Guinea Bissau vs Mali: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 October

Guinea Bissau

L L W D D

3rd place in Group I

0-0

15/10/2024 16:00

Mali

W W D D L

1st place in Group I

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Guinea Bissau vs Mali on 15 October 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Guinea Bissau vs Mali preview before placing your bet.

Guinea Bissau are currently 3rd with 5 points after 6 matches.
Mali sit 1st with 14 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Mali to win with probability 50%.
Head-to-head history favors Mali, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Guinea Bissau have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-10-15

Guinea Bissau vs Mali - Prediction & Odds

Guinea Bissau

Mali

2024-10-15 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 15/10/2024

Group I	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	14	6	4	2	0	10	1	9
02 Mozambique	11	6	3	2	1	9	5	4
03 Guinea Bissau	5	6	1	2	3	4	6	-2
04 Eswatini	2	6	0	2	4	2	13	-11

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	7	3	2	1	0	6	1	5
02 Mali	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
03 Comoros	2	3	0	2	1	0	2	-2
04 Zambia	2	3	0	2	1	1	4	-3

Head To Head

11/10/2024 19:00

Mali

1 - 0

Guinea Bissau

CAF NC

06/01/2024 19:00

Mali

6 - 2

Guinea Bissau

INT FRL

04/08/2019 15:59

Mali

3 - 0

Guinea Bissau

CAF SC

27/07/2019 16:30

Guinea Bissau

0 - 4

Mali

CAF SC

05/07/2015 17:00

Mali

3 - 1

Guinea Bissau

CAF SC

20/06/2015 13:30

Guinea Bissau

1 - 1

Mali

CAF SC

Guinea Bissau

Draw

17%

Mali

83%

Guinea Bissau Last 6 matches

11/10/2024 19:00

Mali 1 - 0 Guinea Bissau CAF NC

10/09/2024 13:00

Mozambique 2 - 1 Guinea Bissau CAF NC

05/09/2024 16:00

Guinea Bissau 1 - 0 Eswatini CAF NC

10/06/2024 15:59

Guinea Bissau 1 - 1 Egypt WCPAF

06/06/2024 15:59

Guinea Bissau 0 - 0 Ethiopia WCPAF

25/03/2024 22:30

Guinea Bissau 2 - 1 Sudan INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Mali

11/10/2024 19:00

Mali 1 - 0 Guinea Bissau CAF NC

10/09/2024 13:00

Eswatini 0 - 1 Mali CAF NC

06/09/2024 19:00

Mali 1 - 1 Mozambique CAF NC

11/06/2024 13:00

Madagascar 0 - 0 Mali WCPAF

06/06/2024 19:00

Mali 1 - 2 Ghana WCPAF

26/03/2024 21:00

Nigeria 0 - 2 Mali INT FRL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Played games

Guinea Bissau

Mali

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

Avg. per game

1.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (67%)1 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

Guinea Bissau

Recent matches

Mali

Under /Over

(33%)1 2(67%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

Under /Over

(33%)1 2(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(17%)1 5(83%)

Under /Over

(0%)0 3(100%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

/Yes

(33%)1 2(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)3 3(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Guinea Bissau

Mali

Shots

Guinea Bissau

Total shots

11.67 avg / game

Blocked

2 total

Avg. 2.00

Mali

Total shots

14.50 avg / game

Blocked

11 total

Avg. 3.67

Guinea Bissau Pass Mali

Total passes

1294

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

2423

Avg. 404 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Guinea Bissau

Played games

Mali

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.67

Clean sheets

0.33

3.67

Corners

4.50

22.00

Throw-ins

135

22.50

2.67

Offsides

1.83

4.00

GK saves

2.00

Guinea Bissau

DISCIPLINARY

Mali

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.33

1.83

0.00

0.33

13.33

Fouls

11.00

9.67

Tackles

11.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Guinea Bissau vs Mali Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Guinea Bissau vs Mali on 15 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Guinea Bissau vs Mali Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Guinea Bissau's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mali's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Guinea Bissau and Mali sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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