Guinea vs Ethiopia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 October

Guinea

L L L W W

3rd place in Group H

4-1

12/10/2024 12:00

Ethiopia

L D D D W

4th place in Group H

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Guinea vs Ethiopia on 12 October 2024 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Guinea vs Ethiopia preview before placing your bet.

Guinea will face Ethiopia in African Nations Cup on October 12, 2024 at 12:00.
Guinea are currently 3rd with 9 points after 6 matches.
Ethiopia sit 4th with 4 points from 6 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.52.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2024-10-12

Guinea vs Ethiopia - Prediction & Odds

Guinea

Ethiopia

2024-10-12 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 12/10/2024

Group H	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Democratic Rep Congo	12	6	4	0	2	7	3	4
02 Tanzania	10	6	3	1	2	5	4	1
03 Guinea	9	6	3	0	3	9	5	4
04 Ethiopia	4	6	1	1	4	3	12	-9

Head To Head

27/03/2023 15:00

Ethiopia

2 - 3

Guinea

CAF NC

24/03/2023 16:30

Guinea

2 - 0

Ethiopia

CAF NC

04/09/2011 11:00

Guinea

1 - 0

Ethiopia

CAF NC

05/09/2010 09:00

Ethiopia

1 - 4

Guinea

CAF NC

Ethiopia

50%

Draw

Guinea

50%

Guinea Last 6 matches

10/09/2024 12:00

Guinea 1 - 2 Tanzania

CAF NC

06/09/2024 12:00

Democratic Rep Congo 1 - 0 Guinea

CAF NC

10/06/2024 15:00

Guinea 0 - 1 Mozambique

WCPAF

06/06/2024 15:00

Algeria 1 - 2 Guinea

WCPAF

25/03/2024 15:00

Guinea 5 - 1 Bermuda

INT FRL

21/03/2024 15:00

Guinea 6 - 0 Vanuatu

INT FRL

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Ethiopia

09/09/2024 15:00

Ethiopia 0 - 2 Democratic Rep Congo

CAF NC

04/09/2024 12:00

Tanzania 0 - 0 Ethiopia

CAF NC

09/06/2024 11:59

Djibouti 1 - 1 Ethiopia

WCPAF

06/06/2024 11:59

Guinea Bissau 0 - 0 Ethiopia

WCPAF

24/03/2024 08:00

Ethiopia 2 - 1 Lesotho

INT FRL

21/03/2024 08:20

Ethiopia 1 - 2 Lesotho

INT FRL

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Guinea

Ethiopia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

Avg. per game

0.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

Guinea

Recent matches

Ethiopia

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(83%)5 1(17%)

Under /Over

(33%)2 4(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

Under /Over

(33%)2 4(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

/Yes

(33%)2 4(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)2 4(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Guinea

Ethiopia

Shots

Guinea

Total shots

10.67 avg / game

Blocked

4 total

Avg. 2.00

Ethiopia

Total shots

10.50 avg / game

Blocked

6 total

Avg. 3.00

Guinea Pass Ethiopia

Total passes

2541

Avg. 424 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

2992

Avg. 499 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Guinea

Played games

Ethiopia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.17

3.83

Corners

2.17

17.83

107

Throw-ins

120

20.00

1.17

Offsides

2.67

1.67

GK saves

2.33

Guinea

DISCIPLINARY

Ethiopia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.00

1.67

0.00

0.00

16.50

Fouls

14.00

7.50

Tackles

12.67

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Guinea vs Ethiopia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Guinea vs Ethiopia on 12 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Guinea vs Ethiopia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Guinea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Ethiopia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Guinea and Ethiopia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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