Fiorentina vs AC Milan: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Fiorentina

D L W D W

8th place in Italian Serie A

2-1

04/03/2023 15:45

AC Milan

D W L W W

4th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Fiorentina vs AC Milan on 04 March 2023 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Fiorentina vs AC Milan preview before placing your bet.

Fiorentina are currently 8th with 56 points after 38 matches.
AC Milan sit 4th with 70 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors AC Milan, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Fiorentina have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2023-03-04

Fiorentina vs AC Milan - Prediction & Odds

Fiorentina

AC Milan

2023-03-04 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Napoli	90	38	28	6	4	77	28	49
02 Lazio	74	38	22	8	8	60	30	30
03 Inter Milan	72	38	23	3	12	71	42	29
04 AC Milan	70	38	20	10	8	64	43	21
05 Atalanta	64	38	19	7	12	66	48	18
06 AS Roma	63	38	18	9	11	50	38	12
07 Juventus	62	38	22	6	10	56	33	23
08 Fiorentina	56	38	15	11	12	53	43	10
09 Bologna	54	38	14	12	12	53	49	4
10 Torino	53	38	14	11	13	42	41	1
11 Monza	52	38	14	10	14	48	52	-4
12 Udinese	46	38	11	13	14	47	48	-1
13 Sassuolo	45	38	12	9	17	47	61	-14
14 Empoli	43	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12
15 Salernitana	42	38	9	15	14	48	62	-14
16 Lecce	36	38	8	12	18	33	46	-13
17 Spezia	31	38	6	13	19	31	62	-31
18 Verona	31	38	7	10	21	31	59	-28
19 Cremonese	27	38	5	12	21	36	69	-33
20 Sampdoria	19	38	3	10	25	24	71	-47

Head To Head

13/11/2022 13:00

AC Milan

2 - 1

Fiorentina

ITA D1

01/05/2022 09:00

AC Milan

1 - 0

Fiorentina

ITA D1

20/11/2021 15:45

Fiorentina

4 - 3

AC Milan

ITA D1

21/03/2021 13:00

Fiorentina

2 - 3

AC Milan

ITA D1

29/11/2020 10:00

AC Milan

2 - 0

Fiorentina

ITA D1

22/02/2020 15:45

Fiorentina

1 - 1

AC Milan

ITA D1

Fiorentina

17%

Draw

17%

AC Milan

67%

Fiorentina Last 6 matches

23/02/2023 16:00

Fiorentina 3 - 2 Sporting Braga UEFA ECL

19/02/2023 10:00

Fiorentina 1 - 1 Empoli ITA D1

16/02/2023 13:45

Sporting Braga 0 - 4 Fiorentina UEFA ECL

12/02/2023 13:00

Juventus 1 - 0 Fiorentina ITA D1

05/02/2023 13:00

Fiorentina 1 - 2 Bologna ITA D1

01/02/2023 13:00

Fiorentina 2 - 1 Torino ITA Cup

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches AC Milan

18/02/2023 13:00

Monza 0 - 1 AC Milan ITA D1

14/02/2023 16:00

AC Milan 1 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur UEFA CL

10/02/2023 15:45

AC Milan 1 - 0 Torino ITA D1

05/02/2023 15:45

Inter Milan 1 - 0 AC Milan ITA D1

29/01/2023 07:30

AC Milan 2 - 5 Sassuolo ITA D1

24/01/2023 15:45

Lazio 4 - 0 AC Milan ITA D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Played games

Goals

Scored

505

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

359

Avg. per game

1.20

Scored

517

Avg. per game

1.72

Conceded

334

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

235 (78%)65 (22%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

246 (82%)54 (18%)

Fiorentina

Recent matches

AC Milan

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Fiorentina

AC Milan

Shots

Fiorentina

Total shots

14.52 avg / game

Blocked

863 total

Avg. 3.90

AC Milan

Total shots

14.07 avg / game

Blocked

911 total

Avg. 3.78

Fiorentina Pass AC Milan

Total passes

120153

Avg. 464 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

129020

Avg. 471 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Fiorentina

300

Played games

AC Milan

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

102

0.34

5.28

1585

Corners

1468

4.89

14.18

4253

Throw-ins

4513

15.04

1.58

475

Offsides

486

1.62

2.26

678

GK saves

806

2.69

Fiorentina

DISCIPLINARY

AC Milan

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.09

628

558

1.86

0.06

0.10

11.24

3373

Fouls

3281

10.94

10.67

3202

Tackles

4021

13.40

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Fiorentina vs AC Milan on 04 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Fiorentina's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AC Milan's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Fiorentina and AC Milan sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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