Fiorentina vs Napoli: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Betiball's prediction for Fiorentina vs Napoli on 17 May 2024 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Fiorentina vs Napoli preview before placing your bet.

Fiorentina vs Napoli: Starting Lineups Time : 17/05/2024 14:45

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Finished
Napoli
87' event Maxime Baila Lopez / Arthur Henrique Ramos de Oliveira Melo
84' event Rolando Mandragora
81' event Andrea Belotti Penalty cancelled
78' event Fabiano Parisi / Cristiano Biraghi
78' event Rolando Mandragora / Lucas Beltran
67' event Andrea Belotti / MBala Nzola
67' event Nanitamo Jonathan Ikone / Cristian Kouame
42' event MBala Nzola
40' event Cristiano Biraghi
event 86' Jesper Lindstrom / Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
event 76' Giacomo Raspadori / Giovanni Pablo Simeone
event 76' Cyril Ngonge / Matteo Politano
event 70' Jens Cajuste
event 57' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
event 41' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
event 8' Amir Rrahmani
87' event Maxime Baila Lopez / Arthur Henrique Ramos de Oliveira Melo
event 86' Jesper Lindstrom / Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
84' event Rolando Mandragora
event 76' Giacomo Raspadori / Giovanni Pablo Simeone
81' event Andrea Belotti Penalty cancelled
event 76' Cyril Ngonge / Matteo Politano
78' event Fabiano Parisi / Cristiano Biraghi
event 70' Jens Cajuste
78' event Rolando Mandragora / Lucas Beltran
event 57' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
67' event Andrea Belotti / MBala Nzola
event 41' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
67' event Nanitamo Jonathan Ikone / Cristian Kouame
event 8' Amir Rrahmani
42' event MBala Nzola
40' event Cristiano Biraghi
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Substitutions
#11 Nanitamo Jonathan Ikone
#8 Maxime Baila Lopez
#38 Rolando Mandragora
#20 Andrea Belotti
#65 Fabiano Parisi
#19 Gino Infantino
#72 Antonin Barak
#53 Oliver Christensen
#32 Joseph Alfred Duncan
#16 Luca Ranieri
#17 Gaetano Castrovilli
#22 Marco Davide Faraoni
#37 Pietro Comuzzo
#33 Michael Kayode
#30 Tomasso Martinelli
Fiorentina Fiorentina Napoli Napoli
14Shots15
5Shots on Goal3
16Fouls14
5Corner Kick3
8Free kick9
1Offside0
1Yellow card2
41Aerial25
1Save3
9Successful Tackles13
4Interceptions7
0Assist1
5Shots off goal11
0Hit The Post1
15Head Success18
4Blocked1
9Tackle13
12Dribbles6
23Throw-in14
479Passes277
111Attacks57
44Dangerous attacks39
2Corner Kicks(HT)1
Napoli Napoli
Substitutions
#26 Cyril Ngonge
#29 Jesper Lindstrom
#81 Giacomo Raspadori
#32 Leander Dendoncker
#3 Natan Bernardo De Souza
#5 Juan Guilherme Nunes Jesus
#14 Nikita Contini
#8 Hamed Junior Traore
#16 Hubert Dawid Idasiak
Commentary
87' Fiorentina — substitution: Maxime Baila Lopez / Arthur Henrique Ramos de Oliveira Melo
86' Napoli — substitution: Jesper Lindstrom / Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
84' Rolando Mandragora - Fiorentina receive a yellow card
81' VAR review - Fiorentina
78' Fiorentina — substitution: Fabiano Parisi / Cristiano Biraghi
78' Fiorentina — substitution: Rolando Mandragora / Lucas Beltran
76' Napoli — substitution: Giacomo Raspadori / Giovanni Pablo Simeone
76' Napoli — substitution: Cyril Ngonge / Matteo Politano
70' Jens Cajuste - Napoli receive a yellow card
67' Fiorentina — substitution: Andrea Belotti / MBala Nzola
67' Fiorentina — substitution: Nanitamo Jonathan Ikone / Cristian Kouame
57' Goal! Khvicha Kvaratskhelia - Napoli
42' Goal! MBala Nzola - Fiorentina
41' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia - Napoli receive a yellow card
40' Goal! Cristiano Biraghi - Fiorentina
8' Goal! Amir Rrahmani - Napoli

How We Build the Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Fiorentina vs Napoli on 17 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Fiorentina vs Napoli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Fiorentina's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Napoli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Fiorentina and Napoli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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