	0	5	5	15	23	-8
06 Gnistan Helsinki	33	10	1	2	7	13	26	-13

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Jaro	34	5	3	0	2	10	8	2
02 IFK Mariehamn	32	5	3	2	0	9	5	4
03 Vaasa VPS	31	5	2	0	3	5	8	-3
04 AC Oulu	27	5	3	0	2	5	5	0
05 KTP Kotka	21	5	2	1	2	7	6	1
06 FC Haka	17	5	0	1	4	3	7	-4

Head To Head

16/08/2025 12:00

IFK Mariehamn

3 - 0

KTP Kotka

FIN D1

31/05/2025 08:00

KTP Kotka

2 - 2

IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

22/02/2025 12:30

IFK Mariehamn

1 - 2

KTP Kotka

FIN LC

29/03/2024 11:00

IFK Mariehamn

3 - 0

KTP Kotka

INT CF

21/10/2023 08:00

KTP Kotka

0 - 2

IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

01/07/2023 11:30

IFK Mariehamn

0 - 0

KTP Kotka

FIN D1

KTP Kotka

17%

Draw

33%

IFK Mariehamn

50%

KTP Kotka Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 10:00

AC Oulu 0 - 2 KTP Kotka FIN D1

19/09/2025 12:00

KTP Kotka 1 - 2 Jaro FIN D1

13/09/2025 10:00

Vaasa VPS 2 - 1 KTP Kotka FIN D1

31/08/2025 10:00

KTP Kotka 1 - 4 HJK Helsinki FIN D1

22/08/2025 11:00

Vaasa VPS 3 - 2 KTP Kotka FIN D1

16/08/2025 12:00

IFK Mariehamn 3 - 0 KTP Kotka FIN D1

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches IFK Mariehamn

21/09/2025 11:30

IFK Mariehamn 2 - 1 Vaasa VPS FIN D1

13/09/2025 08:00

IFK Mariehamn 1 - 1 FC Haka FIN D1

31/08/2025 10:00

Ilves Tampere 2 - 1 IFK Mariehamn FIN D1

24/08/2025 08:00

HJK Helsinki 8 - 2 IFK Mariehamn FIN D1

16/08/2025 12:00

IFK Mariehamn 3 - 0 KTP Kotka FIN D1

09/08/2025 12:00

IFK Mariehamn 2 - 5 Gnistan Helsinki FIN D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Finland Veikkausliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

KTP Kotka

IFK Mariehamn

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.38

Scored

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.26

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 29 matches

YesNo

13 (45%)16 (55%)

In last 29 matches

NoYes

18 (67%)9 (33%)

KTP Kotka

Recent matches

IFK Mariehamn

Under /Over

(90%)26 3(10%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(81%)22 5(19%)

Under /Over

(45%)13 16(55%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)8 19(70%)

Under /Over

(66%)19 10(34%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)15 12(44%)

/Yes

(62%)18 11(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(63%)17 10(37%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

KTP Kotka

IFK Mariehamn

Shots

KTP Kotka

Total shots

12.79 avg / game

Blocked

39 total

Avg. 3.00

IFK Mariehamn

Total shots

9.37 avg / game

Blocked

22 total

Avg. 2.75

KTP Kotka Pass IFK Mariehamn

Total passes

6543

Avg. 385 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

5459

Avg. 390 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

KTP Kotka

Played games

IFK Mariehamn

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.10

Clean sheets

0.22

4.97

144

Corners

100

3.70

12.21

354

Throw-ins

284

10.52

1.86

Offsides

2.00

3.93

114

GK saves

107

3.96

KTP Kotka

DISCIPLINARY

IFK Mariehamn

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.38

1.22

0.10

0.04

11.48

333

Fouls

251

9.30

6.66

193

Tackles

174

6.44

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the KTP Kotka vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for KTP Kotka vs IFK Mariehamn on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Finland Veikkausliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

KTP Kotka vs IFK Mariehamn Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess KTP Kotka's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against IFK Mariehamn's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Finland Veikkausliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Finland Veikkausliga standings and the Finland Veikkausliga form table to understand exactly where KTP Kotka and IFK Mariehamn sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Finland Veikkausliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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