Italy U21 vs Poland U21: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

Prediction Match Centre
Italy U21
2nd place in UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
? - ?
04/10/2026 15:00
Poland U21
1st place in UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy U21 vs Poland U21 on 04 October 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy U21 vs Poland U21 preview before placing your bet.

  • Italy U21 will face Poland U21 in UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying on October 4, 2026 at 15:00.
  • Italy U21 are currently 2nd with 21 points after 8 matches.
  • Poland U21 sit 1st with 24 points from 8 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2026
Group E PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Poland U21 Poland U21
24 8 8 0 0 23 2 21
02 Italy U21 Italy U21
21 8 7 0 1 25 5 20
03 Montenegro U21 Montenegro U21
10 8 3 1 4 11 14 -3
04 Sweden U21 Sweden U21
10 8 3 1 4 10 19 -9
05 North Macedonia U21 North Macedonia U21
6 8 2 0 6 7 17 -10
06 Armenia U21 Armenia U21
0 8 0 0 8 4 23 -19
Italy U21 Italy U21 Last 6 matches
08/06/2026 23:15
Italy U21 1 - 0 Albania U21
International Friendly
31/03/2026 23:30
Sweden U21 0 - 4 Italy U21
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
27/03/2026 00:15
Italy U21 4 - 0 North Macedonia U21
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
19/11/2025 00:30
Montenegro U21 1 - 4 Italy U21
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
14/11/2025 22:00
Poland U21 2 - 1 Italy U21
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
14/10/2025 23:15
Italy U21 5 - 1 Armenia U21
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
Win
83%
Draw
0%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Poland U21 Poland U21
31/03/2026 19:00
Montenegro U21 0 - 1 Poland U21
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
28/03/2026 00:00
Poland U21 4 - 1 Armenia U21
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
18/11/2025 23:00
North Macedonia U21 0 - 1 Poland U21
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
14/11/2025 22:00
Poland U21 2 - 1 Italy U21
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
14/10/2025 23:00
Sweden U21 0 - 6 Poland U21
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
10/10/2025 23:00
Poland U21 2 - 0 Montenegro U21
UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying
Win
100%
Draw
0%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues UEFA - EURO U21 Qualif...
Played games
Italy U21
Italy U21
8
 Poland U21
Poland U21
8
Goals
Scored
25
Avg. per game
3.13
Conceded
5
Avg. per game
0.63
Scored
23
Avg. per game
2.88
Conceded
2
Avg. per game
0.25
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 8 matches
YesNo
8 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 8 matches
NoYes
8 (100%)0 (0%)
Italy U21

Italy U21

Recent matches

Poland U21

Poland U21

Under /Over

(88%)7 1(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)6 2(25%)

Under /Over

(38%)3 5(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)3 5(62%)

Under /Over

(75%)6 2(25%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(63%)5 3(37%)

/Yes

(50%)4 4(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(25%)2 6(75%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Italy U21 Italy U21
Poland U21 Poland U21
Shots
Italy U21
Italy U21
Total shots
17.13 avg / game
Blocked
37 total
Avg. 4.63
Poland U21
Poland U21
Total shots
12.63 avg / game
Blocked
21 total
Avg. 5.25
Italy U21 Italy U21 Pass Poland U21 Poland U21
Total passes
3645
Avg. 456 / game
Accurate
83%
Ball possession
59%
Total passes
409
Avg. 136 / game
Accurate
76%
Ball possession
57%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Italy U21
Italy U21
960
Avg. 120.00 / game
 Poland U21
Poland U21
766
Avg. 95.75 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Italy U21
Italy U21
756
Avg. 94.50 / game
 Poland U21
Poland U21
468
Avg. 58.50 / game
OTHERS
Italy U21
Italy U21
8
Played games
Poland U21
Poland U21
8
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.50
4
Clean sheets
6
0.75
7.25
58
Corners
37
4.63
23.50
188
Throw-ins
155
19.38
2.50
20
Offsides
8
1.00
1.38
11
GK saves
8
1.00
Italy U21
Italy U21
DISCIPLINARY
Poland U21
Poland U21
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
3.00
24
Yellow card
19
2.38
0.38
3
Red card
0
0.00
17.25
138
Fouls
153
19.13
8.50
68
Tackles
14
1.75
NEXT MATCHES
09/30
Armenia U21 Armenia U21
VS
Italy U21 Italy U21
UEF
NEXT MATCHES
09/29
Poland U21 Poland U21
VS
Sweden U21 Sweden U21
UEF

How We Build the Italy U21 vs Poland U21 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy U21 vs Poland U21 on 04 October 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy U21 vs Poland U21 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy U21's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Poland U21's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying standings and the UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying form table to understand exactly where Italy U21 and Poland U21 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA - EURO U21 Qualifying predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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