Italy vs England: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 September

Italy

W W D W L

1st place in Group C

1 - 0

23/09/2022 14:45

England

W L D W W

4th place in Group C

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs England on 23 September 2022 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs England preview before placing your bet.

Italy are currently 1st with 11 points after 6 matches.
England sit 4th with 3 points from 6 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 23/09/2022

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Italy	11	6	3	2	1	8	7	1
02 Hungary	10	6	3	1	2	8	5	3
03 Germany	7	6	1	4	1	11	9	2
04 England	3	6	0	3	3	4	10	-6

Italy Last 6 matches

08/06/2026 02:00

Greece 0 - 1 Italy International Friendly

04/06/2026 01:45

Luxembourg 0 - 1 Italy International Friendly

01/04/2026 01:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 - 1 Italy FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

27/03/2026 02:45

Italy 2 - 0 Northern Ireland FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

17/11/2025 02:45

Italy 1 - 4 Norway FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

14/11/2025 02:45

Moldova 0 - 2 Italy FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches England

19/07/2026 04:00

France 4 - 6 England FIFA World Cup

16/07/2026 02:00

England 1 - 2 Argentina FIFA World Cup

12/07/2026 04:00

Norway 1 - 1 England FIFA World Cup

06/07/2026 08:00

Mexico 2 - 3 England FIFA World Cup

01/07/2026 23:00

England 2 - 1 Democratic Rep Congo FIFA World Cup

28/06/2026 04:00

Panama 0 - 2 England FIFA World Cup

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Italy

England

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored

119

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.39

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 85 matches

YesNo

50 (59%)35 (41%)

In last 85 matches

NoYes

65 (68%)31 (32%)

Italy

Recent matches

England

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Italy

England

Shots

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

England

Total shots

14.40 avg / game

Blocked

279 total

Avg. 3.88

Italy Pass England

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

47965

Avg. 615 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

62%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Italy

Played games

England

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.55

5.00

425

Corners

485

5.05

13.31

1131

Throw-ins

1275

13.28

1.76

150

Offsides

138

1.44

1.89

161

GK saves

144

1.50

Italy

DISCIPLINARY

England

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.44

122

1.03

0.05

0.03

9.76

830

Fouls

802

8.35

9.71

825

Tackles

887

9.24

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Italy vs England Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs England on 23 September 2022 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs England Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against England's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Italy and England sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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