Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 May

Independiente del Valle

W W W W D

1st place in League

2-1

23/05/2025 17:30

Mushuc Runa

W L W L D

15th place in League

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa on 23 May 2025 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa preview before placing your bet.

Independiente del Valle will face Mushuc Runa in Primera Division de Ecuador on May 23, 2025 at 17:30.
Independiente del Valle are currently 1st with 64 points after 30 matches.
Mushuc Runa sit 15th with 27 points from 30 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.42.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2025-05-23

Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa - Prediction & Odds

Independiente del Valle

Mushuc Runa

2025-05-23 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 23/05/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	64	30	18	10	2	55	23	32
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	54	30	16	6	8	46	33	13
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	51	30	14	9	7	48	31	17
04 Universidad Catolica	49	30	13	10	7	58	39	19
05 Orense SC	47	30	13	8	9	34	32	2
06 Libertad FC	46	30	12	10	8	42	36	6
07 Deportivo Cuenca	46	30	13	7	10	35	29	6
08 Club Sport Emelec	42	30	11	9	10	30	34	-4
09 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	41	30	11	8	11	38	41	-3
10 Macara	38	30	9	11	10	32	30	2
11 CD El Nacional	34	30	9	7	14	32	46	-14
12 Delfin SC	31	30	6	13	11	26	42	-16
13 Tecnico Universitario	28	30	7	7	16	26	46	-20
14 Vinotinto de Ecuador	27	30	7	6	17	34	43	-9
15 Mushuc Runa	27	30	7	6	17	38	50	-12
16 Manta FC	26	30	5	11	14	34	53	-19

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	82	10	5	3	2	12	7	5
02 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	69	10	5	3	2	20	10	10
03 Barcelona SC(ECU)	67	10	3	4	3	10	14	-4
04 Universidad Catolica	58	10	1	6	3	9	11	-2
05 Orense SC	58	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 Libertad FC	56	10	2	4	4	12	15	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manta FC	39	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Mushuc Runa	36	6	2	3	1	4	5	-1
03 Tecnico Universitario	33	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3
04 Vinotinto de Ecuador	32	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2

Qualifying Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Macara	62	10	8	0	2	21	5	16
02 Deportivo Cuenca	59	10	4	1	5	16	12	4
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	58	10	5	2	3	21	13	8
04 Club Sport Emelec	55	10	4	1	5	12	15	-3
05 CD El Nacional	45	9	3	2	4	12	21	-9
06 Delfin SC	36	9	1	2	6	4	20	-16

Head To Head

05/10/2024 12:00

Mushuc Runa

1 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

18/04/2024 17:30

Independiente del Valle

2 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

06/08/2023 14:00

Mushuc Runa

1 - 0

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

25/02/2023 15:00

Independiente del Valle

3 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

02/11/2022 18:30

Independiente del Valle

1 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU CUP

16/10/2022 19:00

Mushuc Runa

0 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

Mushuc Runa

50%

Draw

33%

Independiente del Valle

17%

Independiente del Valle Last 6 matches

18/05/2025 14:00

Vinotinto de Ecuador 1 - 3 Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

15/05/2025 20:30

River Plate 6 - 2 Independiente del Valle

CON CLA

11/05/2025 14:00

Tecnico Universitario 1 - 2 Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

08/05/2025 22:00

Universitario De Deportes 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle

CON CLA

04/05/2025 19:30

Independiente del Valle 1 - 2 Club Sport Emelec

ECU D1

27/04/2025 16:30

Orense SC 1 - 2 Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Mushuc Runa

17/05/2025 17:30

Mushuc Runa 2 - 5 Orense SC

ECU D1

13/05/2025 20:30

Club Atlético Unión 0 - 1 Mushuc Runa

CON CSA

10/05/2025 14:00

Manta FC 2 - 1 Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

07/05/2025 20:30

Mushuc Runa 1 - 1 Cruzeiro

CON CSA

03/05/2025 20:00

Mushuc Runa 4 - 3 Macara

ECU D1

27/04/2025 14:00

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas 2 - 0 Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Played games

Independiente del Valle

Mushuc Runa

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.55

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.90

Scored

Avg. per game

1.28

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.41

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 62 matches

YesNo

50 (81%)12 (19%)

In last 62 matches

NoYes

36 (78%)10 (22%)

Independiente del Valle

Recent matches

Mushuc Runa

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Independiente del Valle

Mushuc Runa

Shots

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

12.75 avg / game

Blocked

79 total

Avg. 3.76

Mushuc Runa

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

40 total

Avg. 2.35

Independiente del Valle Pass Mushuc Runa

Total passes

20846

Avg. 401 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

11471

Avg. 261 / game

Accurate

70%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

OTHERS

Independiente del Valle

Played games

Mushuc Runa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.24

4.74

294

Corners

229

4.98

7.73

479

Throw-ins

518

11.26

1.27

Offsides

1.61

1.89

117

GK saves

128

2.78

Independiente del Valle

DISCIPLINARY

Mushuc Runa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.89

117

102

2.22

0.11

0.20

8.13

504

Fouls

508

11.04

7.71

478

Tackles

469

10.20

NEXT MATCHES

07/29

Independiente del Valle

Manta FC

ECU

08/02

Independiente del Valle

Deportivo Cuenca

ECU

08/09

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

CON

08/16

Independiente del Valle

NEXT MATCHES

Tecnico Universitario

How We Build the Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa on 23 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Independiente del Valle's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mushuc Runa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Independiente del Valle and Mushuc Runa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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