Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

Hamburger SV
LLLWW
13th place in German Bundesliga
2
4-0
FT
05/10/2025 11:30
FSV Mainz 05
LDLWL
10th place in German Bundesliga
German Bundesliga
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 on 05 October 2025 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

  • Hamburger SV will face FSV Mainz 05 in German Bundesliga on October 5, 2025 at 11:30.
  • Hamburger SV are currently 13th with 38 points after 34 matches.
  • FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th with 40 points from 34 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.33.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
11:30

2025-10-05

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 - Prediction & Odds

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
2025-10-05 11:30
35
26
39
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
2.33
FT
4-0 2-0
-
weather
11℃～12℃
STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Bayern Munchen Bayern Munchen
89 34 28 5 1 122 36 86
02 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
73 34 22 7 5 70 34 36
03 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
65 34 20 5 9 66 47 19
04 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
62 34 18 8 8 71 49 22
05 TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
61 34 18 7 9 65 52 13
06 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
59 34 17 8 9 68 47 21
07 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
47 34 13 8 13 51 57 -6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
44 34 11 11 12 61 65 -4
09 Augsburg Augsburg
43 34 12 7 15 45 61 -16
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
40 34 10 10 14 44 53 -9
11 Union Berlin Union Berlin
39 34 10 9 15 44 58 -14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia Monchengladbach
38 34 9 11 14 42 53 -11
13 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
38 34 9 11 14 40 54 -14
14 FC Koln FC Koln
32 34 7 11 16 49 63 -14
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
32 34 8 8 18 37 60 -23
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
29 34 7 8 19 45 69 -24
17 Heidenheimer Heidenheimer
26 34 6 8 20 41 72 -31
18 St. Pauli St. Pauli
26 34 6 8 20 29 60 -31
Head To Head
03/03/2018 10:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
0 - 0
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
GER D1
14/10/2017 09:30
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
3 - 2
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
GER D1
07/05/2017 09:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
0 - 0
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
GER D1
17/12/2016 10:30
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
3 - 1
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
GER D1
30/04/2016 09:30
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
0 - 0
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
GER D1
05/12/2015 10:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
1 - 3
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
GER D1
Hamburger SV
2
33%
Draw
3
50%
FSV Mainz 05
1
17%
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV Last 6 matches
20/09/2025 09:30
Hamburger SV 2 - 1 Heidenheimer
GER D1
13/09/2025 12:30
Bayern Munchen 5 - 0 Hamburger SV
GER D1
04/09/2025 07:00
Hamburger SV 1 - 3 Hannover 96
INT CF
29/08/2025 14:30
Hamburger SV 0 - 2 St. Pauli
GER D1
24/08/2025 11:30
Borussia Monchengladbach 0 - 0 Hamburger SV
GER D1
16/08/2025 07:00
FK Pirmasens 1 - 1 Hamburger SV
GERC
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
27/09/2025 09:30
FSV Mainz 05 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund
GER D1
20/09/2025 09:30
Augsburg 1 - 4 FSV Mainz 05
GER D1
13/09/2025 09:30
FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
GER D1
31/08/2025 09:30
VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05
GER D1
28/08/2025 15:00
FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1 Rosenborg BK
UEFA ECL
24/08/2025 09:30
FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 FC Koln
GER D1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
33
 FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
33
Goals
Scored
22
Avg. per game
0.67
Conceded
28
Avg. per game
0.85
Scored
21
Avg. per game
0.64
Conceded
30
Avg. per game
0.91
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 33 matches
YesNo
17 (52%)16 (48%)
In last 33 matches
NoYes
17 (52%)16 (48%)
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Recent matches

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

Under /Over

(79%)26 7(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)27 6(18%)

Under /Over

(42%)14 19(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(39%)13 20(61%)

Under /Over

(48%)16 17(52%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(39%)13 20(61%)

/Yes

(64%)21 12(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)21 12(36%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Shots
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Total shots
12.09 avg / game
Blocked
99 total
Avg. 3.00
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Total shots
11.94 avg / game
Blocked
112 total
Avg. 3.39
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV Pass FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Total passes
12868
Avg. 390 / game
Accurate
80%
Ball possession
46%
Total passes
12241
Avg. 371 / game
Accurate
74%
Ball possession
44%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
2786
Avg. 84.42 / game
 FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
3333
Avg. 101.00 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1172
Avg. 35.52 / game
 FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
1656
Avg. 50.18 / game
OTHERS
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
33
Played games
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
33
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.18
6
Clean sheets
3
0.09
3.67
121
Corners
169
5.12
17.21
568
Throw-ins
711
21.55
1.76
58
Offsides
77
2.33
3.24
107
GK saves
111
3.36
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
DISCIPLINARY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.27
75
Yellow card
67
2.03
0.24
8
Red card
5
0.15
11.85
391
Fouls
362
10.97
9.03
298
Tackles
295
8.94
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GER
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VS
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How We Build the Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 on 05 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Hamburger SV's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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