Iceland vs Wales: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Iceland

L W L W L

3rd place in Group D

2-2

11/10/2024 14:45

Wales

W D L D D

1st place in Group D

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Iceland vs Wales on 11 October 2024 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Iceland vs Wales preview before placing your bet.

Iceland are currently 3rd with 7 points after 6 matches.
Wales sit 1st with 12 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Wales to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Wales, who have won 2 of the last 2 meetings. Iceland have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2024-10-11

Iceland vs Wales - Prediction & Odds

Iceland

Wales

2024-10-11 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2024

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wales	12	6	3	3	0	9	4	5
02 Turkey	11	6	3	2	1	9	6	3
03 Iceland	7	6	2	1	3	10	13	-3
04 Montenegro	3	6	1	0	5	4	9	-5

Head To Head

05/03/2014 15:45

Wales

3 - 1

Iceland

INT FRL

28/05/2008 15:30

Iceland

0 - 1

Wales

INT CF

Iceland

Draw

Wales

100%

Iceland Last 6 matches

09/09/2024 14:45

Turkey 3 - 1 Iceland UEFA NL

06/09/2024 14:45

Iceland 2 - 0 Montenegro UEFA NL

10/06/2024 14:45

Netherlands 4 - 0 Iceland INT FRL

07/06/2024 14:45

England 0 - 1 Iceland INT FRL

26/03/2024 15:45

Ukraine 2 - 1 Iceland EURO Cup

21/03/2024 15:45

Israel 1 - 4 Iceland EURO Cup

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Wales

09/09/2024 14:45

Montenegro 1 - 2 Wales UEFA NL

06/09/2024 14:45

Wales 0 - 0 Turkey UEFA NL

09/06/2024 14:45

Slovakia 4 - 0 Wales INT FRL

06/06/2024 11:59

Gibraltar 0 - 0 Wales INT FRL

26/03/2024 15:45

Wales 0 - 0 Poland EURO Cup

21/03/2024 15:45

Wales 4 - 1 Finland EURO Cup

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Iceland

Wales

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.99

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 84 matches

YesNo

38 (45%)46 (55%)

In last 84 matches

NoYes

38 (49%)39 (51%)

Iceland

Recent matches

Wales

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Iceland

Wales

Shots

Iceland

Total shots

9.52 avg / game

Blocked

114 total

Avg. 2.38

Wales

Total shots

12.12 avg / game

Blocked

182 total

Avg. 3.37

Iceland Pass Wales

Total passes

20402

Avg. 408 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

26423

Avg. 456 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Iceland

Played games

Wales

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.38

3.21

270

Corners

302

3.92

10.07

846

Throw-ins

991

12.87

0.85

Offsides

1.13

2.42

203

GK saves

158

2.05

Iceland

DISCIPLINARY

Wales

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.60

134

120

1.56

0.08

0.10

8.38

704

Fouls

682

8.86

7.01

589

Tackles

710

9.22

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Iceland vs Wales Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Iceland vs Wales on 11 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Iceland vs Wales Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Iceland's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Wales's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Iceland and Wales sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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