Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

Hamburger SV

L L L W W

13th place in German Bundesliga

4-0

05/10/2025 11:30

FSV Mainz 05

L D L W L

10th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 on 05 October 2025 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

Hamburger SV are currently 13th with 38 points after 34 matches.
FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th with 40 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FSV Mainz 05 to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors FSV Mainz 05, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Hamburger SV have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2025-10-05

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 - Prediction & Odds

Hamburger SV

FSV Mainz 05

2025-10-05 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

03/03/2018 10:30

Hamburger SV

0 - 0

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

14/10/2017 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

3 - 2

Hamburger SV

GER D1

07/05/2017 09:30

Hamburger SV

0 - 0

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

17/12/2016 10:30

FSV Mainz 05

3 - 1

Hamburger SV

GER D1

30/04/2016 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

0 - 0

Hamburger SV

GER D1

05/12/2015 10:30

Hamburger SV

1 - 3

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

Hamburger SV

Draw

50%

FSV Mainz 05

50%

Hamburger SV Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 09:30

Hamburger SV 2 - 1 Heidenheimer GER D1

13/09/2025 12:30

Bayern Munchen 5 - 0 Hamburger SV GER D1

04/09/2025 07:00

Hamburger SV 1 - 3 Hannover 96 INT CF

29/08/2025 14:30

Hamburger SV 0 - 2 St. Pauli GER D1

24/08/2025 11:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 0 - 0 Hamburger SV GER D1

16/08/2025 07:00

FK Pirmasens 1 - 1 Hamburger SV GERC

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches FSV Mainz 05

27/09/2025 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

20/09/2025 09:30

Augsburg 1 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

13/09/2025 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 RB Leipzig GER D1

31/08/2025 09:30

VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

28/08/2025 15:00

FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1 Rosenborg BK UEFA ECL

24/08/2025 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 FC Koln GER D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Hamburger SV

FSV Mainz 05

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

9 (53%)8 (47%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

8 (47%)9 (53%)

Hamburger SV

Recent matches

FSV Mainz 05

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

/Yes

(71%)12 5(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Hamburger SV

FSV Mainz 05

Shots

Hamburger SV

Total shots

13.24 avg / game

Blocked

58 total

Avg. 3.41

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

13.59 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 4.00

Hamburger SV Pass FSV Mainz 05

Total passes

6598

Avg. 388 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

6354

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Hamburger SV

Played games

FSV Mainz 05

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.12

Clean sheets

0.12

3.71

Corners

105

6.18

17.18

292

Throw-ins

376

22.12

1.35

Offsides

2.41

2.35

GK saves

2.82

Hamburger SV

DISCIPLINARY

FSV Mainz 05

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.18

1.71

0.18

0.18

12.06

205

Fouls

202

11.88

9.47

161

Tackles

142

8.35

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 on 05 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Hamburger SV's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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