Iceland vs Estonia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 September

Prediction

Iceland

L L D D L

3rd place in Group D

? - ?

26/09/2026 16:00

Estonia

W W L D W

1st place in Group D

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Iceland vs Estonia on 26 September 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Iceland vs Estonia preview before placing your bet.

Iceland are currently 3rd with 0 points after 0 matches.
Estonia sit 1st with 0 points from 0 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 26/09/2026

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Estonia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
02 Luxembourg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
03 Iceland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
04 Bulgaria	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Iceland Last 6 matches

10/06/2026 08:00

Argentina 3 - 0 Iceland International Friendly

31/05/2026 17:25

Japan 1 - 0 Iceland International Friendly

01/04/2026 00:35

Haiti 1 - 1 Iceland International Friendly

29/03/2026 00:20

Canada 2 - 2 Iceland International Friendly

26/02/2026 09:00

Mexico 4 - 0 Iceland International Friendly

17/11/2025 00:00

Ukraine 2 - 0 Iceland FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Estonia

09/06/2026 23:00

Estonia 1 - 0 Lithuania International Friendly

06/06/2026 22:00

Estonia 1 - 0 Faroe Islands Baltic Cup

31/03/2026 00:30

Rwanda 2 - 0 Estonia World FIFA Series

27/03/2026 23:00

Kenya 1 - 1 Estonia International Friendly

19/11/2025 00:00

Cyprus 2 - 4 Estonia International Friendly

14/11/2025 00:00

Norway 4 - 1 Estonia FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Played games

Iceland

Estonia

Goals

Scored

107

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

142

Avg. per game

1.69

Scored

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

148

Avg. per game

1.95

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 84 matches

YesNo

60 (71%)24 (29%)

In last 84 matches

NoYes

40 (53%)36 (47%)

Iceland

Recent matches

Estonia

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Iceland

Estonia

Shots

Iceland

Total shots

9.52 avg / game

Blocked

114 total

Avg. 2.38

Estonia

Total shots

8.51 avg / game

Blocked

85 total

Avg. 2.07

Iceland Pass Estonia

Total passes

20402

Avg. 408 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

15583

Avg. 346 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

42%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Iceland

Played games

Estonia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.21

3.21

270

Corners

223

2.93

10.07

846

Throw-ins

771

10.14

0.85

Offsides

1.04

2.42

203

GK saves

199

2.62

Iceland

DISCIPLINARY

Estonia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.60

134

131

1.72

0.08

0.07

8.38

704

Fouls

723

9.51

7.01

589

Tackles

564

7.42

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Iceland vs Estonia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Iceland vs Estonia on 26 September 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Iceland vs Estonia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Iceland's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Estonia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Iceland and Estonia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More UEFA Nations League Predictions

Find every upcoming UEFA Nations League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less