FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

FSV Mainz 05

L D L W L

10th place in German Bundesliga

0-2

27/09/2025 09:30

Borussia Dortmund

L L W L W

2nd place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund on 27 September 2025 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund preview before placing your bet.

FSV Mainz 05 are currently 10th with 40 points after 34 matches.
Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd with 73 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2025-09-27

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction & Odds

FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund

2025-09-27 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

30/03/2025 11:30

Borussia Dortmund

3 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

09/11/2024 10:30

FSV Mainz 05

3 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

11/05/2024 12:30

FSV Mainz 05

3 - 0

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

19/12/2023 15:30

Borussia Dortmund

1 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

27/05/2023 09:30

Borussia Dortmund

2 - 2

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

25/01/2023 13:30

FSV Mainz 05

1 - 2

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

FSV Mainz 05

33%

Draw

33%

Borussia Dortmund

33%

FSV Mainz 05 Last 6 matches

13/09/2025 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 RB Leipzig GER D1

31/08/2025 09:30

VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

28/08/2025 15:00

FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1 Rosenborg BK UEFA ECL

24/08/2025 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 FC Koln GER D1

21/08/2025 12:00

Rosenborg BK 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 UEFA ECL

18/08/2025 12:00

Dynamo Dresden 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 GERC

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Borussia Dortmund

16/09/2025 15:00

Juventus 4 - 4 Borussia Dortmund UEFA CL

13/09/2025 09:30

Heidenheimer 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

31/08/2025 11:30

Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 Union Berlin GER D1

23/08/2025 12:30

St. Pauli 3 - 3 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

18/08/2025 14:45

Rot-Weiss Essen 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund GERC

10/08/2025 11:30

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 2 Juventus INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Played games

Goals

Scored

416

Avg. per game

1.56

Conceded

370

Avg. per game

1.39

Scored

651

Avg. per game

2.17

Conceded

395

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 266 matches

YesNo

202 (76%)64 (24%)

In last 266 matches

NoYes

265 (88%)35 (12%)

FSV Mainz 05

Recent matches

Borussia Dortmund

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund

Shots

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

12.75 avg / game

Blocked

730 total

Avg. 3.43

Borussia Dortmund

Total shots

13.91 avg / game

Blocked

917 total

Avg. 3.54

FSV Mainz 05 Pass Borussia Dortmund

Total passes

88287

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

147028

Avg. 537 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FSV Mainz 05

266

Played games

Borussia Dortmund

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.31

4.77

1268

Corners

1597

5.32

18.37

4887

Throw-ins

4956

16.52

1.79

475

Offsides

436

1.45

2.67

711

GK saves

834

2.78

FSV Mainz 05

DISCIPLINARY

Borussia Dortmund

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.83

488

497

1.66

0.08

0.07

11.62

3092

Fouls

2937

9.79

12.86

3422

Tackles

4082

13.61

NEXT MATCHES

Borussia Monchengladbach

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund on 27 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FSV Mainz 05's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Borussia Dortmund's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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