Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 May

Independiente Santa Fe

L W L L W

10th place in Apertura

0-2

12/05/2023 01:00

Atletico Nacional Medellin

W W W W L

3rd place in Apertura

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin on 12 May 2023 (kick-off: 01:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin preview before placing your bet.

Independiente Santa Fe are currently 10th with 26 points after 20 matches.
Atletico Nacional Medellin sit 3rd with 35 points from 20 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Independiente Santa Fe to win with probability 48%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Nacional Medellin, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Independiente Santa Fe have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

01:00

2023-05-12

Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin - Prediction & Odds

Independiente Santa Fe

Atletico Nacional Medellin

2023-05-12 01:00

STANDINGS UP TO 12/05/2023

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Aguilas Doradas	39	20	11	6	3	32	21	11
02 Millonarios	38	20	10	8	2	30	18	12
03 Atletico Nacional Medellin	35	20	9	8	3	26	14	12
04 America de Cali	32	20	9	5	6	32	23	9
05 Boyaca Chico	30	20	7	9	4	24	18	6
06 Alianza Petrolera	30	20	9	3	8	26	23	3
07 Dep.Independiente Medellin	29	20	8	5	7	29	24	5
08 Deportivo Pasto	29	20	8	5	7	22	21	1
09 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	28	20	7	7	6	17	17	0
10 Independiente Santa Fe	26	20	7	5	8	29	25	4
11 La Equidad	26	20	5	11	4	20	17	3
12 Deportivo Pereira	25	20	6	7	7	24	25	-1
13 Deportes Tolima	24	20	5	9	6	23	26	-3
14 Deportivo Cali	23	20	5	8	7	20	26	-6
15 Deportiva Once Caldas	20	20	4	8	8	18	23	-5
16 Atletico Bucaramanga	20	20	4	8	8	15	21	-6
17 Envigado FC	20	20	4	8	8	14	20	-6
18 Jaguares de Cordoba	19	20	4	7	9	16	26	-10
19 Union Magdalena	19	20	3	10	7	16	30	-14
20 Atletico Huila	18	20	5	3	12	20	35	-15

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Aguilas Doradas	44	20	12	8	0	35	12	23
02 Dep.Independiente Medellin	39	20	10	9	1	30	15	15
03 America de Cali	37	20	10	7	3	35	19	16
04 Deportes Tolima	37	20	11	4	5	23	17	6
05 Atletico Nacional Medellin	33	20	10	3	7	33	21	12
06 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	30	20	8	6	6	29	17	12
07 Millonarios	30	20	8	6	6	21	20	1
08 Deportivo Cali	28	20	7	7	6	25	25	0
09 Alianza Petrolera	28	20	8	4	8	18	24	-6
10 La Equidad	26	20	5	11	4	19	20	-1
11 Atletico Bucaramanga	26	20	7	5	8	20	22	-2
12 Deportivo Pasto	25	20	6	7	7	16	20	-4
13 Independiente Santa Fe	24	20	6	6	8	21	29	-8
14 Deportiva Once Caldas	22	20	5	7	8	21	22	-1
15 Union Magdalena	22	20	5	7	8	21	32	-11
16 Atletico Huila	19	20	4	7	9	18	22	-4
17 Deportivo Pereira	19	20	5	4	11	19	28	-9
18 Boyaca Chico	19	20	3	10	7	15	26	-11
19 Jaguares de Cordoba	14	20	3	5	12	7	21	-14
20 Envigado FC	13	20	2	7	11	18	32	-14

Playoffs of Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Atletico Nacional Medellin	12	6	3	3	0	7	4	3
02 Alianza Petrolera	10	6	2	4	0	8	5	3
03 Deportivo Pasto	6	6	1	3	2	6	5	1
04 Aguilas Doradas	2	6	0	2	4	4	11	-7

Playoffs of Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Millonarios	13	6	4	1	1	9	6	3
02 America de Cali	10	6	3	1	2	8	6	2
03 Boyaca Chico	8	6	2	2	2	6	6	0
04 Dep.Independiente Medellin	2	6	0	2	4	3	8	-5

Playoffs Group (A)	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	13	6	4	1	1	14	7	7
02 Deportes Tolima	12	6	4	0	2	15	8	7
03 Aguilas Doradas	8	6	2	2	2	7	10	-3
04 Deportivo Cali	1	6	0	1	5	4	15	-11

Playoffs Group (B)	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Dep.Independiente Medellin	15	6	5	0	1	13	5	8
02 Millonarios	9	6	3	0	3	5	5	0
03 Atletico Nacional Medellin	9	6	3	0	3	4	8	-4
04 America de Cali	3	6	1	0	5	4	8	-4

Head To Head

30/09/2022 01:00

Independiente Santa Fe

1 - 1

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

29/03/2022 00:35

Atletico Nacional Medellin

2 - 1

Independiente Santa Fe

COL D1

15/09/2021 22:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin

1 - 0

Independiente Santa Fe

COL Cup

09/09/2021 01:05

Independiente Santa Fe

2 - 1

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL Cup

04/08/2021 01:00

Independiente Santa Fe

0 - 1

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

17/01/2021 23:05

Atletico Nacional Medellin

2 - 0

Independiente Santa Fe

COL D1

Independiente Santa Fe

17%

Draw

17%

Atletico Nacional Medellin

67%

Independiente Santa Fe Last 6 matches

07/05/2023 23:20

Millonarios 1 - 0 Independiente Santa Fe COL D1

05/05/2023 02:00

Universitario De Deportes 2 - 0 Independiente Santa Fe CON CSA

29/04/2023 19:00

Independiente Santa Fe 2 - 0 Deportes Tolima COL D1

26/04/2023 23:20

Aguilas Doradas 3 - 1 Independiente Santa Fe COL D1

23/04/2023 01:30

Independiente Santa Fe 3 - 0 Atletico Bucaramanga COL D1

19/04/2023 02:00

Independiente Santa Fe 2 - 1 Gimnasia La Plata CON CSA

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Atletico Nacional Medellin

07/05/2023 21:10

Atletico Nacional Medellin 3 - 1 Boyaca Chico COL D1

05/05/2023 01:15

Atletico Nacional Medellin 2 - 1 America de Cali COL D1

03/05/2023 00:00

Atletico Nacional Medellin 2 - 2 Olimpia Asuncion CON CLA

30/04/2023 01:30

Dep.Independiente Medellin 1 - 3 Atletico Nacional Medellin COL D1

27/04/2023 01:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin 2 - 0 Union Magdalena COL D1

23/04/2023 21:00

Envigado FC 0 - 0 Atletico Nacional Medellin COL D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Co...

Played games

Independiente Santa Fe

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.25

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.35

Scored

Avg. per game

1.31

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 40 matches

YesNo

29 (73%)11 (28%)

In last 40 matches

NoYes

42 (78%)12 (22%)

Independiente Santa Fe

Recent matches

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Under /Over

(73%)29 11(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(33%)13 27(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(35%)14 26(65%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

/Yes

(43%)17 23(57%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Independiente Santa Fe

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Shots

Independiente Santa Fe

Total shots

11.38 avg / game

Blocked

60 total

Avg. 2.73

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Total shots

9.98 avg / game

Blocked

82 total

Avg. 2.93

Independiente Santa Fe Pass Atletico Nacional Medellin

Total passes

10801

Avg. 309 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

13337

Avg. 278 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Independiente Santa Fe

3326

Avg. 83.15 / game

Atletico Nacional Medellin

3958

Avg. 73.30 / game

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente Santa Fe

1607

Avg. 40.18 / game

Atletico Nacional Medellin

1775

Avg. 32.87 / game

OTHERS

Independiente Santa Fe

Played games

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.43

4.68

187

Corners

215

3.98

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.43

Offsides

0.94

1.48

GK saves

1.72

Independiente Santa Fe

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.65

106

1.69

0.15

0.15

10.00

400

Fouls

399

7.39

11.20

448

Tackles

523

9.69

NEXT MATCHES

07/31

Caracas FC

Independiente Santa Fe

CON

08/03

Independiente Santa Fe

Deportiva Once Caldas

COL

08/05

Deportivo Pereira

Independiente Santa Fe

COL

08/09

Independiente Santa Fe

Boyaca Chico

COL

08/16

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Independiente Santa Fe

COL

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Jaguares de Cordoba

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

08/05

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Atletico Junior Barranquilla

COL

08/09

America de Cali

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

08/16

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Independiente Santa Fe

COL

08/23

Fortaleza F.C

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

How We Build the Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin on 12 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Independiente Santa Fe's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Nacional Medellin's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura standings and the Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura form table to understand exactly where Independiente Santa Fe and Atletico Nacional Medellin sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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