Italy (W) vs Sweden (W): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 September

Italy (W)

W L L W D

2nd place in Group D

0 - 1

26/09/2023 11:45

Sweden (W)

L W L W D

3rd place in Group D

UEFA Women's Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy (W) vs Sweden (W) on 26 September 2023 (kick-off: 11:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy (W) vs Sweden (W) preview before placing your bet.

Italy (W) will face Sweden (W) in UEFA Women's Nations League on September 26, 2023 at 11:45.
Italy (W) are currently 2nd with 10 points after 6 matches.
Sweden (W) sit 3rd with 7 points from 6 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 26/09/2023

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain (W)	15	6	5	0	1	23	9	14
02 Italy (W)	10	6	3	1	2	8	5	3
03 Sweden (W)	7	6	2	1	3	8	10	-2
04 Switzerland (W)	3	6	1	0	5	2	17	-15

Head To Head

29/07/2023 03:30

Sweden (W)

5 - 0

Italy (W)

WWC

23/02/2022 07:05

Sweden (W)

1 - 1

Italy (W)

ALGC

09/10/2018 12:15

Italy (W)

1 - 0

Sweden (W)

INT FRL

25/07/2017 14:45

Sweden (W)

2 - 3

Italy (W)

UEFACW

16/07/2013 14:30

Sweden (W)

3 - 1

Italy (W)

UEFACW

28/08/2009 10:30

Italy (W)

0 - 2

Sweden (W)

UEFACW

Sweden (W)

50%

Draw

17%

Italy (W)

33%

Italy (W) Last 6 matches

22/09/2023 13:30

Switzerland (W) 0 - 1 Italy (W)

UEFA WNL

02/08/2023 03:00

South Africa (W) 3 - 2 Italy (W)

WWC

29/07/2023 03:30

Sweden (W) 5 - 0 Italy (W)

WWC

24/07/2023 02:00

Italy (W) 1 - 0 Argentina (W)

WWC

01/07/2023 12:15

Italy (W) 0 - 0 Morocco (W)

INT FRL

11/04/2023 10:30

Italy (W) 2 - 1 Colombia (W)

INT FRL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Sweden (W)

22/09/2023 12:30

Sweden (W) 2 - 3 Spain (W)

UEFA WNL

19/08/2023 04:00

Sweden (W) 2 - 0 Australia (W)

WWC

15/08/2023 04:00

Spain (W) 2 - 1 Sweden (W)

WWC

11/08/2023 03:30

Japan (W) 1 - 2 Sweden (W)

WWC

06/08/2023 05:00

Sweden (W) 0 - 0 USA (W)

WWC

02/08/2023 03:00

Argentina (W) 0 - 2 Sweden (W)

WWC

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Women's Nations L...

Played games

Italy (W)

Sweden (W)

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.83

Scored

Avg. per game

2.25

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.25

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

Italy (W)

Recent matches

Sweden (W)

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(63%)5 3(37%)

Under /Over

(0%)0 6(100%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)4 4(50%)

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(63%)5 3(37%)

/Yes

(33%)2 4(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)3 5(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Italy (W)

Sweden (W)

Shots

Italy (W)

Total shots

9.67 avg / game

Blocked

5 total

Avg. 2.50

Sweden (W)

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

24 total

Avg. 6.00

Italy (W) Pass Sweden (W)

Total passes

838

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

44%

Total passes

1605

Avg. 401 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Italy (W)

Played games

Sweden (W)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.50

4.67

Corners

6.00

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

2.67

Offsides

1.75

3.33

GK saves

3.88

Italy (W)

DISCIPLINARY

Sweden (W)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

1.13

0.00

0.13

7.50

Fouls

101

12.63

5.17

Tackles

8.25

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Italy (W) vs Sweden (W) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy (W) vs Sweden (W) on 26 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Women's Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy (W) vs Sweden (W) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy (W)'s recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sweden (W)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Women's Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Women's Nations League standings and the UEFA Women's Nations League form table to understand exactly where Italy (W) and Sweden (W) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Women's Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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