AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

AFC Ajax

W L D L D

2nd place in Holland Eredivisie

0-3

11/05/2025 10:45

NEC Nijmegen

W L D W W

8th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 11 May 2025 (kick-off: 10:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen preview before placing your bet.

AFC Ajax will face NEC Nijmegen in Holland Eredivisie on May 11, 2025 at 10:45.
AFC Ajax are currently 2nd with 78 points after 34 matches.
NEC Nijmegen sit 8th with 43 points from 34 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.28.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:45

2025-05-11

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen - Prediction & Odds

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

2025-05-11 10:45

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	79	34	25	4	5	103	39	64
02 AFC Ajax	78	34	24	6	4	67	32	35
03 Feyenoord	68	34	20	8	6	76	38	38
04 FC Utrecht	64	34	18	10	6	62	45	17
05 AZ Alkmaar	57	34	16	9	9	58	37	21
06 FC Twente Enschede	54	34	15	9	10	62	49	13
07 Go Ahead Eagles	51	34	14	9	11	57	55	2
08 NEC Nijmegen	43	34	12	7	15	51	46	5
09 SC Heerenveen	43	34	12	7	15	42	57	-15
10 PEC Zwolle	41	34	10	11	13	43	51	-8
11 Fortuna Sittard	41	34	11	8	15	37	54	-17
12 Sparta Rotterdam	39	34	9	12	13	39	43	-4
13 Groningen	39	34	10	9	15	40	53	-13
14 Heracles Almelo	38	34	9	11	14	42	63	-21
15 NAC Breda	33	34	8	9	17	34	58	-24
16 Willem II	26	34	6	8	20	34	56	-22
17 RKC Waalwijk	25	34	6	7	21	44	74	-30
18 Almere City FC	22	34	4	10	20	23	64	-41

Head To Head

01/12/2024 11:45

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

18/02/2024 09:30

AFC Ajax

2 - 2

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

03/12/2023 09:30

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

05/03/2023 11:45

AFC Ajax

1 - 0

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

08/01/2023 09:30

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

23/04/2022 10:30

NEC Nijmegen

0 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

NEC Nijmegen

17%

Draw

33%

AFC Ajax

50%

AFC Ajax Last 6 matches

27/04/2025 08:30

AFC Ajax 1 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam

HOL D1

20/04/2025 06:15

FC Utrecht 4 - 0 AFC Ajax

HOL D1

13/04/2025 10:45

Willem II 1 - 2 AFC Ajax

HOL D1

06/04/2025 10:45

AFC Ajax 3 - 1 NAC Breda

HOL D1

30/03/2025 08:30

PSV Eindhoven 0 - 2 AFC Ajax

HOL D1

16/03/2025 11:50

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches NEC Nijmegen

03/05/2025 10:30

NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1 Willem II

HOL D1

27/04/2025 08:30

SC Heerenveen 1 - 0 NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

11/04/2025 14:00

NEC Nijmegen 2 - 1 RKC Waalwijk

HOL D1

06/04/2025 08:30

Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 0 NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

29/03/2025 16:00

NEC Nijmegen 3 - 3 AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

15/03/2025 11:30

FC Utrecht 0 - 1 NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Played games

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.97

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.94

Scored

Avg. per game

1.51

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.37

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

32 (94%)2 (6%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

26 (74%)9 (26%)

AFC Ajax

Recent matches

NEC Nijmegen

Under /Over

(88%)30 4(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(77%)27 8(23%)

Under /Over

(29%)10 24(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(34%)12 23(66%)

Under /Over

(59%)20 14(41%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(46%)16 19(54%)

/Yes

(47%)16 18(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)17 18(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

Shots

AFC Ajax

Total shots

14.29 avg / game

Blocked

108 total

Avg. 4.00

NEC Nijmegen

Total shots

12.91 avg / game

Blocked

85 total

Avg. 3.40

AFC Ajax Pass NEC Nijmegen

Total passes

18994

Avg. 559 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

14778

Avg. 422 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Ajax

Played games

NEC Nijmegen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.29

5.56

189

Corners

174

4.97

16.15

549

Throw-ins

755

21.57

1.53

Offsides

0.91

2.47

GK saves

127

3.63

AFC Ajax

DISCIPLINARY

NEC Nijmegen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

1.51

0.03

0.09

10.00

340

Fouls

375

10.71

13.50

459

Tackles

595

17.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against NEC Nijmegen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and NEC Nijmegen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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