Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 31 January

Independiente
LWDWL
11th place in League
1
1-1
FT
31/01/2026 18:45
Velez Sarsfield
LLWDD
6th place in League
Argentine Division 1
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield on 31 January 2026 (kick-off: 18:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield preview before placing your bet.

  • Independiente will face Velez Sarsfield in Argentine Division 1 on January 31, 2026 at 18:45.
  • Independiente are currently 11th with 24 points after 16 matches.
  • Velez Sarsfield sit 6th with 28 points from 16 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.05.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
18:45

2026-01-31

Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield - Prediction & Odds

Independiente
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
2026-01-31 18:45
43
31
26
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
1.75
2.05
FT
1-1 1-1
-
weather
25℃～26℃
STANDINGS UP TO 31/01/2026
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
34 16 10 4 2 29 15 14
02 Estudiantes La Plata Estudiantes La Plata
31 16 9 4 3 19 7 12
03 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
30 16 8 6 2 22 9 13
04 River Plate River Plate
29 16 9 2 5 22 12 10
05 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors
29 16 8 5 3 17 13 4
06 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
28 16 7 7 2 18 12 6
07 Rosario Central Rosario Central
28 16 8 4 4 20 16 4
08 Belgrano Belgrano
26 16 7 5 4 17 13 4
09 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
26 16 7 5 4 17 13 4
10 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata
26 16 8 2 6 19 19 0
11 Independiente Independiente
24 16 6 6 4 24 20 4
12 Lanus Lanus
24 16 6 6 4 18 15 3
13 CA Huracan CA Huracan
22 16 5 7 4 17 13 4
14 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
22 16 5 7 4 14 14 0
15 Club Atlético Unión Club Atlético Unión
21 16 5 6 5 24 20 4
16 Racing Club Racing Club
21 16 5 6 5 17 15 2
17 Instituto AC Cordoba Instituto AC Cordoba
21 16 6 3 7 17 17 0
18 Barracas Central Barracas Central
21 16 5 6 5 15 15 0
19 Club Atletico Tigre Club Atletico Tigre
20 16 4 8 4 18 15 3
20 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
19 16 4 7 5 18 21 -3
21 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
19 16 6 1 9 13 20 -7
22 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza
19 16 5 4 7 14 22 -8
23 Banfield Banfield
18 16 5 3 8 17 19 -2
24 CA Platense CA Platense
16 16 3 7 6 10 15 -5
25 Central Cordoba SDE Central Cordoba SDE
16 16 4 4 8 11 21 -10
26 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
15 16 3 6 7 15 27 -12
27 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
14 16 3 5 8 15 20 -5
28 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
11 16 1 8 7 5 12 -7
29 Aldosivi Mar del Plata Aldosivi Mar del Plata
8 16 0 8 8 6 19 -13
30 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
5 16 1 2 13 5 24 -19
2nd Stage PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors
3 1 1 0 0 3 2 1
02 Belgrano Belgrano
3 1 1 0 0 2 1 1
03 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0
04 Aldosivi Mar del Plata Aldosivi Mar del Plata
1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0
05 Club Atletico Tigre Club Atletico Tigre
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
06 CA Platense CA Platense
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08 Banfield Banfield
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
09 Instituto AC Cordoba Instituto AC Cordoba
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Independiente Independiente
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Racing Club Racing Club
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 River Plate River Plate
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Estudiantes La Plata Estudiantes La Plata
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 Lanus Lanus
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 CA Huracan CA Huracan
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
23 Barracas Central Barracas Central
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
24 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
25 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
26 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
27 Central Cordoba SDE Central Cordoba SDE
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
28 Club Atlético Unión Club Atlético Unión
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
29 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
0 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1
30 Rosario Central Rosario Central
0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1
Head To Head
16/08/2025 19:30
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
2 - 1
Independiente Independiente
ARG D1
12/02/2025 19:00
Independiente Independiente
3 - 0
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
ARG D1
27/09/2024 17:10
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Independiente Independiente
ARG C
26/05/2024 19:00
Independiente Independiente
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
ARG D1
30/01/2024 20:30
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Independiente Independiente
ARG D1
27/08/2023 18:00
Independiente Independiente
2 - 1
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
ARG D1
Velez Sarsfield
4
67%
Draw
1
17%
Independiente
1
17%
Independiente Independiente Last 6 matches
27/01/2026 21:15
Newells Old Boys 1 - 1 Independiente
ARG D1
23/01/2026 19:00
Independiente 1 - 1 Estudiantes La Plata
ARG D1
16/01/2026 20:00
Wanderers FC 0 - 2 Independiente
INT CF
13/01/2026 20:00
Independiente 5 - 3 Everton CD
INT CF
10/01/2026 20:00
Independiente 2 - 1 Alianza Lima
INT CF
15/11/2025 20:30
Independiente 1 - 0 Rosario Central
ARG D1
Win
67%
Draw
33%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
27/01/2026 16:45
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 1 Talleres Cordoba
ARG D1
22/01/2026 21:15
Instituto AC Cordoba 0 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
ARG D1
22/11/2025 19:00
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 2 Argentinos Juniors
ARG D1
16/11/2025 16:00
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 River Plate
ARG D1
10/11/2025 16:00
Gimnasia La Plata 2 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
ARG D1
01/11/2025 16:00
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Talleres Cordoba
ARG D1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Argentine Division 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Independiente
Independiente
17
 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
17
Goals
Scored
14
Avg. per game
0.82
Conceded
10
Avg. per game
0.59
Scored
10
Avg. per game
0.59
Conceded
6
Avg. per game
0.35
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 17 matches
YesNo
9 (53%)8 (47%)
In last 17 matches
NoYes
8 (47%)9 (53%)
Independiente

Independiente

Recent matches

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

Under /Over

(88%)15 2(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)3 14(82%)

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

/Yes

(71%)12 5(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)8 9(53%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Independiente Independiente
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
Shots
Independiente
Independiente
Total shots
9.18 avg / game
Blocked
46 total
Avg. 2.88
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
Total shots
11.76 avg / game
Blocked
41 total
Avg. 2.41
Independiente Independiente Pass Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
Total passes
4878
Avg. 287 / game
Accurate
74%
Ball possession
54%
Total passes
6646
Avg. 391 / game
Accurate
77%
Ball possession
55%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Independiente
Independiente
1294
Avg. 76.12 / game
 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
1479
Avg. 87.00 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Independiente
Independiente
888
Avg. 52.24 / game
 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
896
Avg. 52.71 / game
OTHERS
Independiente
Independiente
17
Played games
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.24
4
Clean sheets
7
0.41
4.65
79
Corners
68
4.00
18.47
314
Throw-ins
302
17.76
1.88
32
Offsides
17
1.00
2.18
37
GK saves
59
3.47
Independiente
Independiente
DISCIPLINARY
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.88
32
Yellow card
36
2.12
0.06
1
Red card
1
0.06
9.00
153
Fouls
166
9.76
6.88
117
Tackles
180
10.59
NEXT MATCHES
07/26
Estudiantes La Plata Estudiantes La Plata
VS
Independiente Independiente
ARG
07/30
Independiente Independiente
VS
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
ARG
08/03
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
VS
Independiente Independiente
ARG
08/09
Independiente Independiente
VS
CA Platense CA Platense
ARG
08/16
Lanus Lanus
VS
Independiente Independiente
ARG
NEXT MATCHES
07/24
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
VS
Instituto AC Cordoba Instituto AC Cordoba
ARG
07/30
Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
VS
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
ARG
08/03
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
VS
Independiente Independiente
ARG
08/09
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
VS
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
ARG
08/16
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
VS
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
ARG

How We Build the Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield on 31 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Argentine Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Independiente's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Velez Sarsfield's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Argentine Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Argentine Division 1 standings and the Argentine Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Independiente and Velez Sarsfield sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Argentine Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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