FC Porto vs FC Arouca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 February

FC Porto
WWWWL
1st place in Portugal Primera Liga
1
3-1
FT
27/02/2026 14:45
FC Arouca
LWLDW
8th place in Portugal Primera Liga
Portugal Primera Liga
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FC Porto vs FC Arouca on 27 February 2026 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FC Porto vs FC Arouca preview before placing your bet.

  • FC Porto are currently 1st with 88 points after 34 matches.
  • FC Arouca sit 8th with 42 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: FC Porto to win with probability 78%.
  • Head-to-head history favors FC Porto, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. FC Arouca have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
14:45

2026-02-27

FC Porto vs FC Arouca - Prediction & Odds

FC Porto
FC Porto
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
2026-02-27 14:45
78
15
7
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.00
1.14
FT
3-1 1-0
-
weather
13℃～14℃
STANDINGS UP TO 27/02/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 FC Porto FC Porto
88 34 28 4 2 66 18 48
02 Sporting CP Sporting CP
82 34 25 7 2 89 24 65
03 Benfica Benfica
80 34 23 11 0 74 25 49
04 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga
59 34 16 11 7 64 36 28
05 FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
56 34 15 11 8 42 29 13
06 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
50 34 13 11 10 47 38 9
07 Moreirense Moreirense
43 34 12 7 15 37 49 -12
08 FC Arouca FC Arouca
42 34 12 6 16 47 64 -17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
42 34 12 6 16 39 51 -12
10 Estoril Estoril
39 34 10 9 15 54 57 -3
11 Alverca Alverca
39 34 10 9 15 35 52 -17
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave
36 34 8 12 14 35 57 -22
13 Santa Clara Santa Clara
36 34 9 9 16 32 41 -9
14 Nacional da Madeira Nacional da Madeira
34 34 9 7 18 37 45 -8
15 Estrela da Amadora Estrela da Amadora
30 34 6 12 16 38 56 -18
16 Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
30 34 6 12 16 31 57 -26
17 CD Tondela CD Tondela
28 34 6 10 18 27 55 -28
18 AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
21 34 3 12 19 27 67 -40
Head To Head
29/09/2025 15:00
FC Arouca FC Arouca
0 - 4
FC Porto FC Porto
POR D1
01/03/2025 14:00
FC Arouca FC Arouca
0 - 2
FC Porto FC Porto
POR D1
29/09/2024 13:00
FC Porto FC Porto
4 - 0
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR D1
12/02/2024 16:15
FC Arouca FC Arouca
3 - 2
FC Porto FC Porto
POR D1
03/09/2023 13:00
FC Porto FC Porto
1 - 1
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR D1
08/05/2023 16:15
FC Arouca FC Arouca
0 - 1
FC Porto FC Porto
POR D1
FC Porto
4
67%
Draw
1
17%
FC Arouca
1
17%
FC Porto FC Porto Last 6 matches
22/02/2026 16:30
FC Porto 1 - 0 Rio Ave POR D1
15/02/2026 11:30
Nacional da Madeira 0 - 1 FC Porto POR D1
09/02/2026 16:45
FC Porto 1 - 1 Sporting CP POR D1
02/02/2026 16:45
Casa Pia AC 2 - 1 FC Porto POR D1
29/01/2026 16:00
FC Porto 3 - 1 Glasgow Rangers UEFA EL
26/01/2026 16:15
FC Porto 3 - 0 Gil Vicente POR D1
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches FC Arouca FC Arouca
21/02/2026 11:30
FC Arouca 3 - 0 Nacional da Madeira POR D1
14/02/2026 11:30
Casa Pia AC 3 - 2 FC Arouca POR D1
07/02/2026 16:30
FC Arouca 3 - 2 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1
31/01/2026 14:00
Rio Ave 0 - 3 FC Arouca POR D1
24/01/2026 14:00
FC Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting CP POR D1
17/01/2026 14:00
AVS Futebol SAD 0 - 1 FC Arouca POR D1
Win
67%
Draw
0%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
FC Porto
FC Porto
33
 FC Arouca
FC Arouca
34
Goals
Scored
29
Avg. per game
0.88
Conceded
4
Avg. per game
0.12
Scored
18
Avg. per game
0.53
Conceded
32
Avg. per game
0.94
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 33 matches
YesNo
21 (64%)12 (36%)
In last 33 matches
NoYes
14 (41%)20 (59%)
FC Porto

FC Porto

Recent matches

FC Arouca

FC Arouca

Under /Over

(73%)24 9(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)27 7(21%)

Under /Over

(27%)9 24(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)13 21(62%)

Under /Over

(48%)16 17(52%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)19 15(44%)

/Yes

(39%)13 20(61%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)19 15(44%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
FC Porto FC Porto
FC Arouca FC Arouca
Shots
FC Porto
FC Porto
Total shots
14.61 avg / game
Blocked
119 total
Avg. 4.10
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
Total shots
10.55 avg / game
Blocked
68 total
Avg. 2.27
FC Porto FC Porto Pass FC Arouca FC Arouca
Total passes
14896
Avg. 451 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
55%
Total passes
13593
Avg. 412 / game
Accurate
82%
Ball possession
50%
TOTAL ATTACKS
FC Porto
FC Porto
3437
Avg. 104.15 / game
 FC Arouca
FC Arouca
2817
Avg. 82.85 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
FC Porto
FC Porto
1690
Avg. 51.21 / game
 FC Arouca
FC Arouca
1117
Avg. 32.85 / game
OTHERS
FC Porto
FC Porto
33
Played games
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
34
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.61
20
Clean sheets
7
0.21
5.61
185
Corners
121
3.56
19.52
644
Throw-ins
641
18.85
2.12
70
Offsides
46
1.35
1.94
64
GK saves
91
2.68
FC Porto
FC Porto
DISCIPLINARY
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.30
76
Yellow card
93
2.74
0.09
3
Red card
9
0.26
14.00
462
Fouls
458
13.47
9.42
311
Tackles
313
9.21
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
FC Porto FC Porto
VS
SCU Torreense SCU Torreense
POR
08/09
FC Porto FC Porto
VS
Alverca Alverca
POR
08/15
Rio Ave Rio Ave
VS
FC Porto FC Porto
POR
08/23
FC Porto FC Porto
VS
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR
08/30
Viseu Viseu
VS
FC Porto FC Porto
POR
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Lusitania FC Lusitania FC
VS
FC Arouca FC Arouca
INT
08/08
Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
VS
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR
08/17
FC Arouca FC Arouca
VS
Moreirense Moreirense
POR
08/23
FC Porto FC Porto
VS
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR
08/30
FC Arouca FC Arouca
VS
Maritimo Maritimo
POR

How We Build the FC Porto vs FC Arouca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FC Porto vs FC Arouca on 27 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FC Porto vs FC Arouca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FC Porto's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FC Arouca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where FC Porto and FC Arouca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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