Groningen vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 May

Groningen

L W W L D

13th place in Holland Eredivisie

2-2

14/05/2025 14:00

AFC Ajax

W L D L D

2nd place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Groningen vs AFC Ajax on 14 May 2025 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Groningen vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Groningen are currently 13th with 39 points after 34 matches.
AFC Ajax sit 2nd with 78 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Groningen have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2025-05-14

Groningen vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

Groningen

AFC Ajax

2025-05-14 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	79	34	25	4	5	103	39	64
02 AFC Ajax	78	34	24	6	4	67	32	35
03 Feyenoord	68	34	20	8	6	76	38	38
04 FC Utrecht	64	34	18	10	6	62	45	17
05 AZ Alkmaar	57	34	16	9	9	58	37	21
06 FC Twente Enschede	54	34	15	9	10	62	49	13
07 Go Ahead Eagles	51	34	14	9	11	57	55	2
08 NEC Nijmegen	43	34	12	7	15	51	46	5
09 SC Heerenveen	43	34	12	7	15	42	57	-15
10 PEC Zwolle	41	34	10	11	13	43	51	-8
11 Fortuna Sittard	41	34	11	8	15	37	54	-17
12 Sparta Rotterdam	39	34	9	12	13	39	43	-4
13 Groningen	39	34	10	9	15	40	53	-13
14 Heracles Almelo	38	34	9	11	14	42	63	-21
15 NAC Breda	33	34	8	9	17	34	58	-24
16 Willem II	26	34	6	8	20	34	56	-22
17 RKC Waalwijk	25	34	6	7	21	44	74	-30
18 Almere City FC	22	34	4	10	20	23	64	-41

Head To Head

06/10/2024 10:45

AFC Ajax

3 - 1

Groningen

HOL D1

16/05/2023 09:00

Groningen

2 - 3

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

14/08/2022 08:30

AFC Ajax

6 - 1

Groningen

HOL D1

02/04/2022 10:30

Groningen

1 - 3

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

25/09/2021 12:45

AFC Ajax

3 - 0

Groningen

HOL D1

07/03/2021 07:15

AFC Ajax

3 - 1

Groningen

HOL D1

Groningen

Draw

AFC Ajax

100%

Groningen Last 6 matches

11/05/2025 10:45

AZ Alkmaar 3 - 0 Groningen HOL D1

03/05/2025 14:00

Groningen 6 - 1 RKC Waalwijk HOL D1

23/04/2025 14:00

Groningen 4 - 1 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

13/04/2025 06:15

FC Utrecht 3 - 1 Groningen HOL D1

05/04/2025 14:00

Groningen 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven HOL D1

02/04/2025 14:00

Feyenoord 4 - 1 Groningen HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

11/05/2025 10:45

AFC Ajax 0 - 3 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

27/04/2025 08:30

AFC Ajax 1 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam HOL D1

20/04/2025 06:15

FC Utrecht 4 - 0 AFC Ajax HOL D1

13/04/2025 10:45

Willem II 1 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

06/04/2025 10:45

AFC Ajax 3 - 1 NAC Breda HOL D1

30/03/2025 08:30

PSV Eindhoven 0 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

174

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

166

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

315

Avg. per game

1.05

Conceded

153

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 275 matches

YesNo

128 (47%)147 (53%)

In last 275 matches

NoYes

193 (64%)107 (36%)

Groningen

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Groningen

AFC Ajax

Shots

Groningen

Total shots

12.09 avg / game

Blocked

642 total

Avg. 3.51

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.04 avg / game

Blocked

918 total

Avg. 3.99

Groningen Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

86165

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

146232

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Groningen

275

Played games

AFC Ajax

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

101

0.34

4.48

1232

Corners

1710

5.70

12.36

3400

Throw-ins

4373

14.58

1.23

338

Offsides

496

1.65

2.32

639

GK saves

765

2.55

Groningen

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.31

359

441

1.47

0.09

0.08

8.21

2258

Fouls

2938

9.79

11.66

3207

Tackles

3603

12.01

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Groningen vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Groningen vs AFC Ajax on 14 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Groningen vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Groningen's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where Groningen and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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