Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 May

Independiente del Valle

W W W W D

1st place in League

2-1

23/05/2025 17:30

Mushuc Runa

W L W L D

15th place in League

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa on 23 May 2025 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa preview before placing your bet.

Independiente del Valle are currently 1st with 64 points after 30 matches.
Mushuc Runa sit 15th with 27 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Independiente del Valle to win with probability 60%.
Head-to-head history favors Independiente del Valle, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Mushuc Runa have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2025-05-23

Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa - Prediction & Odds

Independiente del Valle

Mushuc Runa

2025-05-23 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 23/05/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	64	30	18	10	2	55	23	32
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	54	30	16	6	8	46	33	13
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	51	30	14	9	7	48	31	17
04 Universidad Catolica	49	30	13	10	7	58	39	19
05 Orense SC	47	30	13	8	9	34	32	2
06 Libertad FC	46	30	12	10	8	42	36	6
07 Deportivo Cuenca	46	30	13	7	10	35	29	6
08 Club Sport Emelec	42	30	11	9	10	30	34	-4
09 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	41	30	11	8	11	38	41	-3
10 Macara	38	30	9	11	10	32	30	2
11 CD El Nacional	34	30	9	7	14	32	46	-14
12 Delfin SC	31	30	6	13	11	26	42	-16
13 Tecnico Universitario	28	30	7	7	16	26	46	-20
14 Vinotinto de Ecuador	27	30	7	6	17	34	43	-9
15 Mushuc Runa	27	30	7	6	17	38	50	-12
16 Manta FC	26	30	5	11	14	34	53	-19

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	82	10	5	3	2	12	7	5
02 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	69	10	5	3	2	20	10	10
03 Barcelona SC(ECU)	67	10	3	4	3	10	14	-4
04 Universidad Catolica	58	10	1	6	3	9	11	-2
05 Orense SC	58	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 Libertad FC	56	10	2	4	4	12	15	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manta FC	39	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Mushuc Runa	36	6	2	3	1	4	5	-1
03 Tecnico Universitario	33	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3
04 Vinotinto de Ecuador	32	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2

Qualifying Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Macara	62	10	8	0	2	21	5	16
02 Deportivo Cuenca	59	10	4	1	5	16	12	4
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	58	10	5	2	3	21	13	8
04 Club Sport Emelec	55	10	4	1	5	12	15	-3
05 CD El Nacional	45	9	3	2	4	12	21	-9
06 Delfin SC	36	9	1	2	6	4	20	-16

Head To Head

05/10/2024 12:00

Mushuc Runa

1 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

18/04/2024 17:30

Independiente del Valle

2 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

06/08/2023 14:00

Mushuc Runa

1 - 0

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

25/02/2023 15:00

Independiente del Valle

3 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

02/11/2022 18:30

Independiente del Valle

1 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU CUP

16/10/2022 19:00

Mushuc Runa

0 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

Independiente del Valle

50%

Draw

33%

Mushuc Runa

17%

Independiente del Valle Last 6 matches

18/05/2025 14:00

Vinotinto de Ecuador 1 - 3 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

15/05/2025 20:30

River Plate 6 - 2 Independiente del Valle CON CLA

11/05/2025 14:00

Tecnico Universitario 1 - 2 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

08/05/2025 22:00

Universitario De Deportes 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle CON CLA

04/05/2025 19:30

Independiente del Valle 1 - 2 Club Sport Emelec ECU D1

27/04/2025 16:30

Orense SC 1 - 2 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Mushuc Runa

17/05/2025 17:30

Mushuc Runa 2 - 5 Orense SC ECU D1

13/05/2025 20:30

Club Atlético Unión 0 - 1 Mushuc Runa CON CSA

10/05/2025 14:00

Manta FC 2 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

07/05/2025 20:30

Mushuc Runa 1 - 1 Cruzeiro CON CSA

03/05/2025 20:00

Mushuc Runa 4 - 3 Macara ECU D1

27/04/2025 14:00

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas 2 - 0 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Independiente del Valle

300

Mushuc Runa

223

Goals

Scored

254

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

157

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

139

Avg. per game

0.62

Conceded

172

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

171 (57%)129 (43%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

103 (46%)120 (54%)

Independiente del Valle

Recent matches

Mushuc Runa

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Independiente del Valle

Mushuc Runa

Shots

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

12.68 avg / game

Blocked

363 total

Avg. 3.49

Mushuc Runa

Total shots

10.78 avg / game

Blocked

201 total

Avg. 2.91

Independiente del Valle Pass Mushuc Runa

Total passes

69224

Avg. 425 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

30391

Avg. 269 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

OTHERS

Independiente del Valle

300

Played games

Mushuc Runa

223

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

120

Clean sheets

0.27

5.20

1559

Corners

1023

4.59

3.20

961

Throw-ins

839

3.76

1.12

336

Offsides

328

1.47

1.72

515

GK saves

563

2.52

Independiente del Valle

DISCIPLINARY

Mushuc Runa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.16

649

579

2.60

0.14

0.21

9.29

2788

Fouls

2685

12.04

5.58

1673

Tackles

1212

5.43

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Independiente del Valle

Deportivo Cuenca

ECU

08/09

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

CON

08/16

Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC

ECU

08/18

Independiente del Valle

NEXT MATCHES

Tecnico Universitario

How We Build the Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa on 23 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Independiente del Valle's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mushuc Runa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Independiente del Valle and Mushuc Runa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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