Italy vs Moldova: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 June

Italy

L D L L W

2nd place in Group I

2-0

09/06/2025 14:45

Moldova

L L L D W

5th place in Group I

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs Moldova on 09 June 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs Moldova preview before placing your bet.

Italy are currently 2nd with 18 points after 8 matches.
Moldova sit 5th with 1 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Italy to win with probability 88%.
Head-to-head history favors Italy, who have won 3 of the last 3 meetings. Moldova have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2025-06-09

Italy vs Moldova - Prediction & Odds

Italy

Moldova

2025-06-09 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 09/06/2025

Group I	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Norway	24	8	8	0	0	37	5	32
02 Italy	18	8	6	0	2	21	12	9
03 Israel	12	8	4	0	4	19	20	-1
04 Estonia	4	8	1	1	6	8	21	-13
05 Moldova	1	8	0	1	7	5	32	-27

Head To Head

07/10/2020 14:45

Italy

6 - 0

Moldova

INT FRL

12/10/2005 14:30

Italy

2 - 1

Moldova

Qualifier

08/09/2004 14:45

Moldova

0 - 1

Italy

Qualifier

Italy

100%

Draw

Moldova

Italy Last 6 matches

06/06/2025 14:45

Norway 3 - 0 Italy WCPEU

23/03/2025 15:45

Germany 3 - 3 Italy UEFA NL

20/03/2025 15:45

Italy 1 - 2 Germany UEFA NL

17/11/2024 15:45

Italy 1 - 3 France UEFA NL

14/11/2024 15:45

Belgium 0 - 1 Italy UEFA NL

14/10/2024 14:45

Italy 4 - 1 Israel UEFA NL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Moldova

06/06/2025 14:45

Poland 2 - 0 Moldova INT FRL

25/03/2025 13:00

Moldova 2 - 3 Estonia WCPEU

22/03/2025 13:00

Moldova 0 - 5 Norway WCPEU

19/11/2024 13:00

Gibraltar 1 - 1 Moldova INT FRL

16/11/2024 13:00

Andorra 0 - 1 Moldova UEFA NL

13/10/2024 12:00

Malta 1 - 0 Moldova UEFA NL

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues FIFA World Cup qualifi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Italy

Moldova

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored

Avg. per game

0.44

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 85 matches

YesNo

50 (59%)35 (41%)

In last 85 matches

NoYes

25 (33%)50 (67%)

Italy

Recent matches

Moldova

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Italy

Moldova

Shots

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

Moldova

Total shots

8.56 avg / game

Blocked

105 total

Avg. 2.33

Italy Pass Moldova

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

16239

Avg. 338 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

42%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Italy

Played games

Moldova

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.19

5.00

425

Corners

206

2.75

13.31

1131

Throw-ins

932

12.43

1.76

150

Offsides

1.19

1.89

161

GK saves

153

2.04

Italy

DISCIPLINARY

Moldova

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.44

122

149

1.99

0.05

0.12

9.76

830

Fouls

831

11.08

9.71

825

Tackles

623

8.31

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Italy vs Moldova Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs Moldova on 09 June 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs Moldova Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Moldova's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) standings and the FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) form table to understand exactly where Italy and Moldova sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) Predictions

Find every upcoming FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less