FSV Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 February

Betiball's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli on 22 February 2025 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FSV Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli preview before placing your bet.

FSV Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli: Starting Lineups Time : 22/02/2025 10:30

FSV Mainz 05
2 - 0
Finished
St. Pauli
90+4' event Paul Nebel
87' event Paul Nebel
83' event Silvan Widmer / Phillipp Mwene
73' event Armindo Sieb / Jonathan Michael Burkardt
67' event Lee Jae Sung
66' event Andreas Hanche-Olsen / Dominik Kohr
50' event Dominik Kohr
46' event Lee Jae Sung / Nelson Weiper
18' event Kaishu Sano
event 90+3' David Nemeth
event 83' Daniel Sinani / Noah Weisshaupt
event 83' Abdoulie Ceesay / Philipp Treu
event 68' Oladapo Afolayan / Elias Saad
event 65' Siebe Van der Heyden
event 62' Adam Dzwigala / Lars Ritzka
event 24' Philipp Treu
event 22' Elias Saad Penalty cancelled
90+4' event Paul Nebel
event 90+3' David Nemeth
87' event Paul Nebel
event 83' Daniel Sinani / Noah Weisshaupt
83' event Silvan Widmer / Phillipp Mwene
event 83' Abdoulie Ceesay / Philipp Treu
73' event Armindo Sieb / Jonathan Michael Burkardt
event 68' Oladapo Afolayan / Elias Saad
67' event Lee Jae Sung
event 65' Siebe Van der Heyden
66' event Andreas Hanche-Olsen / Dominik Kohr
event 62' Adam Dzwigala / Lars Ritzka
50' event Dominik Kohr
event 24' Philipp Treu
46' event Lee Jae Sung / Nelson Weiper
event 22' Elias Saad Penalty cancelled
18' event Kaishu Sano
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Substitutions
#11 Armindo Sieb
#25 Andreas Hanche-Olsen
#30 Silvan Widmer
#7 Lee Jae Sung
#22 Nikolas Konrad Veratschnig
#5 Maxim Leitsch
#1 Lasse RieB
#15 Lennard Maloney
#14 Hong Hyun Seok
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 St. Pauli St. Pauli
10Shots12
5Shots on Goal0
9Fouls10
6Corner Kick5
10Free kick9
6Offside1
3Yellow card3
46Aerial44
0Save3
12Successful Tackles16
8Interceptions13
27Long pass26
1Assist0
4Substitution4
1Shots off goal9
0Hit The Post1
22Head Success23
4Blocked3
12Tackle16
15Dribbles3
26Throw-in22
425Passes377
111Attacks98
56Dangerous attacks36
1Corner Kicks(HT)2
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Substitutions
#9 Abdoulie Ceesay
#10 Daniel Sinani
#25 Adam Dzwigala
#17 Oladapo Afolayan
#24 Conor Metcalfe
#16 Carlo Boukhalfa
#20 Erik Ahlstrand
#18 Scott Banks
#1 Ben Alexander Voll
Commentary
90+4' Goal! Paul Nebel - FSV Mainz 05
90+3' David Nemeth - St. Pauli receive a yellow card
87' Paul Nebel - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
83' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Silvan Widmer / Phillipp Mwene
83' St. Pauli — substitution: Daniel Sinani / Noah Weisshaupt
83' St. Pauli — substitution: Abdoulie Ceesay / Philipp Treu
73' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Armindo Sieb / Jonathan Michael Burkardt
68' St. Pauli — substitution: Oladapo Afolayan / Elias Saad
67' Goal! Lee Jae Sung - FSV Mainz 05
66' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Andreas Hanche-Olsen / Dominik Kohr
65' Siebe Van der Heyden - St. Pauli receive a yellow card
62' St. Pauli — substitution: Adam Dzwigala / Lars Ritzka
50' Dominik Kohr - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
46' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Lee Jae Sung / Nelson Weiper
24' Philipp Treu - St. Pauli receive a yellow card
22' VAR review - St. Pauli
18' Kaishu Sano - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card

How We Build the FSV Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli on 22 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FSV Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FSV Mainz 05's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against St. Pauli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where FSV Mainz 05 and St. Pauli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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