Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – January 11

Fiorentina

D D L D W

15th place in Italian Serie A

1-1

11/01/2026 10:00

AC Milan

W D L L W

5th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Fiorentina vs AC Milan on January 11, 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Fiorentina vs AC Milan preview before placing for you.

Fiorentina are currently 15th with 42 points after 38 matches.
AC Milan sit 5th with 70 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors AC Milan, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Fiorentina have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2026-01-11

Fiorentina vs AC Milan - Prediction & Odds

Fiorentina

AC Milan

2026-01-11 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Milan	87	38	27	6	5	89	35	54
02 Napoli	76	38	23	7	8	58	36	22
03 AS Roma	73	38	23	4	11	59	31	28
04 Como	71	38	20	11	7	65	29	36
05 AC Milan	70	38	20	10	8	53	35	18
06 Juventus	69	38	19	12	7	61	34	27
07 Atalanta	59	38	15	14	9	51	36	15
08 Bologna	56	38	16	8	14	49	46	3
09 Lazio	54	38	14	12	12	41	40	1
10 Udinese	50	38	14	8	16	45	48	-3
11 Sassuolo	49	38	14	7	17	46	50	-4
12 Torino	45	38	12	9	17	44	63	-19
13 Parma	45	38	11	12	15	28	46	-18
14 Cagliari	43	38	11	10	17	40	53	-13
15 Fiorentina	42	38	9	15	14	41	50	-9
16 Genoa	41	38	10	11	17	41	51	-10
17 Lecce	38	38	10	8	20	28	50	-22
18 Cremonese	34	38	8	10	20	32	57	-25
19 Verona	21	38	3	12	23	25	61	-36
20 Pisa	18	38	2	12	24	26	71	-45

Head To Head

19/10/2025 14:45

AC Milan

2 - 1

Fiorentina

ITA D1

05/04/2025 14:45

AC Milan

2 - 2

Fiorentina

ITA D1

06/10/2024 14:45

Fiorentina

2 - 1

AC Milan

ITA D1

30/03/2024 15:45

Fiorentina

1 - 2

AC Milan

ITA D1

25/11/2023 15:45

AC Milan

1 - 0

Fiorentina

ITA D1

04/03/2023 15:45

Fiorentina

2 - 1

AC Milan

ITA D1

Fiorentina

33%

Draw

17%

AC Milan

50%

Fiorentina Last 6 matches

07/01/2026 15:45

Lazio 2 - 2 Fiorentina ITA D1

04/01/2026 10:00

Fiorentina 1 - 0 Cremonese ITA D1

27/12/2025 07:30

Parma 1 - 0 Fiorentina ITA D1

21/12/2025 13:00

Fiorentina 5 - 1 Udinese ITA D1

18/12/2025 16:00

Lausanne Sports 1 - 0 Fiorentina UEFA ECL

14/12/2025 10:00

Fiorentina 1 - 2 Verona ITA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches AC Milan

08/01/2026 15:45

AC Milan 1 - 1 Genoa ITA D1

02/01/2026 15:45

Cagliari 0 - 1 AC Milan ITA D1

28/12/2025 07:30

AC Milan 3 - 0 Verona ITA D1

18/12/2025 15:00

Napoli 2 - 0 AC Milan ITA SC

14/12/2025 07:30

AC Milan 2 - 2 Sassuolo ITA D1

08/12/2025 15:45

Torino 2 - 3 AC Milan ITA D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

276

Avg. per game

0.92

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

271

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

184

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

173 (58%)127 (42%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

179 (60%)121 (40%)

Fiorentina

Recent matches

AC Milan

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Fiorentina

AC Milan

Shots

Fiorentina

Total shots

14.50 avg / game

Blocked

863 total

Avg. 3.90

AC Milan

Total shots

14.04 avg / game

Blocked

912 total

Avg. 3.77

Fiorentina Pass AC Milan

Total passes

120046

Avg. 464 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

129442

Avg. 472 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Fiorentina

300

Played games

AC Milan

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

102

0.34

5.28

1584

Corners

1464

4.88

14.15

4245

Throw-ins

4525

15.08

1.58

475

Offsides

481

1.60

2.26

678

GK saves

810

2.70

Fiorentina

DISCIPLINARY

AC Milan

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.09

628

558

1.86

0.06

0.10

11.26

3379

Fouls

3291

10.97

10.68

3204

Tackles

4030

13.43

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Fiorentina vs AC Milan on 11 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Fiorentina's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AC Milan's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Fiorentina and AC Milan sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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