Italy vs Ukraine: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 September

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs Ukraine on 12 September 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs Ukraine preview before placing your bet.

Italy vs Ukraine: Starting Lineups Time : 12/09/2023 14:45

Italy
2 - 1
Finished
Ukraine
84' event Bryan Cristante / Nicolo Barella
72' event Mateo Retegui / Giacomo Raspadori
72' event Riccardo Orsolini / Nicolo Zaniolo
58' event Cristiano Biraghi / Federico Dimarco
58' event Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Mattia Zaccagni
30' event Davide Frattesi Goal awarded
29' event Davide Frattesi
12' event Davide Frattesi
event 84' Serhiy Sydorchuk / Taras Stepanenko
event 78' Ilya Zabarnyi
event 76' Taras Stepanenko
event 75' Vladyslav Vanat / Viktor Tsygankov
event 75' Vitaliy Buyalskyi / Olexandr Zinchenko
event 62' Yukhym Konoplya
event 58' Roman Yaremchuk / Artem Dovbyk
event 58' Mykhailo Mudryk / Andriy Yarmolenko
event 41' Andriy Yarmolenko
event 38' Vitaliy Mykolenko
84' event Bryan Cristante / Nicolo Barella
event 84' Serhiy Sydorchuk / Taras Stepanenko
72' event Mateo Retegui / Giacomo Raspadori
event 78' Ilya Zabarnyi
72' event Riccardo Orsolini / Nicolo Zaniolo
event 76' Taras Stepanenko
58' event Cristiano Biraghi / Federico Dimarco
event 75' Vladyslav Vanat / Viktor Tsygankov
58' event Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Mattia Zaccagni
event 75' Vitaliy Buyalskyi / Olexandr Zinchenko
30' event Davide Frattesi Goal awarded
event 62' Yukhym Konoplya
29' event Davide Frattesi
event 58' Roman Yaremchuk / Artem Dovbyk
12' event Davide Frattesi
event 58' Mykhailo Mudryk / Andriy Yarmolenko
event 41' Andriy Yarmolenko
event 38' Vitaliy Mykolenko
Italy Italy
Substitutions
#4 Cristiano Biraghi
#16 Bryan Cristante
#7 Riccardo Orsolini
#9 Mateo Retegui
#11 Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
#13 Matteo Darmian
#17 Ciro Immobile
#6 Alessio Romagnoli
#12 Guglielmo Vicario
#22 Alex Meret
#19 Nicolo Casale
#14 Matteo Pessina
Italy Italy Ukraine Ukraine
22Shots9
5Shots on Goal3
5Fouls14
6Corner Kick0
14Free kick7
1Offside1
0Yellow card4
10Aerial10
2Save3
11Successful Tackles16
4Interceptions6
1Assist0
9Shots off goal5
5Head Success5
8Blocked1
13Tackle17
6Dribbles3
15Throw-in17
677Passes387
130Attacks63
94Dangerous attacks30
1Corner Kicks(HT)0
Ukraine Ukraine
Substitutions
#5 Serhiy Sydorchuk
#14 Vitaliy Buyalskyi
#9 Roman Yaremchuk
#10 Mykhailo Mudryk
#18 Vladyslav Vanat
#3 Bogdan Mykhaylychenko
#20 Oleksandr Zubkov
#21 Oleksandr Karavaev
#22 Yegor Nazaryna
#23 Andriy Lunin
#12 Anatolii Trubin
#19 Denys Popov
Commentary
84' Italy — substitution: Bryan Cristante / Nicolo Barella
84' Ukraine — substitution: Serhiy Sydorchuk / Taras Stepanenko
78' Ilya Zabarnyi - Ukraine receive a yellow card
76' Taras Stepanenko - Ukraine receive a yellow card
75' Ukraine — substitution: Vladyslav Vanat / Viktor Tsygankov
75' Ukraine — substitution: Vitaliy Buyalskyi / Olexandr Zinchenko
72' Italy — substitution: Mateo Retegui / Giacomo Raspadori
72' Italy — substitution: Riccardo Orsolini / Nicolo Zaniolo
62' Yukhym Konoplya - Ukraine receive a yellow card
58' Italy — substitution: Cristiano Biraghi / Federico Dimarco
58' Italy — substitution: Degnand Wilfried Gnonto / Mattia Zaccagni
58' Ukraine — substitution: Roman Yaremchuk / Artem Dovbyk
58' Ukraine — substitution: Mykhailo Mudryk / Andriy Yarmolenko
41' Goal! Andriy Yarmolenko - Ukraine
38' Vitaliy Mykolenko - Ukraine receive a yellow card
30' VAR review - Italy
29' Goal! Davide Frattesi - Italy
12' Goal! Davide Frattesi - Italy

How We Build the Italy vs Ukraine Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs Ukraine on 12 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs Ukraine Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Ukraine's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Italy and Ukraine sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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