Gran Pena vs UD Ourense: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 06 April

Gran Pena
LWDDD
No standing data
2
1-1
FT
06/04/2025 11:30
UD Ourense
DWWWW
No standing data
Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Gran Pena vs UD Ourense on 06 April 2025 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Gran Pena vs UD Ourense preview before placing your bet.

  • Our algorithm prediction: UD Ourense to win with probability 64%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Gran Pena, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. UD Ourense have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
11:30

2025-04-06

Gran Pena vs UD Ourense - Prediction & Odds

Gran Pena
Gran Pena
UD Ourense
UD Ourense
2025-04-06 11:30
15
21
64
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.40
FT
1-1 0-1
-
weather
STANDINGS UP TO 06/04/2025
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Gran Pena and UD Ourense in the Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division football standings for the 2024-2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
24/11/2024 12:00
UD Ourense UD Ourense
2 - 0
Gran Pena Gran Pena
Spain D4
09/06/2024 11:59
Gran Pena Gran Pena
2 - 1
UD Ourense UD Ourense
Spain D4
02/06/2024 06:00
UD Ourense UD Ourense
3 - 3
Gran Pena Gran Pena
Spain D4
24/02/2024 12:30
UD Ourense UD Ourense
0 - 2
Gran Pena Gran Pena
Spain D4
08/10/2023 06:00
Gran Pena Gran Pena
1 - 1
UD Ourense UD Ourense
Spain D4
19/08/2023 05:30
Gran Pena Gran Pena
5 - 1
UD Ourense UD Ourense
INT CF
Gran Pena
3
50%
Draw
2
33%
UD Ourense
1
17%
Gran Pena Gran Pena Last 6 matches
30/03/2025 11:00
Betanzos CF 2 - 1 Gran Pena Spain D4
23/03/2025 11:50
Gran Pena 3 - 2 Polvorin Spain D4
16/03/2025 07:00
Racing Villalbes 0 - 0 Gran Pena Spain D4
09/03/2025 11:45
Gran Pena 3 - 3 CF Noia Spain D4
01/03/2025 12:00
Viveiro CF 0 - 0 Gran Pena Spain D4
23/02/2025 11:45
Gran Pena 1 - 3 Sarriana Spain D4
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches UD Ourense UD Ourense
30/03/2025 12:00
UD Ourense 0 - 0 UD Somozas Spain D4
23/03/2025 12:00
CD Boiro 0 - 1 UD Ourense Spain D4
15/03/2025 12:00
UD Ourense 2 - 0 Villalonga FC Spain D4
09/03/2025 13:00
Valladares SP 0 - 4 UD Ourense Spain D4
01/03/2025 11:30
UD Ourense 2 - 0 Arosa SC Spain D4
23/02/2025 07:00
Atletico Arteixo 0 - 1 UD Ourense Spain D4
Win
83%
Draw
17%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Spanish Bizkaia-Tercer...
Played games
Gran Pena
Gran Pena
140
 UD Ourense
UD Ourense
183
Goals
Scored
214
Avg. per game
1.53
Conceded
169
Avg. per game
1.21
Scored
245
Avg. per game
1.34
Conceded
193
Avg. per game
1.05
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 140 matches
YesNo
100 (71%)40 (29%)
In last 140 matches
NoYes
134 (73%)49 (27%)
Gran Pena

Gran Pena

Recent matches

UD Ourense

UD Ourense

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Gran Pena Gran Pena
UD Ourense UD Ourense
Shots
Gran Pena
Gran Pena
Total shots
9.50 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
UD Ourense
UD Ourense
Total shots
9.07 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Gran Pena Gran Pena Pass UD Ourense UD Ourense
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
53%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
55%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Gran Pena
Gran Pena
9385
Avg. 67.04 / game
 UD Ourense
UD Ourense
9687
Avg. 52.93 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Gran Pena
Gran Pena
4931
Avg. 35.22 / game
 UD Ourense
UD Ourense
5377
Avg. 29.38 / game
OTHERS
Gran Pena
Gran Pena
140
Played games
UD Ourense
UD Ourense
183
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.30
42
Clean sheets
67
0.37
3.00
420
Corners
494
2.70
0.00
0
Throw-ins
14
0.08
0.24
33
Offsides
47
0.26
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Gran Pena
Gran Pena
DISCIPLINARY
UD Ourense
UD Ourense
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.18
165
Yellow card
251
1.37
0.06
8
Red card
6
0.03
0.43
60
Fouls
240
1.31
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
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NEXT MATCHES
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SPD
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VS
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SPD
09/13
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VS
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SPD
09/20
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VS
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SPD

How We Build the Gran Pena vs UD Ourense Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Gran Pena vs UD Ourense on 06 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Gran Pena vs UD Ourense Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Gran Pena's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against UD Ourense's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division standings and the Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division form table to understand exactly where Gran Pena and UD Ourense sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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