Italy vs England: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 September

Italy
WWDWL
1st place in Group C
1 - 0
FT
23/09/2022 14:45
England
WLDWW
4th place in Group C
UEFA Nations League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs England on 23 September 2022 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs England preview before placing your bet.

  • Italy will face England in UEFA Nations League on September 23, 2022 at 14:45.
  • Italy are currently 1st with 11 points after 6 matches.
  • England sit 4th with 3 points from 6 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 23/09/2022
Group C PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Italy Italy
11 6 3 2 1 8 7 1
02 Hungary Hungary
10 6 3 1 2 8 5 3
03 Germany Germany
7 6 1 4 1 11 9 2
04 England England
3 6 0 3 3 4 10 -6
Italy Italy Last 6 matches
08/06/2026 02:00
Greece 0 - 1 Italy
International Friendly
04/06/2026 01:45
Luxembourg 0 - 1 Italy
International Friendly
01/04/2026 01:45
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 - 1 Italy
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)
27/03/2026 02:45
Italy 2 - 0 Northern Ireland
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)
17/11/2025 02:45
Italy 1 - 4 Norway
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)
14/11/2025 02:45
Moldova 0 - 2 Italy
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches England England
19/07/2026 04:00
France 4 - 6 England
FIFA World Cup
16/07/2026 02:00
England 1 - 2 Argentina
FIFA World Cup
12/07/2026 04:00
Norway 1 - 1 England
FIFA World Cup
06/07/2026 08:00
Mexico 2 - 3 England
FIFA World Cup
01/07/2026 23:00
England 2 - 1 Democratic Rep Congo
FIFA World Cup
28/06/2026 04:00
Panama 0 - 2 England
FIFA World Cup
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Italy
Italy
8
 England
England
6
Goals
Scored
6
Avg. per game
0.75
Conceded
8
Avg. per game
1.00
Scored
4
Avg. per game
0.67
Conceded
9
Avg. per game
1.50
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 8 matches
YesNo
5 (63%)3 (38%)
In last 8 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
Italy

Italy

Recent matches

England

England

Under /Over

(75%)6 2(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

Under /Over

(50%)4 4(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(0%)0 6(100%)

Under /Over

(38%)3 5(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

/Yes

(63%)5 3(37%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)2 4(67%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Italy Italy
England England
Shots
Italy
Italy
Total shots
10.88 avg / game
Blocked
19 total
Avg. 2.38
England
England
Total shots
11.67 avg / game
Blocked
12 total
Avg. 2.00
Italy Italy Pass England England
Total passes
3195
Avg. 399 / game
Accurate
81%
Ball possession
43%
Total passes
3055
Avg. 509 / game
Accurate
85%
Ball possession
53%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Italy
Italy
657
Avg. 82.13 / game
 England
England
658
Avg. 109.67 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Italy
Italy
280
Avg. 35.00 / game
 England
England
339
Avg. 56.50 / game
OTHERS
Italy
Italy
8
Played games
England
England
6
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.38
3
Clean sheets
1
0.17
3.63
29
Corners
32
5.33
12.63
101
Throw-ins
82
13.67
2.88
23
Offsides
8
1.33
4.25
34
GK saves
16
2.67
Italy
Italy
DISCIPLINARY
England
England
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.25
18
Yellow card
9
1.50
0.00
0
Red card
1
0.17
12.25
98
Fouls
66
11.00
14.13
113
Tackles
95
15.83
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Italy vs England Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs England on 23 September 2022 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs England Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against England's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Italy and England sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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