Guinea vs Ethiopia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 October

Guinea

L L L W W

3rd place in Group H

4-1

12/10/2024 12:00

Ethiopia

L D D D W

4th place in Group H

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Guinea vs Ethiopia on 12 October 2024 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Guinea vs Ethiopia preview before placing your bet.

Guinea are currently 3rd with 9 points after 6 matches.
Ethiopia sit 4th with 4 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Guinea to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Guinea, who have won 4 of the last 4 meetings. Ethiopia have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2024-10-12

Guinea vs Ethiopia - Prediction & Odds

Guinea

Ethiopia

2024-10-12 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 12/10/2024

Group H	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Democratic Rep Congo	12	6	4	0	2	7	3	4
02 Tanzania	10	6	3	1	2	5	4	1
03 Guinea	9	6	3	0	3	9	5	4
04 Ethiopia	4	6	1	1	4	3	12	-9

Head To Head

27/03/2023 15:00

Ethiopia

2 - 3

Guinea

CAF NC

24/03/2023 16:30

Guinea

2 - 0

Ethiopia

CAF NC

04/09/2011 11:00

Guinea

1 - 0

Ethiopia

CAF NC

05/09/2010 09:00

Ethiopia

1 - 4

Guinea

CAF NC

Guinea

100%

Draw

Ethiopia

Guinea Last 6 matches

10/09/2024 12:00

Guinea 1 - 2 Tanzania CAF NC

06/09/2024 12:00

Democratic Rep Congo 1 - 0 Guinea CAF NC

10/06/2024 15:00

Guinea 0 - 1 Mozambique WCPAF

06/06/2024 15:00

Algeria 1 - 2 Guinea WCPAF

25/03/2024 15:00

Guinea 5 - 1 Bermuda INT FRL

21/03/2024 15:00

Guinea 6 - 0 Vanuatu INT FRL

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Ethiopia

09/09/2024 15:00

Ethiopia 0 - 2 Democratic Rep Congo CAF NC

04/09/2024 12:00

Tanzania 0 - 0 Ethiopia CAF NC

09/06/2024 11:59

Djibouti 1 - 1 Ethiopia WCPAF

06/06/2024 11:59

Guinea Bissau 0 - 0 Ethiopia WCPAF

24/03/2024 08:00

Ethiopia 2 - 1 Lesotho INT FRL

21/03/2024 08:20

Ethiopia 1 - 2 Lesotho INT FRL

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Guinea

Ethiopia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 83 matches

YesNo

40 (48%)43 (52%)

In last 83 matches

NoYes

30 (43%)39 (57%)

Guinea

Recent matches

Ethiopia

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Guinea

Ethiopia

Shots

Guinea

Total shots

9.29 avg / game

Blocked

50 total

Avg. 2.63

Ethiopia

Total shots

8.22 avg / game

Blocked

29 total

Avg. 2.90

Guinea Pass Ethiopia

Total passes

9271

Avg. 386 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

7259

Avg. 484 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Guinea

Played games

Ethiopia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.36

3.65

303

Corners

147

2.13

4.78

397

Throw-ins

217

3.14

0.63

Offsides

0.77

0.88

GK saves

1.23

Guinea

DISCIPLINARY

Ethiopia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.23

102

0.83

0.04

0.01

6.45

535

Fouls

285

4.13

3.54

294

Tackles

200

2.90

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Guinea vs Ethiopia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Guinea vs Ethiopia on 12 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Guinea vs Ethiopia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Guinea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Ethiopia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Guinea and Ethiopia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More African Nations Cup Predictions

Find every upcoming African Nations Cup fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less