Italy vs Ecuador: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 March

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs Ecuador on 24 March 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs Ecuador preview before placing your bet.

Italy vs Ecuador: Starting Lineups Time : 24/03/2024 16:00

Italy
2 - 0
Finished
Ecuador
90+4' event Nicolo Barella
89' event Andrea Cambiaso
88' event Andrea Cambiaso / Federico Dimarco
76' event Mateo Retegui / Giacomo Raspadori
76' event Riccardo Orsolini / Nicolo Zaniolo
73' event Gianluca Mancini
67' event Davide Frattesi / Lorenzo Pellegrini
67' event Manuel Locatelli / Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho
66' event Nicolo Zaniolo
46' event Giovanni Di Lorenzo / Raoul Bellanova
38' event Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho
3' event Lorenzo Pellegrini
event 80' Allen Obando / Jeremy Sarmiento
event 79' Carlos Armando Gruezo Arboleda / Alan Steven Franco Palma
event 65' Kendry Paez / Alan Minda
90+4' event Nicolo Barella
event 80' Allen Obando / Jeremy Sarmiento
89' event Andrea Cambiaso
event 79' Carlos Armando Gruezo Arboleda / Alan Steven Franco Palma
88' event Andrea Cambiaso / Federico Dimarco
event 65' Kendry Paez / Alan Minda
76' event Mateo Retegui / Giacomo Raspadori
76' event Riccardo Orsolini / Nicolo Zaniolo
73' event Gianluca Mancini
67' event Davide Frattesi / Lorenzo Pellegrini
67' event Manuel Locatelli / Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho
66' event Nicolo Zaniolo
46' event Giovanni Di Lorenzo / Raoul Bellanova
38' event Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho
3' event Lorenzo Pellegrini
Italy Italy
Substitutions
#7 Giacomo Bonaventura
#4 Alessandro Buongiorno
#24 Andrea Cambiaso
#21 Marco Carnesecchi
#14 Federico Chiesa
#2 Giovanni Di Lorenzo
#1 Gianluigi Donnarumma
#19 Davide Frattesi
#5 Manuel Locatelli
#17 Riccardo Orsolini
#9 Mateo Retegui
#15 Giorgio Scalvini
#20 Mattia Zaccagni
Italy Italy Ecuador Ecuador
9Shots10
4Shots on Goal1
15Fouls18
8Corner Kick7
19Free kick17
2Offside0
4Yellow card0
1Save2
5Shots off goal9
2Blocked2
64Attacks97
26Dangerous attacks38
6Corner Kicks(HT)4
Ecuador Ecuador
Substitutions
#13 Jose Hurtado
#19 Jordy Josue Caicedo Medina
#14 Hernan Adrian Chala Ayovi
#5 Jose Adoni Cifuentes Charcopa
#22 Alexander Dominguez
#1 Hernan Ismael Galindez
#8 Carlos Armando Gruezo Arboleda
#15 Angel Israel Mena Delgado
#25 Allen Obando
#24 Joel Leandro Ordonez Guerrero
#18 Julio Ortiz
#16 Kendry Paez
#20 Leonardo Javier Realpe Montano
#4 Robert Abel Arboleda Escobar
#9 John Yeboah Zamora
Commentary
90+4' Goal! Nicolo Barella - Italy
89' Andrea Cambiaso - Italy receive a yellow card
88' Italy — substitution: Andrea Cambiaso / Federico Dimarco
80' Ecuador — substitution: Allen Obando / Jeremy Sarmiento
79' Ecuador — substitution: Carlos Armando Gruezo Arboleda / Alan Steven Franco Palma
76' Italy — substitution: Mateo Retegui / Giacomo Raspadori
76' Italy — substitution: Riccardo Orsolini / Nicolo Zaniolo
73' Gianluca Mancini - Italy receive a yellow card
67' Italy — substitution: Davide Frattesi / Lorenzo Pellegrini
67' Italy — substitution: Manuel Locatelli / Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho
66' Nicolo Zaniolo - Italy receive a yellow card
65' Ecuador — substitution: Kendry Paez / Alan Minda
46' Italy — substitution: Giovanni Di Lorenzo / Raoul Bellanova
38' Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho - Italy receive a yellow card
3' Goal! Lorenzo Pellegrini - Italy

How We Build the Italy vs Ecuador Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs Ecuador on 24 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs Ecuador Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Ecuador's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Italy and Ecuador sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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