Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 17

Fiorentina

W L W D W

8th place in Italian Serie A

2-2

17/05/2024 14:45

Napoli

L D D L D

10th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Fiorentina vs Napoli on May 17, 2024 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Fiorentina vs Napoli preview before placing for you.

Fiorentina are currently 8th with 60 points after 38 matches.
Napoli sit 10th with 53 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Fiorentina to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Fiorentina and Napoli have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2024-05-17

Fiorentina vs Napoli - Prediction & Odds

Fiorentina

Napoli

2024-05-17 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Milan	94	38	29	7	2	89	22	67
02 AC Milan	75	38	22	9	7	76	49	27
03 Juventus	71	38	19	14	5	54	31	23
04 Atalanta	69	38	21	6	11	72	42	30
05 Bologna	68	38	18	14	6	54	32	22
06 AS Roma	63	38	18	9	11	65	46	19
07 Lazio	61	38	18	7	13	49	39	10
08 Fiorentina	60	38	17	9	12	61	46	15
09 Torino	53	38	13	14	11	36	36	0
10 Napoli	53	38	13	14	11	55	48	7
11 Genoa	49	38	12	13	13	45	45	0
12 Monza	45	38	11	12	15	39	51	-12
13 Verona	38	38	9	11	18	38	51	-13
14 Lecce	38	38	8	14	16	32	54	-22
15 Udinese	37	38	6	19	13	37	53	-16
16 Cagliari	36	38	8	12	18	42	68	-26
17 Empoli	36	38	9	9	20	29	54	-25
18 Frosinone	35	38	8	11	19	44	69	-25
19 Sassuolo	30	38	7	9	22	43	75	-32
20 Salernitana	17	38	2	11	25	32	81	-49

Head To Head

18/01/2024 15:00

Napoli

3 - 0

Fiorentina

ITA SC

08/10/2023 14:45

Napoli

1 - 3

Fiorentina

ITA D1

07/05/2023 11:59

Napoli

1 - 0

Fiorentina

ITA D1

28/08/2022 14:45

Fiorentina

0 - 0

Napoli

ITA D1

10/04/2022 09:00

Napoli

2 - 3

Fiorentina

ITA D1

13/01/2022 13:00

Napoli

2 - 2

Fiorentina

ITA Cup

Fiorentina

33%

Draw

33%

Napoli

33%

Fiorentina Last 6 matches

13/05/2024 14:45

Fiorentina 2 - 1 Monza ITA D1

08/05/2024 12:45

Club Brugge 1 - 1 Fiorentina UEFA ECL

05/05/2024 09:00

Verona 2 - 1 Fiorentina ITA D1

02/05/2024 15:00

Fiorentina 3 - 2 Club Brugge UEFA ECL

28/04/2024 14:45

Fiorentina 5 - 1 Sassuolo ITA D1

24/04/2024 15:00

Atalanta 4 - 1 Fiorentina ITA Cup

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Napoli

11/05/2024 11:59

Napoli 0 - 2 Bologna ITA D1

06/05/2024 14:45

Udinese 1 - 1 Napoli ITA D1

28/04/2024 11:59

Napoli 2 - 2 AS Roma ITA D1

20/04/2024 11:59

Empoli 1 - 0 Napoli ITA D1

14/04/2024 06:30

Napoli 2 - 2 Frosinone ITA D1

07/04/2024 09:00

Monza 2 - 4 Napoli ITA D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

276

Avg. per game

0.92

Conceded

195

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

288

Avg. per game

0.96

Conceded

185

Avg. per game

0.62

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

173 (58%)127 (42%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

190 (63%)110 (37%)

Fiorentina

Recent matches

Napoli

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Fiorentina

Napoli

Shots

Fiorentina

Total shots

14.48 avg / game

Blocked

862 total

Avg. 3.92

Napoli

Total shots

14.50 avg / game

Blocked

1010 total

Avg. 4.17

Fiorentina Pass Napoli

Total passes

119473

Avg. 463 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

139902

Avg. 540 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Fiorentina

300

Played games

Napoli

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

112

0.37

5.29

1586

Corners

1684

5.61

14.12

4235

Throw-ins

4874

16.25

1.58

475

Offsides

466

1.55

2.24

673

GK saves

635

2.12

Fiorentina

DISCIPLINARY

Napoli

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.09

626

451

1.50

0.06

0.06

11.23

3368

Fouls

3031

10.10

10.62

3185

Tackles

3438

11.46

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Fiorentina vs Napoli on 17 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Fiorentina vs Napoli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Fiorentina's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Napoli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Fiorentina and Napoli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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