Italy (W) vs Sweden (W): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 May

Italy (W)

W L L W W

2nd place in Group D

0-0

30/05/2025 12:20

Sweden (W)

D W D W W

1st place in Group D

UEFA Women's Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy (W) vs Sweden (W) on 30 May 2025 (kick-off: 12:20) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy (W) vs Sweden (W) preview before placing your bet.

Italy (W) are currently 2nd with 10 points after 6 matches.
Sweden (W) sit 1st with 12 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sweden (W) to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Sweden (W), who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Italy (W) have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:20

2025-05-30

Italy (W) vs Sweden (W) - Prediction & Odds

Italy (W)

Sweden (W)

2025-05-30 12:20

STANDINGS UP TO 30/05/2025

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sweden (W)	12	6	3	3	0	13	6	7
02 Italy (W)	10	6	3	1	2	11	7	4
03 Denmark (W)	9	6	3	0	3	8	13	-5
04 Wales (W)	2	6	0	2	4	4	10	-6

Head To Head

04/04/2025 13:00

Sweden (W)

3 - 2

Italy (W)

UEFA WNL

31/10/2023 13:30

Sweden (W)

1 - 1

Italy (W)

UEFA WNL

26/09/2023 11:45

Italy (W)

0 - 1

Sweden (W)

UEFA WNL

29/07/2023 03:30

Sweden (W)

5 - 0

Italy (W)

WWC

23/02/2022 07:05

Sweden (W)

1 - 1

Italy (W)

ALGC

09/10/2018 12:15

Italy (W)

1 - 0

Sweden (W)

INT FRL

Italy (W)

17%

Draw

33%

Sweden (W)

50%

Italy (W) Last 6 matches

08/04/2025 12:00

Denmark (W) 0 - 3 Italy (W) UEFA WNL

04/04/2025 13:00

Sweden (W) 3 - 2 Italy (W) UEFA WNL

25/02/2025 13:15

Italy (W) 1 - 3 Denmark (W) UEFA WNL

21/02/2025 13:15

Italy (W) 1 - 0 Wales (W) UEFA WNL

02/12/2024 15:30

Germany (W) 1 - 2 Italy (W) INT FRL

29/10/2024 13:15

Italy (W) 1 - 1 Spain (W) INT FRL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Sweden (W)

08/04/2025 13:00

Sweden (W) 1 - 1 Wales (W) UEFA WNL

04/04/2025 13:00

Sweden (W) 3 - 2 Italy (W) UEFA WNL

25/02/2025 15:15

Wales (W) 1 - 1 Sweden (W) UEFA WNL

21/02/2025 14:15

Denmark (W) 1 - 2 Sweden (W) UEFA WNL

03/12/2024 14:00

Sweden (W) 6 - 0 Serbia (W) UEFACW Q

28/11/2024 13:00

Serbia (W) 0 - 2 Sweden (W) UEFACW Q

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Women's Nations L...

Played games

Italy (W)

Sweden (W)

Goals

Scored

130

Avg. per game

1.78

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.01

Scored

203

Avg. per game

2.36

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 73 matches

YesNo

55 (75%)18 (25%)

In last 73 matches

NoYes

73 (85%)13 (15%)

Italy (W)

Recent matches

Sweden (W)

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Italy (W)

Sweden (W)

Shots

Italy (W)

Total shots

13.29 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 3.76

Sweden (W)

Total shots

14.70 avg / game

Blocked

107 total

Avg. 3.96

Italy (W) Pass Sweden (W)

Total passes

9873

Avg. 395 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

13051

Avg. 408 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Italy (W)

Played games

Sweden (W)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

Clean sheets

0.50

5.36

391

Corners

574

6.67

5.78

422

Throw-ins

579

6.73

1.10

Offsides

100

1.16

1.68

123

GK saves

164

1.91

Italy (W)

DISCIPLINARY

Sweden (W)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.18

0.70

0.03

0.01

4.81

351

Fouls

647

7.52

5.12

374

Tackles

502

5.84

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Italy (W) vs Sweden (W) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy (W) vs Sweden (W) on 30 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Women's Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy (W) vs Sweden (W) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy (W)'s recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sweden (W)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Women's Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Women's Nations League standings and the UEFA Women's Nations League form table to understand exactly where Italy (W) and Sweden (W) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Women's Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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