Fiorentina vs AC Milan: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 January

Fiorentina

D D L D W

15th place in Italian Serie A

1-1

11/01/2026 10:00

AC Milan

W D L L W

5th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Fiorentina vs AC Milan on 11 January 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Fiorentina vs AC Milan preview before placing your bet.

Fiorentina will face AC Milan in Italian Serie A on January 11, 2026 at 10:00.
Fiorentina are currently 15th with 42 points after 38 matches.
AC Milan sit 5th with 70 points from 38 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.97.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2026-01-11

Fiorentina vs AC Milan - Prediction & Odds

Fiorentina

AC Milan

2026-01-11 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Milan	87	38	27	6	5	89	35	54
02 Napoli	76	38	23	7	8	58	36	22
03 AS Roma	73	38	23	4	11	59	31	28
04 Como	71	38	20	11	7	65	29	36
05 AC Milan	70	38	20	10	8	53	35	18
06 Juventus	69	38	19	12	7	61	34	27
07 Atalanta	59	38	15	14	9	51	36	15
08 Bologna	56	38	16	8	14	49	46	3
09 Lazio	54	38	14	12	12	41	40	1
10 Udinese	50	38	14	8	16	45	48	-3
11 Sassuolo	49	38	14	7	17	46	50	-4
12 Torino	45	38	12	9	17	44	63	-19
13 Parma	45	38	11	12	15	28	46	-18
14 Cagliari	43	38	11	10	17	40	53	-13
15 Fiorentina	42	38	9	15	14	41	50	-9
16 Genoa	41	38	10	11	17	41	51	-10
17 Lecce	38	38	10	8	20	28	50	-22
18 Cremonese	34	38	8	10	20	32	57	-25
19 Verona	21	38	3	12	23	25	61	-36
20 Pisa	18	38	2	12	24	26	71	-45

Head To Head

19/10/2025 14:45

AC Milan

2 - 1

Fiorentina

ITA D1

05/04/2025 14:45

AC Milan

2 - 2

Fiorentina

ITA D1

06/10/2024 14:45

Fiorentina

2 - 1

AC Milan

ITA D1

30/03/2024 15:45

Fiorentina

1 - 2

AC Milan

ITA D1

25/11/2023 15:45

AC Milan

1 - 0

Fiorentina

ITA D1

04/03/2023 15:45

Fiorentina

2 - 1

AC Milan

ITA D1

AC Milan

67%

Draw

17%

Fiorentina

17%

Fiorentina Last 6 matches

07/01/2026 15:45

Lazio 2 - 2 Fiorentina

ITA D1

04/01/2026 10:00

Fiorentina 1 - 0 Cremonese

ITA D1

27/12/2025 07:30

Parma 1 - 0 Fiorentina

ITA D1

21/12/2025 13:00

Fiorentina 5 - 1 Udinese

ITA D1

18/12/2025 16:00

Lausanne Sports 1 - 0 Fiorentina

UEFA ECL

14/12/2025 10:00

Fiorentina 1 - 2 Verona

ITA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches AC Milan

08/01/2026 15:45

AC Milan 1 - 1 Genoa

ITA D1

02/01/2026 15:45

Cagliari 0 - 1 AC Milan

ITA D1

28/12/2025 07:30

AC Milan 3 - 0 Verona

ITA D1

18/12/2025 15:00

Napoli 2 - 0 AC Milan

ITA SC

14/12/2025 07:30

AC Milan 2 - 2 Sassuolo

ITA D1

08/12/2025 15:45

Torino 2 - 3 AC Milan

ITA D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Fiorentina

AC Milan

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored

Avg. per game

0.87

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

19 (50%)19 (50%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

23 (61%)15 (39%)

Fiorentina

Recent matches

AC Milan

Under /Over

(71%)27 11(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(66%)25 13(34%)

Under /Over

(21%)8 30(79%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)12 26(68%)

Under /Over

(45%)17 21(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

/Yes

(58%)22 16(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)18 20(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Fiorentina

AC Milan

Shots

Fiorentina

Total shots

12.82 avg / game

Blocked

140 total

Avg. 3.78

AC Milan

Total shots

13.26 avg / game

Blocked

129 total

Avg. 3.39

Fiorentina Pass AC Milan

Total passes

16127

Avg. 424 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

18399

Avg. 484 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Fiorentina

Played games

AC Milan

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.39

4.45

169

Corners

163

4.29

15.66

595

Throw-ins

655

17.24

1.63

Offsides

1.87

3.37

128

GK saves

112

2.95

Fiorentina

DISCIPLINARY

AC Milan

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.18

1.68

0.05

0.08

12.50

475

Fouls

384

10.11

7.03

267

Tackles

310

8.16

NEXT MATCHES

07/25

Queens Park Rangers (QPR)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Fiorentina vs AC Milan on 11 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Fiorentina's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AC Milan's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Fiorentina and AC Milan sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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