Italy vs Ukraine Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 12

Italy

D W L W L

2nd place in Group C

2-1

12/09/2023 14:45

Ukraine

D W W D L

3rd place in Group C

UEFA European Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs Ukraine on September 12, 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs Ukraine preview before placing for you.

Italy are currently 2nd with 14 points after 8 matches.
Ukraine sit 3rd with 14 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Italy to win with probability 64%.
Head-to-head history favors Italy, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Ukraine have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2023-09-12

Italy vs Ukraine - Prediction & Odds

Italy

Ukraine

2023-09-12 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 12/09/2023

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 England	20	8	6	2	0	22	4	18
02 Italy	14	8	4	2	2	16	9	7
03 Ukraine	14	8	4	2	2	11	8	3
04 North Macedonia	8	8	2	2	4	10	20	-10
05 Malta	0	8	0	0	8	2	20	-18

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain	9	3	3	0	0	5	0	5
02 Italy	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
03 Croatia	2	3	0	2	1	3	6	-3
04 Albania	1	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Romania	4	3	1	1	1	4	3	1
02 Belgium	4	3	1	1	1	2	1	1
03 Slovakia	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
04 Ukraine	4	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2

Head To Head

10/10/2018 14:45

Italy

1 - 1

Ukraine

INT FRL

29/03/2011 14:45

Ukraine

0 - 2

Italy

INT CF

12/09/2007 14:45

Ukraine

1 - 2

Italy

EURO Cup

07/10/2006 14:50

Italy

2 - 0

Ukraine

EURO Cup

30/06/2006 15:00

Italy

3 - 0

Ukraine

World Cup

02/06/2006 14:50

Italy

0 - 0

Ukraine

INT CF

Italy

67%

Draw

33%

Ukraine

Italy Last 6 matches

09/09/2023 14:45

North Macedonia 1 - 1 Italy EURO Cup

18/06/2023 09:00

Netherlands 2 - 3 Italy UEFA NL

15/06/2023 14:45

Spain 2 - 1 Italy UEFA NL

26/03/2023 14:45

Malta 0 - 2 Italy EURO Cup

23/03/2023 15:45

Italy 1 - 2 England EURO Cup

20/11/2022 15:45

Austria 2 - 0 Italy INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Ukraine

09/09/2023 11:59

Ukraine 1 - 1 England EURO Cup

19/06/2023 11:59

Ukraine 1 - 0 Malta EURO Cup

16/06/2023 14:45

North Macedonia 2 - 3 Ukraine EURO Cup

12/06/2023 11:59

Germany 3 - 3 Ukraine INT FRL

26/03/2023 11:59

England 2 - 0 Ukraine EURO Cup

27/09/2022 14:45

Ukraine 0 - 0 Scotland UEFA NL

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA European Champion...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Italy

Ukraine

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored

Avg. per game

0.87

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 85 matches

YesNo

50 (59%)35 (41%)

In last 85 matches

NoYes

43 (56%)34 (44%)

Italy

Recent matches

Ukraine

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Italy

Ukraine

Shots

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

Ukraine

Total shots

12.45 avg / game

Blocked

136 total

Avg. 2.78

Italy Pass Ukraine

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

26230

Avg. 495 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Italy

Played games

Ukraine

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.30

5.00

425

Corners

281

3.65

13.31

1131

Throw-ins

887

11.52

1.76

150

Offsides

107

1.39

1.89

161

GK saves

166

2.16

Italy

DISCIPLINARY

Ukraine

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.44

122

111

1.44

0.05

0.01

9.76

830

Fouls

684

8.88

9.71

825

Tackles

745

9.68

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Italy vs Ukraine Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs Ukraine on 12 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA European Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs Ukraine Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Ukraine's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA European Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA European Championship standings and the UEFA European Championship form table to understand exactly where Italy and Ukraine sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA European Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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